← Adur (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Adur 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

14 ward races
16 seats
6 elected below the proportional quota
37.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Labour Party9,38048.5%1381.3%850.0%+5
Conservative and Unionist Party5,50128.4%16.3%531.3%-4
Green Party2,50212.9%16.3%212.5%-1
Independent1,2916.7%16.3%16.3%0
Liberal Democrats5342.8%00.0%00.0%0
Britain First1310.7%00.0%00.0%0
Total19,339100.0%16100.0%16100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Widewater · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +14.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,157

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Lowe, A.Labour Party71222.6%Elected
2Higgins, P.Labour Party60419.1%Elected
3Pannell, J.Conservative and Unionist Party46314.7%
4Pannell, K.Conservative and Unionist Party41513.1%
5Ginnelly, P.Green Party34611.0%
6Benson, V.Green Party33610.6%
7Bridges, A.Independent2818.9%

Electorate 4,730 · Ballots cast 3,157 · EC ward code E05007575 · Back to ward index

Cokeham · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,046

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Fuhrmann, C.Labour Party40738.9%Elected
2Guy, D.Conservative and Unionist Party35934.3%
3Bamber, D.Britain First13112.5%
4Mears, H.Green Party797.6%
5Gueye, C.Liberal Democrats706.7%

Electorate 3,464 · Ballots cast 1,046 · EC ward code E05007564 · Back to ward index

St. Nicolas · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,624

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Thompson, G.Green Party65240.1%Elected
2Towner, B.Conservative and Unionist Party44727.5%
3Higgins, T.Labour Party40124.7%
4Bower, S.Independent774.7%
5Burrage, J.Liberal Democrats472.9%

Electorate 3,219 · Ballots cast 1,624 · EC ward code E05007572 · Back to ward index

Churchill · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 912

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Sweet, N.Labour Party41145.1%Elected
2Buxton-Andrews, M.Conservative and Unionist Party39443.2%
3Riley, P.Green Party10711.7%

Electorate 3,405 · Ballots cast 912 · EC ward code E05007563 · Back to ward index

Peverel · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,047

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Jan, S.Labour Party51449.1%Elected
2Smith, T.Conservative and Unionist Party46244.1%
3Riley, E.Green Party716.8%

Electorate 3,318 · Ballots cast 1,047 · EC ward code E05007570 · Back to ward index

Buckingham · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.9 pts Valid ballots 1,339

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Jenner, N.Labour Party68150.9%Elected
2Boram, K.Conservative and Unionist Party42431.7%
3Jones, I.Liberal Democrats16412.2%
4Groves-Williams, L.Green Party705.2%

Electorate 3,080 · Ballots cast 1,339 · EC ward code E05007562 · Back to ward index

Manor · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.3 pts Valid ballots 1,094

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Albury, C.Conservative and Unionist Party57252.3%Elected
2Giles, C.Labour Party37033.8%
3Rumble, M.Green Party989.0%
4Thompson, D.Liberal Democrats544.9%

Electorate 3,219 · Ballots cast 1,094 · EC ward code E05007567 · Back to ward index

St. Marys · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 36.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −2.8 pts Valid ballots 2,372

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Allinson, B.Labour Party94539.8%Elected
2Gardner, J.Labour Party85836.2%Elected
3Evans, V.Conservative and Unionist Party31413.2%
4Buhl-Nielsen, A.Green Party25510.8%

Electorate 3,840 · Ballots cast 2,372 · EC ward code E05007571 · Back to ward index

Hillside · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.3 pts Valid ballots 1,148

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Corston, N.Labour Party62354.3%Elected
2Matthews, R.Conservative and Unionist Party45139.3%
3Whiting, R.Green Party746.4%

Electorate 3,381 · Ballots cast 1,148 · EC ward code E05007566 · Back to ward index

Southlands · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.7 pts Valid ballots 953

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Stainforth, D.Labour Party54056.7%Elected
2Fry, M.Conservative and Unionist Party28830.2%
3Humphrey, K.Liberal Democrats717.5%
4Wade, T.Green Party545.7%

Electorate 3,108 · Ballots cast 953 · EC ward code E05007573 · Back to ward index

Eastbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.5 pts Valid ballots 1,018

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Harvey, A.Labour Party59658.5%Elected
2Lennon, J.Conservative and Unionist Party33833.2%
3Lascelles, K.Green Party848.3%

Electorate 3,292 · Ballots cast 1,018 · EC ward code E05007565 · Back to ward index

Mash Barn · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.3 pts Valid ballots 1,035

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Sluman, S.Labour Party65563.3%Elected
2Mendoza, M.Conservative and Unionist Party29628.6%
3Elliott, K.Green Party848.1%

Electorate 3,554 · Ballots cast 1,035 · EC ward code E05007569 · Back to ward index

Southwick Green · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.1 pts Valid ballots 1,216

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Baine, R.Labour Party78064.1%Elected
2Parkin, V.Conservative and Unionist Party27822.9%
3Welton, S.Liberal Democrats867.1%
4Mott, J.Green Party725.9%

Electorate 3,421 · Ballots cast 1,216 · EC ward code E05007574 · Back to ward index

Marine · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.7 pts Valid ballots 1,378

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Loader, J.Independent93367.7%Elected
2Davis, K.Labour Party28320.5%
3Tyrer, M.Green Party1208.7%
4Harpley, B.Liberal Democrats423.0%

Electorate 3,544 · Ballots cast 1,378 · EC ward code E05007568 · Back to ward index