← Canterbury (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort
Canterbury 2025
Local elections held 1 May 2025.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 8 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 8 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 12,657 | 31.0% | 3 | 37.5% | 3 | 37.5% | 0 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 7,587 | 18.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 25.0% | -2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 6,788 | 16.6% | 2 | 25.0% | 1 | 12.5% | +1 |
| Labour Party | 6,447 | 15.8% | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 12.5% | 0 |
| Green Party | 5,599 | 13.7% | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 12.5% | 0 |
| Labour and Co-operative Party | 1,727 | 4.2% | 1 | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0% | +1 |
| Independent | 49 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Heritage Party | 27 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 40,881 | 100.0% | 8 | 100.0% | 8 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Canterbury North · 1 seat · won at 33.5% · +16.5 pts below quota
- Whitstable West · 1 seat · won at 34.5% · +15.5 pts below quota
- Herne Bay East · 1 seat · won at 37.5% · +12.5 pts below quota
- Whitstable East & Herne Bay West · 1 seat · won at 37.9% · +12.1 pts below quota
- Canterbury City South · 1 seat · won at 39.0% · +11.0 pts below quota
- Herne Village & Sturry · 1 seat · won at 41.6% · +8.4 pts below quota
- Canterbury City North · 1 seat · won at 42.7% · +7.3 pts below quota
- Canterbury South · 1 seat · won at 56.3% · above quota
Race results
Canterbury North · single-seat
Marginal winner 33.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,864
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Ricketts | Liberal Democrats | 1,630 | 33.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Dirk Ross | Reform UK | 1,466 | 30.1% | |
| 3 | Hilary Jane Scott | Conservative and Unionist Party | 983 | 20.2% | |
| 4 | Owen John Vanstone-Hallam | Labour Party | 433 | 8.9% | |
| 5 | Michael Bax | Green Party | 352 | 7.2% |
Whitstable West · single-seat
Marginal winner 34.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +15.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,077
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stuart Heaver | Green Party | 2,097 | 34.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Babychan Thomas | Reform UK | 1,841 | 30.3% | |
| 3 | Chris Cornell | Labour Party | 1,422 | 23.4% | |
| 4 | Grace Taylor Paget | Conservative and Unionist Party | 545 | 9.0% | |
| 5 | Christopher Joslin Palmer | Liberal Democrats | 145 | 2.4% | |
| 6 | Gary Alfred Blanford | Heritage Party | 27 | 0.4% |
Herne Bay East · single-seat
Marginal winner 37.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,163
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul David Chamberlain | Reform UK | 1,935 | 37.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Dan Watkins | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,597 | 30.9% | |
| 3 | Lawrence James Murray Coomber | Labour Party | 969 | 18.8% | |
| 4 | Nicole Marie David | Green Party | 382 | 7.4% | |
| 5 | Yvonne Hawkins | Liberal Democrats | 280 | 5.4% |
Whitstable East & Herne Bay West · single-seat
Marginal winner 37.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,441
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adrian John Kibble | Reform UK | 2,062 | 37.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Neil Stephen Baker | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,502 | 27.6% | |
| 3 | Andy Davidson | Labour Party | 868 | 16.0% | |
| 4 | Andrew Harvey | Green Party | 668 | 12.3% | |
| 5 | Nick Parry | Liberal Democrats | 292 | 5.4% | |
| 6 | Joshua Dawson-O'Donnell | Independent | 49 | 0.9% |
Canterbury City South · single-seat
Marginal winner 39.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,552
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connie Nolan | Labour Party | 1,776 | 39.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Kieran Mishchuk | Reform UK | 942 | 20.7% | |
| 3 | Stephen Peckham | Green Party | 722 | 15.9% | |
| 4 | Daniel George Smythe | Conservative and Unionist Party | 598 | 13.1% | |
| 5 | Eleo Berceanu | Liberal Democrats | 514 | 11.3% |
Herne Village & Sturry · single-seat
Marginal winner 41.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,382
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Francis Mulvihill | Reform UK | 2,239 | 41.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Louise Nicole Harvey-Quirke | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,568 | 29.1% | |
| 3 | Dave Wilson | Labour Party | 607 | 11.3% | |
| 4 | Jessie Millner | Green Party | 486 | 9.0% | |
| 5 | Derek Stephen Maslin | Liberal Democrats | 482 | 9.0% |
Canterbury City North · single-seat
Marginal winner 42.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,041
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alister John Brady | Labour and Co-operative Party | 1,727 | 42.7% | Elected |
| 2 | George Henry Mills Spence | Reform UK | 940 | 23.3% | |
| 3 | Peter Gordon Campbell | Green Party | 561 | 13.9% | |
| 4 | Maggs MacKechnie | Liberal Democrats | 428 | 10.6% | |
| 5 | Arjan George Singh Taylor | Conservative and Unionist Party | 385 | 9.5% |
Canterbury South · single-seat
Marginal winner 56.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.3 pts Valid ballots 5,361
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael John Sole | Liberal Democrats | 3,017 | 56.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Colin Gerald Spooner | Reform UK | 1,232 | 23.0% | |
| 3 | John David Arthur Hippisley | Conservative and Unionist Party | 409 | 7.6% | |
| 4 | Yasmin Dallos-Foreman | Labour Party | 372 | 6.9% | |
| 5 | Henry Stanton | Green Party | 331 | 6.2% |