← Canterbury (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort
Canterbury 2021
Local elections held 6 May 2021.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 8 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 8 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 17,221 | 43.8% | 5 | 62.5% | 4 | 50.0% | +1 |
| Labour Party | 11,358 | 28.9% | 2 | 25.0% | 2 | 25.0% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 6,188 | 15.7% | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 12.5% | 0 |
| Green Party | 4,327 | 11.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 12.5% | -1 |
| Independent | 263 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 39,357 | 100.0% | 8 | 100.0% | 8 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Canterbury City South · 1 seat · won at 41.0% · +9.0 pts below quota
- Whitstable West · 1 seat · won at 42.9% · +7.1 pts below quota
- Canterbury City North · 1 seat · won at 43.3% · +6.7 pts below quota
- Canterbury South · 1 seat · won at 45.6% · +4.4 pts below quota
- Canterbury North · 1 seat · won at 53.2% · above quota
- Whitstable East & Herne Bay West · 1 seat · won at 53.9% · above quota
- Herne Bay East · 1 seat · won at 54.2% · above quota
- Herne Village & Sturry · 1 seat · won at 60.3% · above quota
Race results
Canterbury City South · single-seat
Marginal winner 41.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,105
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dawkins M. | Labour Party | 2,095 | 41.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Barna S.D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,374 | 26.9% | |
| 3 | Linfield I.A. | Liberal Democrats | 1,109 | 21.7% | |
| 4 | Marsh P.J. | Green Party | 527 | 10.3% |
Whitstable West · single-seat
Marginal winner 42.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,652
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dance M.C. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2,422 | 42.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Smith N.R. | Labour Party | 2,236 | 39.6% | |
| 3 | David N.M. | Green Party | 735 | 13.0% | |
| 4 | Hawkins Y. | Liberal Democrats | 173 | 3.1% | |
| 5 | Egerton J.R.S. | Independent | 86 | 1.5% |
Canterbury City North · single-seat
Marginal winner 43.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,502
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brady A.J. | Labour Party | 1,951 | 43.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Khan N.I. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,077 | 23.9% | |
| 3 | Lister A. | Liberal Democrats | 997 | 22.1% | |
| 4 | Stanton H.J.A. | Green Party | 477 | 10.6% |
Canterbury South · single-seat
Marginal winner 45.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,384
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sole M.J. | Liberal Democrats | 2,457 | 45.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Northey M.J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,966 | 36.5% | |
| 3 | Nolan C. | Labour Party | 961 | 17.8% |
Canterbury North · single-seat
Marginal winner 53.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.2 pts Valid ballots 4,515
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas R.J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2,402 | 53.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Prentice P.S.L. | Labour Party | 1,002 | 22.2% | |
| 3 | Ricketts A. | Liberal Democrats | 602 | 13.3% | |
| 4 | Peckham A.M. | Green Party | 509 | 11.3% |
Whitstable East & Herne Bay West · single-seat
Marginal winner 53.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.9 pts Valid ballots 5,011
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baker N.S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2,703 | 53.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Allen D. | Labour Party | 1,162 | 23.2% | |
| 3 | Bothwell K.N. | Green Party | 804 | 16.0% | |
| 4 | Flanagan J.D. | Liberal Democrats | 342 | 6.8% |
Herne Bay East · single-seat
Marginal winner 54.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.2 pts Valid ballots 4,363
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Watkins D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2,366 | 54.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Warley S.N. | Labour Party | 936 | 21.5% | |
| 3 | Shelley B.D. | Green Party | 635 | 14.6% | |
| 4 | Bowley J.K. | Liberal Democrats | 249 | 5.7% | |
| 5 | Sergeant G.W. | Independent | 177 | 4.1% |
Herne Village & Sturry · single-seat
Marginal winner 60.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.3 pts Valid ballots 4,825
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marsh A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2,911 | 60.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Butcher J.E. | Labour Party | 1,015 | 21.0% | |
| 3 | Harvey A. | Green Party | 640 | 13.3% | |
| 4 | Maltby G.R.J. | Liberal Democrats | 259 | 5.4% |