← Cheltenham (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Cheltenham 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 21 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 16,338 | 45.6% | 17 | 81.0% | 11 | 52.4% | +6 |
| Conservative Party | 13,263 | 37.0% | 3 | 14.3% | 8 | 38.1% | -5 |
| Labour Party | 2,656 | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 4.8% | -1 |
| PABG | 1,838 | 5.1% | 1 | 4.8% | 1 | 4.8% | 0 |
| Green Party | 1,450 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 268 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 35,813 | 100.0% | 21 | 100.0% | 21 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Pittville · 1 seat · won at 31.7% · −18.3 pts below quota
- St Paul's · 1 seat · won at 38.8% · −11.2 pts below quota
- St Peter's · 1 seat · won at 39.9% · −10.1 pts below quota
- Warden Hill · 1 seat · won at 46.4% · −3.6 pts below quota
- All Saints · 1 seat · won at 47.1% · −2.9 pts below quota
- Park · 1 seat · won at 47.6% · −2.4 pts below quota
- Charlton Kings · 1 seat · won at 47.8% · −2.2 pts below quota
- Charlton Park · 1 seat · won at 49.2% · −0.8 pts below quota
- St Mark's · 1 seat · won at 52.8% · above quota
- Lansdown · 1 seat · won at 52.9% · above quota
- Oakley · 1 seat · won at 54.2% · above quota
- Hesters Way · 1 seat · won at 55.0% · above quota
- Benhall and the Reddings · 1 seat · won at 55.3% · above quota
- Up Hatherley · 1 seat · won at 56.9% · above quota
- College · 1 seat · won at 57.7% · above quota
- Battledown · 1 seat · won at 58.2% · above quota
- Swindon Village · 1 seat · won at 62.1% · above quota
- Springbank · 1 seat · won at 64.3% · above quota
- Leckhampton · 2 seats · won at 47.6% · above quota
- Prestbury · 1 seat · won at 65.7% · above quota
Race results
Pittville · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 31.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −18.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,981
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jo Stafford | Liberal Democrats | 628 | 31.7% | −18.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Fifield | Conservative Party | 624 | 31.5% | — | |
| 3 | Adam Lilywhite | PABG | 514 | 25.9% | — | |
| 4 | Andrew Nicholson | Labour Party | 150 | 7.6% | — | |
| 5 | Stephen Bear | Green Party | 65 | 3.3% | — |
St Paul's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,139
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jonny Brownsteen | Liberal Democrats | 442 | 38.8% | −11.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Craig Fraser | Labour Party | 293 | 25.7% | — | |
| 3 | Daud McDonald | Independent | 268 | 23.5% | — | |
| 4 | Tamba Manyeh | Conservative Party | 136 | 11.9% | — |
St Peter's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,547
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Victoria Atherstone | Liberal Democrats | 617 | 39.9% | −10.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hannah Wright | Conservative Party | 507 | 32.8% | — | |
| 3 | Jim Blackstock | Green Party | 278 | 18.0% | — | |
| 4 | Robert Irons | Labour Party | 145 | 9.4% | — |
Warden Hill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,981
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Iain Dobie | Liberal Democrats | 920 | 46.4% | −3.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Margaret Nelson | Conservative Party | 882 | 44.5% | — | |
| 3 | Timothy Bonsor | Green Party | 95 | 4.8% | — | |
| 4 | Ian White | Labour Party | 84 | 4.2% | — |
All Saints · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,431
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Hegenbarth | Liberal Democrats | 674 | 47.1% | −2.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ben Stone | Conservative Party | 522 | 36.5% | — | |
| 3 | Derek Lockhart | Labour Party | 139 | 9.7% | — | |
| 4 | Sarah Field | Green Party | 96 | 6.7% | — |
Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,423
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dilys Barrell | Liberal Democrats | 1,154 | 47.6% | −2.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Laura Kennedy | Conservative Party | 1,101 | 45.4% | — | |
| 3 | Kevin Boyle | Labour Party | 91 | 3.8% | — | |
| 4 | Barbara Knight-Elliott | Green Party | 77 | 3.2% | — |
Charlton Kings · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,913
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Angie Boyes | Liberal Democrats | 915 | 47.8% | −2.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dan Collins | Conservative Party | 747 | 39.0% | — | |
| 3 | Joanna Hughes | Labour Party | 150 | 7.8% | — | |
| 4 | Lorraine Mason | Green Party | 101 | 5.3% | — |
Charlton Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,134
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Baker | Liberal Democrats | 1,050 | 49.2% | −0.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Lewis | Conservative Party | 962 | 45.1% | — | |
| 3 | Karen Wilson | Green Party | 68 | 3.2% | — | |
| 4 | David Beesley | Labour Party | 54 | 2.5% | — |
St Mark's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,280
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandra Holliday | Liberal Democrats | 676 | 52.8% | +2.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Joshua William | Conservative Party | 356 | 27.8% | — | |
| 3 | Matthew Bevington | Labour Party | 159 | 12.4% | — | |
| 4 | David Clarke | Green Party | 89 | 7.0% | — |
Lansdown · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,361
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Mason | Conservative Party | 720 | 52.9% | +2.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Barbara Clark | Liberal Democrats | 406 | 29.8% | — | |
| 3 | Miranda Latham-Jackson | Labour Party | 148 | 10.9% | — | |
| 4 | Adrian Becker | Green Party | 87 | 6.4% | — |
Oakley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,416
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Max Wilkinson | Liberal Democrats | 768 | 54.2% | +4.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Liz Ashley | Labour Party | 331 | 23.4% | — | |
| 3 | Ben Carlton | Conservative Party | 317 | 22.4% | — |
Hesters Way · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,216
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simon Wheeler | Liberal Democrats | 669 | 55.0% | +5.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Lovatt | Conservative Party | 386 | 31.7% | — | |
| 3 | Clive Harriss | Labour Party | 161 | 13.2% | — |
Benhall and the Reddings · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,873
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigel Britter | Liberal Democrats | 1,036 | 55.3% | +5.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James Russell | Conservative Party | 746 | 39.8% | — | |
| 3 | Francis Chacko | Labour Party | 91 | 4.9% | — |
Up Hatherley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,784
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew McKinlay | Liberal Democrats | 1,015 | 56.9% | +6.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Emma Logan | Conservative Party | 645 | 36.2% | — | |
| 3 | Kenneth Syme | Labour Party | 124 | 7.0% | — |
College · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,691
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garth Barnes | Liberal Democrats | 976 | 57.7% | +7.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Vagn | Conservative Party | 448 | 26.5% | — | |
| 3 | Lynda Johnson | Labour Party | 162 | 9.6% | — | |
| 4 | Drew Davie | Green Party | 105 | 6.2% | — |
Battledown · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,669
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matt Babbage | Conservative Party | 971 | 58.2% | +8.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Susan Allen | Liberal Democrats | 503 | 30.1% | — | |
| 3 | Caroline Gavin | Labour Party | 108 | 6.5% | — | |
| 4 | Spencer Allman | Green Party | 87 | 5.2% | — |
Swindon Village · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,199
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flo Clucas | Liberal Democrats | 744 | 62.1% | +12.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Edward Hazzan | Conservative Party | 455 | 37.9% | — |
Springbank · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 64.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,273
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Jeffries | Liberal Democrats | 818 | 64.3% | +14.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rich Newman | Conservative Party | 323 | 25.4% | — | |
| 3 | John Bride | Labour Party | 132 | 10.4% | — |
Leckhampton · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 47.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,244
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Horwood | Liberal Democrats | 1,082 | 24.1% | 48.2% | +14.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Cooke | Conservative Party | 1,069 | 23.8% | 47.6% | +14.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Chris Nelson | Conservative Party | 1,067 | 23.8% | 47.5% | — | |
| 4 | Glenn Andrews | Liberal Democrats | 834 | 18.6% | 37.2% | — | |
| 5 | Peter Frings | Green Party | 302 | 6.7% | 13.5% | — | |
| 6 | Steve Harrop | Labour Party | 78 | 1.7% | 3.5% | — | |
| 7 | Christopher Meehan | Labour Party | 56 | 1.2% | 2.5% | — |
Prestbury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,014
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Payne | PABG | 1,324 | 65.7% | +15.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Catherine Simpson | Liberal Democrats | 411 | 20.4% | — | |
| 3 | Jerry Forrest | Conservative Party | 279 | 13.9% | — |