← Cherwell (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Cherwell 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

16 ward races

16 seats

12 elected below the proportional quota

75.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	11,156	30.9%	2	12.5%	5	31.3%	-3
Liberal Democrats	10,220	28.3%	8	50.0%	5	31.3%	+3
Labour Party	9,137	25.3%	4	25.0%	4	25.0%	0
Green Party	3,659	10.1%	1	6.3%	1	6.3%	0
Independent	1,905	5.3%	1	6.3%	1	6.3%	0
Total	36,077	100.0%	16	100.0%	16	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Bicester North and Caversfield · 1 seat · won at 37.5% · +12.5 pts below quota
Bicester East · 1 seat · won at 39.1% · +10.9 pts below quota
Banbury Calthorpe and Easington · 1 seat · won at 39.9% · +10.1 pts below quota
Adderbury Bloxham and Bodicote · 1 seat · won at 40.9% · +9.1 pts below quota
Launton and Otmoor · 1 seat · won at 42.8% · +7.2 pts below quota
Kidlington East · 1 seat · won at 43.7% · +6.3 pts below quota
Deddington · 1 seat · won at 43.8% · +6.2 pts below quota
Fringford and Heyfords · 1 seat · won at 44.6% · +5.4 pts below quota
Banbury Grimsbury and Hightown · 1 seat · won at 44.7% · +5.3 pts below quota
Cropredy Sibfords and Wroxton · 1 seat · won at 47.6% · +2.4 pts below quota
Banbury Cross and Neithrop · 1 seat · won at 48.4% · +1.6 pts below quota
Bicester South and Ambrosden · 1 seat · won at 49.5% · +0.5 pts below quota
Banbury Hardwick · 1 seat · won at 50.2% · above quota
Kidlington West · 1 seat · won at 53.1% · above quota
Banbury Ruscote · 1 seat · won at 58.6% · above quota
Bicester West · 1 seat · won at 59.0% · above quota

Race results

Bicester North and Caversfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,895

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Willett, J.	Liberal Democrats	710	37.5%	Elected
2	Pratt, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	614	32.4%
3	Bais, A.	Labour Party	416	22.0%
4	Campbell, C.	Green Party	155	8.2%

Electorate 6,669 · Ballots cast 1,895 · EC ward code E05010926 · Back to ward index

Bicester East · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,906

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Parkinson, R.	Liberal Democrats	746	39.1%	Elected
2	Dallimore, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	577	30.3%
3	Clements, J.	Labour Party	355	18.6%
4	Maguire, D.	Green Party	228	12.0%

Electorate 6,394 · Ballots cast 1,906 · EC ward code E05010925 · Back to ward index

Banbury Calthorpe and Easington · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,859

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mallon, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,141	39.9%	Elected
2	Cullen, A.	Labour Party	1,120	39.2%
3	Reed, L.	Green Party	216	7.6%
4	Brown, J.	Independent	200	7.0%
5	Buckwell, S.	Liberal Democrats	182	6.4%

Electorate 8,826 · Ballots cast 2,859 · EC ward code E05011349 · Back to ward index

Adderbury Bloxham and Bodicote · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,691

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Blakeway, G.	Liberal Democrats	1,100	40.9%	Elected
2	Nell, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	908	33.7%
3	Oldfield, H.	Labour Party	488	18.1%
4	Newbury, L.	Green Party	195	7.2%

Electorate 7,792 · Ballots cast 2,691 · EC ward code E05011348 · Back to ward index

Launton and Otmoor · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,441

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Russell, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,044	42.8%	Elected
2	Hughes, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	944	38.7%
3	Daulton, J.	Labour Party	306	12.5%
4	MacEwan, F.	Green Party	147	6.0%

Electorate 6,557 · Ballots cast 2,441 · EC ward code E05010934 · Back to ward index

Kidlington East · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,312

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ward, L.	Green Party	1,010	43.7%	Elected
2	Nell, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	541	23.4%
3	Moorhouse, M.	Liberal Democrats	396	17.1%
4	Warland, G.	Labour Party	365	15.8%

Electorate 7,100 · Ballots cast 2,312 · EC ward code E05010932 · Back to ward index

Deddington · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,838

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rogers, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,244	43.8%	Elected
2	Murphy, A.	Labour Party	941	33.2%
3	Hartley, J.	Liberal Democrats	357	12.6%
4	Bliss, A.	Green Party	296	10.4%

Electorate 7,519 · Ballots cast 2,838 · EC ward code E05010930 · Back to ward index

Fringford and Heyfords · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,620

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Conway-Murray, G.	Liberal Democrats	1,169	44.6%	Elected
2	Holland, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	949	36.2%
3	Hewer, R.	Labour Party	257	9.8%
4	Tamblyn, J.	Green Party	245	9.4%

Electorate 7,402 · Ballots cast 2,620 · EC ward code E05012969 · Back to ward index

Banbury Grimsbury and Hightown · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,885

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Vaitkus, D.	Labour Party	842	44.7%	Elected
2	Mahmood, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	387	20.5%
3	Parker-Manuel, S.	Liberal Democrats	254	13.5%
4	Bellingham, C.	Independent	227	12.0%
5	Kwiatkowski, K.	Green Party	175	9.3%

Electorate 7,217 · Ballots cast 1,885 · EC ward code E05010922 · Back to ward index

Cropredy Sibfords and Wroxton · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,754

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brant, C.	Liberal Democrats	1,310	47.6%	Elected
2	Reynolds, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,056	38.3%
3	Harman, K.	Labour Party	388	14.1%

Electorate 6,962 · Ballots cast 2,754 · EC ward code E05010929 · Back to ward index

Banbury Cross and Neithrop · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,933

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hodgson, M.	Labour Party	936	48.4%	Elected
2	Ahmed, F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	469	24.3%
3	Garrett, S.	Independent	220	11.4%
4	Nuttall, A.	Green Party	187	9.7%
5	Raisbeck, A.	Liberal Democrats	121	6.3%

Electorate 7,537 · Ballots cast 1,933 · EC ward code E05010921 · Back to ward index

Bicester South and Ambrosden · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,525

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ideh, F.	Liberal Democrats	1,250	49.5%	Elected
2	Omotayo, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	647	25.6%
3	Tohill-Martin, S.	Labour Party	406	16.1%
4	Core, B.	Green Party	222	8.8%

Electorate 10,380 · Ballots cast 2,525 · EC ward code E05012968 · Back to ward index

Banbury Hardwick · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.2 pts Valid ballots 1,733

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Thornhill, K.	Labour Party	870	50.2%	Elected
2	Dongo Munoz, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	561	32.4%
3	Broom, C.	Green Party	196	11.3%
4	Aramini, C.	Liberal Democrats	106	6.1%

Electorate 7,711 · Ballots cast 1,733 · EC ward code E05010923 · Back to ward index

Kidlington West · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.1 pts Valid ballots 2,304

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Walker, D.	Liberal Democrats	1,224	53.1%	Elected
2	McLernon, Z.	Conservative and Unionist Party	575	25.0%
3	Richards, B.	Labour Party	281	12.2%
4	Maguire, A.	Green Party	224	9.7%

Electorate 7,091 · Ballots cast 2,304 · EC ward code E05010933 · Back to ward index

Banbury Ruscote · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.6 pts Valid ballots 1,482

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cherry, M.	Labour Party	868	58.6%	Elected
2	Ogunnubi, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	302	20.4%
3	Battison, J.	Independent	137	9.2%
4	Middleton, J.	Green Party	95	6.4%
5	Petterson, M.	Liberal Democrats	80	5.4%

Electorate 7,272 · Ballots cast 1,482 · EC ward code E05010924 · Back to ward index

Bicester West · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.0 pts Valid ballots 1,899

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sibley, L.	Independent	1,121	59.0%	Elected
2	Karslake, N.	Labour Party	298	15.7%
3	Whittingham, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	241	12.7%
4	Jackson, P.	Liberal Democrats	171	9.0%
5	Campbell, T.	Green Party	68	3.6%

Electorate 6,583 · Ballots cast 1,899 · EC ward code E05010928 · Back to ward index