← Cherwell (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Cherwell 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 19,586 | 49.5% | 12 | 70.6% | 9 | 52.9% | +3 |
| Labour Party | 10,905 | 27.6% | 3 | 17.6% | 5 | 29.4% | -2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 3,968 | 10.0% | 1 | 5.9% | 2 | 11.8% | -1 |
| Green Party | 3,448 | 8.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 5.9% | -1 |
| Independent | 1,673 | 4.2% | 1 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0% | +1 |
| Total | 39,580 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 17 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Bicester South and Ambrosden · 1 seat · won at 38.0% · −12.0 pts below quota
- Bicester West · 1 seat · won at 40.5% · −9.5 pts below quota
- Kidlington East · 1 seat · won at 44.5% · −5.5 pts below quota
- Banbury Hardwick · 1 seat · won at 48.9% · −1.1 pts below quota
- Banbury Grimsbury and Hightown · 1 seat · won at 49.6% · −0.4 pts below quota
- Banbury Cross and Neithrop · 1 seat · won at 50.7% · above quota
- Bicester East · 1 seat · won at 53.4% · above quota
- Bicester North and Caversfield · 1 seat · won at 53.6% · above quota
- Deddington · 1 seat · won at 56.4% · above quota
- Banbury Calthorpe and Easington · 1 seat · won at 57.1% · above quota
- Kidlington West · 1 seat · won at 57.2% · above quota
- Adderbury, Bloxham and Bodicote · 1 seat · won at 58.6% · above quota
- Launton and Otmoor · 1 seat · won at 58.6% · above quota
- Banbury Ruscote · 1 seat · won at 60.1% · above quota
- Fringford and Heyfords · 1 seat · won at 66.5% · above quota
- Cropredy, Sibfords and Wroxton · 2 seats · won at 62.3% · above quota
Race results
Bicester South and Ambrosden · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −12.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,167
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucinda Wing | Conservative Party | 824 | 38.0% | −12.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nick Cotter | Independent | 796 | 36.7% | — | |
| 3 | Marcus English | Labour Party | 421 | 19.4% | — | |
| 4 | Roger Nixon | Green Party | 126 | 5.8% | — |
Bicester West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −9.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,168
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Broad | Independent | 877 | 40.5% | −9.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Lydiat | Conservative Party | 716 | 33.0% | — | |
| 3 | Stuart Moss | Labour Party | 439 | 20.2% | — | |
| 4 | Robert Nixon | Green Party | 72 | 3.3% | — | |
| 5 | Mark Chivers | Liberal Democrats | 64 | 3.0% | — |
Kidlington East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,593
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carmen Griffiths | Conservative Party | 1,153 | 44.5% | −5.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ian Middleton | Green Party | 776 | 29.9% | — | |
| 3 | Andrew Hornsby-Smith | Labour Party | 664 | 25.6% | — |
Banbury Hardwick · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,878
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Ilott | Conservative Party | 918 | 48.9% | −1.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Perran Moon | Labour Party | 778 | 41.4% | — | |
| 3 | Simmi Cumberbatch | Green Party | 182 | 9.7% | — |
Banbury Grimsbury and Hightown · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,214
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shaida Hussain | Labour Party | 1,098 | 49.6% | −0.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Beverly | Conservative Party | 849 | 38.3% | — | |
| 3 | Liz Vere | Green Party | 153 | 6.9% | — | |
| 4 | David Wiles | Liberal Democrats | 114 | 5.1% | — |
Banbury Cross and Neithrop · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,415
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cassi Perry | Labour Party | 1,225 | 50.7% | +0.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alastair Milne-Home | Conservative Party | 883 | 36.6% | — | |
| 3 | Bernard Dod | Green Party | 155 | 6.4% | — | |
| 4 | Bette Melling | Liberal Democrats | 152 | 6.3% | — |
Bicester East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,906
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Wallis | Conservative Party | 1,018 | 53.4% | +3.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Celia Kavuma | Labour Party | 653 | 34.3% | — | |
| 3 | Robert Nixon | Green Party | 235 | 12.3% | — |
Bicester North and Caversfield · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,694
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Mawer | Conservative Party | 908 | 53.6% | +3.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Margaret Lyon | Labour Party | 457 | 27.0% | — | |
| 3 | Daniel Murphy | Liberal Democrats | 192 | 11.3% | — | |
| 4 | Francis Boon | Green Party | 137 | 8.1% | — |
Deddington · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,901
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Kerford-Byrnes | Conservative Party | 1,637 | 56.4% | +6.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Annette Murphy | Labour Party | 597 | 20.6% | — | |
| 3 | Nigel Davis | Liberal Democrats | 350 | 12.1% | — | |
| 4 | Aaron Bliss | Green Party | 317 | 10.9% | — |
Banbury Calthorpe and Easington · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,532
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Mepham | Conservative Party | 1,447 | 57.1% | +7.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Antonio Ferrara | Labour Party | 758 | 29.9% | — | |
| 3 | Jane Hamel | Green Party | 169 | 6.7% | — | |
| 4 | Brent Jackson | Liberal Democrats | 158 | 6.2% | — |
Kidlington West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,137
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alaric Rose | Liberal Democrats | 1,793 | 57.2% | +7.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nigel Simpson | Conservative Party | 1,045 | 33.3% | — | |
| 3 | John Stansby | Labour Party | 299 | 9.5% | — |
Adderbury, Bloxham and Bodicote · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,488
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew McHugh | Conservative Party | 1,457 | 58.6% | +8.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Suzette Watson | Labour Party | 540 | 21.7% | — | |
| 3 | Peter Davis | Liberal Democrats | 284 | 11.4% | — | |
| 4 | Andy Aris | Green Party | 207 | 8.3% | — |
Launton and Otmoor · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,366
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Hughes | Conservative Party | 1,386 | 58.6% | +8.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Nixon | Labour Party | 567 | 24.0% | — | |
| 3 | Timothy Emptage | Liberal Democrats | 413 | 17.5% | — |
Banbury Ruscote · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,720
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Richards | Labour Party | 1,033 | 60.1% | +10.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Chris Phillips | Conservative Party | 580 | 33.7% | — | |
| 3 | Rita White | Green Party | 107 | 6.2% | — |
Fringford and Heyfords · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,210
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Wood | Conservative Party | 1,470 | 66.5% | +16.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jenny Tamblyn | Green Party | 379 | 17.1% | — | |
| 3 | Robby Prior | Labour Party | 361 | 16.3% | — |
Cropredy, Sibfords and Wroxton · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 62.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,596
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Phil Chapman | Conservative Party | 1,677 | 32.3% | 64.6% | +31.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Douglas Webb | Conservative Party | 1,618 | 31.2% | 62.3% | +29.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Anne Cullen | Labour Party | 512 | 9.9% | 19.7% | — | |
| 4 | Susan Moon | Labour Party | 503 | 9.7% | 19.4% | — | |
| 5 | Julian Woodward | Liberal Democrats | 448 | 8.6% | 17.3% | — | |
| 6 | Shaun Greenslade-Hibbert | Green Party | 433 | 8.3% | 16.7% | — |