← Cherwell (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort

Cherwell 2022

Local elections held 5 May 2022.

16 ward races

17 seats

10 elected below the proportional quota

58.8% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	16,169	38.4%	6	35.3%	7	41.2%	-1
Liberal Democrats	11,120	26.4%	5	29.4%	5	29.4%	0
Labour Party	10,434	24.8%	4	23.5%	4	23.5%	0
Green Party	3,241	7.7%	1	5.9%	1	5.9%	0
Independent	1,092	2.6%	1	5.9%	0	0.0%	+1
Total	42,056	100.0%	17	100.0%	17	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Bicester North & Caversfield · 1 seat · won at 40.9% · +9.1 pts below quota
Launton & Otmoor · 2 seats · won at 24.7% · +8.6 pts below quota
Fringford & Heyfords · 1 seat · won at 42.5% · +7.5 pts below quota
Banbury Hardwick · 1 seat · won at 43.2% · +6.8 pts below quota
Deddington · 1 seat · won at 45.9% · +4.1 pts below quota
Banbury Calthorpe & Easington · 1 seat · won at 46.7% · +3.3 pts below quota
Kidlington East · 1 seat · won at 46.8% · +3.2 pts below quota
Bicester East · 1 seat · won at 48.0% · +2.0 pts below quota
Cropredy Sibfords & Wroxton · 1 seat · won at 49.8% · +0.2 pts below quota
Banbury Cross & Neithrop · 1 seat · won at 50.8% · above quota
Bicester West · 1 seat · won at 52.3% · above quota
Kidlington West · 1 seat · won at 52.4% · above quota
Bicester South & Ambrosden · 1 seat · won at 55.4% · above quota
Banbury Ruscote · 1 seat · won at 55.7% · above quota
Banbury Grimsbury & Hightown · 1 seat · won at 56.5% · above quota
Adderbury Bloxham & Bodicote · 1 seat · won at 59.9% · above quota

Race results

Bicester North & Caversfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,947

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mawer N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	797	40.9%	Elected
2	Bais A.	Labour Party	546	28.0%
3	Lytton S.	Liberal Democrats	386	19.8%
4	Maguire A.	Green Party	218	11.2%

Electorate 6,510 · Ballots cast 1,947 · EC ward code E05010926 · Back to ward index

Launton & Otmoor · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,344

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Coton G.	Liberal Democrats	1,477	27.6%	Elected
2	Patrick A.	Liberal Democrats	1,322	24.7%	Elected
3	Hughes D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,091	20.4%
4	Jackson S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	958	17.9%
5	Howells J.	Labour Party	267	5.0%
6	Karslake N.	Labour Party	229	4.3%

Electorate 6,387 · Ballots cast 5,344 · EC ward code E05010934 · Back to ward index

Fringford & Heyfords · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,508

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wood B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,066	42.5%	Elected
2	Keane D.	Liberal Democrats	508	20.3%
3	Howells S.	Labour Party	474	18.9%
4	Tamblyn J.	Green Party	460	18.3%

Electorate 7,076 · Ballots cast 2,508 · EC ward code E05012969 · Back to ward index

Banbury Hardwick · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,847

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Crichton A.	Labour Party	798	43.2%	Elected
2	Ilott T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	717	38.8%
3	Nuttall A.	Green Party	182	9.9%
4	Raisbeck A.	Liberal Democrats	150	8.1%

Electorate 7,407 · Ballots cast 1,847 · EC ward code E05010923 · Back to ward index

Deddington · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,085

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Reeves E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,416	45.9%	Elected
2	Murphy A.	Labour Party	690	22.4%
3	Hartley J.	Liberal Democrats	640	20.7%
4	Bliss A.	Green Party	339	11.0%

Electorate 7,443 · Ballots cast 3,085 · EC ward code E05010930 · Back to ward index

Banbury Calthorpe & Easington · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,828

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harwood I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,320	46.7%	Elected
2	Creed I.	Labour Party	1,207	42.7%
3	Pattenden R.	Liberal Democrats	301	10.6%

Electorate 8,634 · Ballots cast 2,828 · EC ward code E05011349 · Back to ward index

Kidlington East · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,824

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mawson F.	Green Party	1,322	46.8%	Elected
2	Simpson N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,070	37.9%
3	Stephenson-Hunter S.	Labour Party	432	15.3%

Electorate 7,038 · Ballots cast 2,824 · EC ward code E05010932 · Back to ward index

Bicester East · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,974

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ford D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	947	48.0%	Elected
2	Maguire D.	Green Party	544	27.6%
3	Akbur S.	Labour Party	483	24.5%

Electorate 6,335 · Ballots cast 1,974 · EC ward code E05010925 · Back to ward index

Cropredy Sibfords & Wroxton · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,804

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chapman P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,396	49.8%	Elected
2	Huntley X.	Liberal Democrats	707	25.2%
3	Cullen A.	Labour Party	701	25.0%

Electorate 6,953 · Ballots cast 2,804 · EC ward code E05010929 · Back to ward index

Banbury Cross & Neithrop · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.8 pts Valid ballots 2,172

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Okeke C.	Labour Party	1,103	50.8%	Elected
2	Ahmed F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	769	35.4%
3	Haeger A.	Liberal Democrats	300	13.8%

Electorate 7,422 · Ballots cast 2,172 · EC ward code E05010921 · Back to ward index

Bicester West · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.3 pts Valid ballots 2,089

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Broad J.	Independent	1,092	52.3%	Elected
2	Holland S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	615	29.4%
3	Uttley S.	Labour Party	382	18.3%

Electorate 6,613 · Ballots cast 2,089 · EC ward code E05010928 · Back to ward index

Kidlington West · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.4 pts Valid ballots 2,795

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Conway J.	Liberal Democrats	1,465	52.4%	Elected
2	Kingsley H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,005	36.0%
3	Uche C.	Labour Party	325	11.6%

Electorate 6,988 · Ballots cast 2,795 · EC ward code E05010933 · Back to ward index

Bicester South & Ambrosden · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.4 pts Valid ballots 3,126

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pruden C.	Liberal Democrats	1,732	55.4%	Elected
2	Singh S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	982	31.4%
3	Roscoe S.	Labour Party	412	13.2%

Electorate 9,413 · Ballots cast 3,126 · EC ward code E05012968 · Back to ward index

Banbury Ruscote · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.7 pts Valid ballots 1,656

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Watkins A.	Labour Party	922	55.7%	Elected
2	Strangwood J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	562	33.9%
3	Buckwell S.	Liberal Democrats	172	10.4%

Electorate 7,036 · Ballots cast 1,656 · EC ward code E05010924 · Back to ward index

Banbury Grimsbury & Hightown · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.5 pts Valid ballots 2,049

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Biegel R.	Labour Party	1,158	56.5%	Elected
2	Dalton B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	556	27.1%
3	Kwiatkowski K.	Green Party	176	8.6%
4	Yeomans D.	Liberal Democrats	159	7.8%

Electorate 7,141 · Ballots cast 2,049 · EC ward code E05010922 · Back to ward index

Adderbury Bloxham & Bodicote · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.9 pts Valid ballots 3,008

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hingley D.	Liberal Democrats	1,801	59.9%	Elected
2	Mepham T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	902	30.0%
3	Tohill-Martin S.	Labour Party	305	10.1%

Electorate 7,499 · Ballots cast 3,008 · EC ward code E05011348 · Back to ward index