← Carlisle (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Carlisle 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 10,648 | 44.0% | 8 | 47.1% | 8 | 47.1% | 0 |
| Labour Party | 9,603 | 39.7% | 8 | 47.1% | 8 | 47.1% | 0 |
| Independent | 1,353 | 5.6% | 1 | 5.9% | 1 | 5.9% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1,147 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 1,076 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 349 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 24,176 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Yewdale · 1 seat · won at 47.6% · −2.4 pts below quota
- Belah · 1 seat · won at 50.4% · above quota
- Dalston · 1 seat · won at 52.3% · above quota
- Stanwix Urban · 1 seat · won at 53.0% · above quota
- Harraby · 1 seat · won at 53.6% · above quota
- St Aidans · 1 seat · won at 55.3% · above quota
- Castle · 1 seat · won at 56.3% · above quota
- Belle Vue · 1 seat · won at 57.2% · above quota
- Botcherby · 1 seat · won at 57.2% · above quota
- Morton · 1 seat · won at 59.1% · above quota
- Currock · 1 seat · won at 59.2% · above quota
- Upperby · 1 seat · won at 60.7% · above quota
- Denton Holme · 1 seat · won at 61.1% · above quota
- Brampton · 1 seat · won at 61.7% · above quota
- Wetheral · 1 seat · won at 64.1% · above quota
- Longtown and Rockcliffe · 1 seat · won at 65.8% · above quota
- Stanwix Rural · 1 seat · won at 65.9% · above quota
Race results
Yewdale · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,845
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Currie | Conservative Party | 879 | 47.6% | −2.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Timothy Linford | Labour Party | 788 | 42.7% | — | |
| 3 | Jeffrey Coates | Liberal Democrats | 178 | 9.6% | — |
Belah · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,788
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gareth Ellis | Conservative Party | 902 | 50.4% | +0.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jeanette Bradley | Labour Party | 429 | 24.0% | — | |
| 3 | Alan Toole | Independent | 274 | 15.3% | — | |
| 4 | Penelope Foster | Green Party | 114 | 6.4% | — | |
| 5 | Philip Douglass | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 69 | 3.9% | — |
Dalston · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,141
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ann McKerrell | Conservative Party | 1,119 | 52.3% | +2.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Gee | Liberal Democrats | 658 | 30.7% | — | |
| 3 | Calvin Rodgerson | Labour Party | 364 | 17.0% | — |
Stanwix Urban · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,045
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizabeth Mallinson | Conservative Party | 1,083 | 53.0% | +3.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Louise Atkinson | Labour Party | 696 | 34.0% | — | |
| 3 | Helen Davison | Green Party | 188 | 9.2% | — | |
| 4 | Claire Pearce | Independent | 78 | 3.8% | — |
Harraby · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,385
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Carrigan | Labour Party | 742 | 53.6% | +3.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Geoff Mitchell | Conservative Party | 560 | 40.4% | — | |
| 3 | Julian Oldfield | Green Party | 83 | 6.0% | — |
St Aidans · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,197
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anne Quilter | Labour Party | 662 | 55.3% | +5.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Geoffrey Osborne | Conservative Party | 379 | 31.7% | — | |
| 3 | Michael Middlemore | Independent | 87 | 7.3% | — | |
| 4 | Henry Goodwin | Green Party | 69 | 5.8% | — |
Castle · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,043
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anne Glendinning | Labour Party | 587 | 56.3% | +6.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Bradley | Conservative Party | 311 | 29.8% | — | |
| 3 | David Wood | Liberal Democrats | 73 | 7.0% | — | |
| 4 | Richard Hunt | Green Party | 72 | 6.9% | — |
Belle Vue · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,618
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jessica Riddle | Labour Party | 925 | 57.2% | +7.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Melissa Andrews | Conservative Party | 693 | 42.8% | — |
Botcherby · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,445
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Betton | Independent | 827 | 57.2% | +7.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lisa Brown | Labour Party | 482 | 33.4% | — | |
| 3 | Linda Danielis | Conservative Party | 136 | 9.4% | — |
Morton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,356
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colin Stothard | Labour Party | 801 | 59.1% | +9.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Charles McKerrell | Conservative Party | 476 | 35.1% | — | |
| 3 | Alan Peters | Green Party | 79 | 5.8% | — |
Currock · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,041
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sue Crawford | Labour Party | 616 | 59.2% | +9.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Barbara Eden | Conservative Party | 271 | 26.0% | — | |
| 3 | John Denholm | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 107 | 10.3% | — | |
| 4 | Helen Atkinson | Green Party | 47 | 4.5% | — |
Upperby · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,054
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Graham | Labour Party | 640 | 60.7% | +10.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Linda Mitchell | Conservative Party | 292 | 27.7% | — | |
| 3 | James Osler | Liberal Democrats | 122 | 11.6% | — |
Denton Holme · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,235
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Southward | Labour Party | 754 | 61.1% | +11.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Syed Ali | Conservative Party | 345 | 27.9% | — | |
| 3 | Rob Morrison | Green Party | 136 | 11.0% | — |
Brampton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,229
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Mitchelson | Conservative Party | 758 | 61.7% | +11.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Maggie Robinson | Labour Party | 276 | 22.5% | — | |
| 3 | Sharon Seymour | Green Party | 108 | 8.8% | — | |
| 4 | Malcolm Craik | Independent | 87 | 7.1% | — |
Wetheral · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 64.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,584
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Higgs | Conservative Party | 1,015 | 64.1% | +14.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robert Rynn | Labour Party | 336 | 21.2% | — | |
| 3 | Christopher Moss | Liberal Democrats | 116 | 7.3% | — | |
| 4 | Dallas Brewis | Green Party | 64 | 4.0% | — | |
| 5 | Geoffrey Round | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 53 | 3.3% | — |
Longtown and Rockcliffe · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 800
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raynor Bloxham | Conservative Party | 526 | 65.8% | +15.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Atkinson | Labour Party | 213 | 26.6% | — | |
| 3 | Fiona Mills | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 61 | 7.6% | — |
Stanwix Rural · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,370
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marilyn Bowman | Conservative Party | 903 | 65.9% | +15.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Christopher Robinson | Labour Party | 292 | 21.3% | — | |
| 3 | Sky Higgins | Green Party | 116 | 8.5% | — | |
| 4 | John Harding | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 59 | 4.3% | — |