← Ashford (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Ashford 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

7 ward races
7 seats
2 elected below the proportional quota
28.6% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 7 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 7 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party16,85956.2%685.7%571.4%+1
Green Party5,26817.6%114.3%114.3%0
Labour Party5,14017.1%00.0%114.3%-1
Liberal Democrats2,3998.0%00.0%00.0%0
Independent2850.9%00.0%00.0%0
LIBER510.2%00.0%00.0%0
Total30,002100.0%7100.0%7100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Ashford South · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,221

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Ross D.Conservative and Unionist Party1,40743.7%Elected
2Farrell D.Labour Party1,31941.0%
3Pizzey T.Green Party2638.2%
4Behrens H.Liberal Democrats2327.2%

Electorate 13,687 · Ballots cast 3,221 · EC ward code E58000684 · Back to ward index

Ashford East · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,163

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Campkin S.Green Party1,85444.5%Elected
2Galpin G.Conservative and Unionist Party1,42834.3%
3Joseph S.Labour Party59614.3%
4Harrison G.G.Independent1493.6%
5Strolz S.J.Liberal Democrats1363.3%

Electorate 13,397 · Ballots cast 4,163 · EC ward code E58000680 · Back to ward index

Ashford Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.8 pts Valid ballots 3,841

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bartlett P.W.Conservative and Unionist Party2,14455.8%Elected
2Leavey K.Labour Party92024.0%
3Wright L.Green Party53513.9%
4Mbali V.C.Liberal Democrats2426.3%

Electorate 13,635 · Ballots cast 3,841 · EC ward code E58001724 · Back to ward index

Ashford Rural East · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.3 pts Valid ballots 5,019

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bell C.Conservative and Unionist Party2,87857.3%Elected
2Meaden G.J.Green Party85817.1%
3Knight C.M.A.Liberal Democrats65613.1%
4Dean A.E.Labour Party62712.5%

Electorate 13,720 · Ballots cast 5,019 · EC ward code E58001725 · Back to ward index

Ashford Rural South · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.2 pts Valid ballots 3,955

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Robey D.Conservative and Unionist Party2,42061.2%Elected
2Silvester M.D.Labour Party56014.2%
3Nilsson D.M.Green Party46311.7%
4Dickens T.C.Liberal Democrats3769.5%
5Smith J.R.H.Independent1363.4%

Electorate 14,005 · Ballots cast 3,955 · EC ward code E58001726 · Back to ward index

Ashford Rural West · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.8 pts Valid ballots 4,784

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Simkins C.Conservative and Unionist Party3,09864.8%Elected
2Jones H.Green Party63213.2%
3Smyth N.Labour Party61212.8%
4Gee-Turner A.J.Liberal Democrats3918.2%
5Lewin A.R.LIBER511.1%

Electorate 14,758 · Ballots cast 4,784 · EC ward code E58001727 · Back to ward index

Tenterden · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.4 pts Valid ballots 5,019

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hill M.Conservative and Unionist Party3,48469.4%Elected
2Pullen G.A.Green Party66313.2%
3Maclennan E.S.Labour Party50610.1%
4Grayling C.Liberal Democrats3667.3%

Electorate 14,195 · Ballots cast 5,019 · EC ward code E58000741 · Back to ward index