← Cotswold (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort
Cotswold 2025
Local elections held 1 May 2025.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 8 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 8 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 10,903 | 38.9% | 5 | 62.5% | 3 | 37.5% | +2 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 8,509 | 30.4% | 3 | 37.5% | 3 | 37.5% | 0 |
| Reform UK | 5,928 | 21.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 25.0% | -2 |
| Green Party | 1,913 | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Labour Party | 781 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 28,034 | 100.0% | 8 | 100.0% | 8 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Moreton, Stow & the Rissingtons · 1 seat · won at 36.8% · +13.2 pts below quota
- Tetbury · 1 seat · won at 37.3% · +12.7 pts below quota
- Campden-Vale · 1 seat · won at 39.9% · +10.1 pts below quota
- Fairford & Lechlade on Thames · 1 seat · won at 40.0% · +10.0 pts below quota
- Cirencester North with Ermin · 1 seat · won at 44.8% · +5.2 pts below quota
- South Cerney · 1 seat · won at 47.3% · +2.7 pts below quota
- Cirencester Park · 1 seat · won at 52.2% · above quota
- Bourton-on-the-Water & Northleach · 1 seat · won at 55.9% · above quota
Race results
Moreton, Stow & the Rissingtons · single-seat
Marginal winner 36.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +13.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,518
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daryl John Corps | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,293 | 36.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Craig Andrew Thurling | Liberal Democrats | 1,104 | 31.4% | |
| 3 | Julian Douglas Painter | Reform UK | 803 | 22.8% | |
| 4 | Bob Eastoe | Green Party | 226 | 6.4% | |
| 5 | Paula Hogard | Labour Party | 92 | 2.6% |
Tetbury · single-seat
Marginal winner 37.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,340
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Watson | Liberal Democrats | 1,246 | 37.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Stephan Alexander Fifield | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,215 | 36.4% | |
| 3 | Elizabeth Nagle | Reform UK | 591 | 17.7% | |
| 4 | Michael Graeme Wagner | Green Party | 182 | 5.4% | |
| 5 | Julie Marie Harper | Labour Party | 110 | 3.3% |
Campden-Vale · single-seat
Marginal winner 39.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,881
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tom Bradley | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,549 | 39.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Philip Nickson | Reform UK | 916 | 23.6% | |
| 3 | Clare Victoria Turner | Green Party | 875 | 22.5% | |
| 4 | Rupert James Potter | Liberal Democrats | 452 | 11.6% | |
| 5 | Annis May Timpson | Labour Party | 95 | 2.4% |
Fairford & Lechlade on Thames · single-seat
Marginal winner 40.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,580
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dom Morris | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,433 | 40.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Tristan James Wilkinson | Liberal Democrats | 1,250 | 34.9% | |
| 3 | Johnno Hummel | Reform UK | 646 | 18.0% | |
| 4 | Katya Lee-Browne | Green Party | 161 | 4.5% | |
| 5 | Abbie Wells | Labour Party | 92 | 2.6% |
Cirencester North with Ermin · single-seat
Marginal winner 44.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,511
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Harris | Liberal Democrats | 1,574 | 44.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Jill Rixon | Reform UK | 870 | 24.8% | |
| 3 | David Fowles | Conservative and Unionist Party | 782 | 22.3% | |
| 4 | Tony Cima | Green Party | 173 | 4.9% | |
| 5 | Glenn McPeak | Labour Party | 112 | 3.2% |
South Cerney · single-seat
Marginal winner 47.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,527
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lisa Claire Spivey | Liberal Democrats | 1,668 | 47.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Rachel Roffe | Conservative and Unionist Party | 951 | 27.0% | |
| 3 | Richard Latham | Reform UK | 719 | 20.4% | |
| 4 | Lucy Elizabeth Schlappa | Green Party | 120 | 3.4% | |
| 5 | Josh Littler-Jennings | Labour Party | 69 | 2.0% |
Cirencester Park · single-seat
Marginal winner 52.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.2 pts Valid ballots 2,963
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Harris | Liberal Democrats | 1,546 | 52.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Mackenzie Jayne Vaughan | Reform UK | 635 | 21.4% | |
| 3 | Jackie Tarleton | Conservative and Unionist Party | 460 | 15.5% | |
| 4 | Bob Irving | Green Party | 176 | 5.9% | |
| 5 | Andy Farmer | Labour Party | 151 | 5.1% |
Bourton-on-the-Water & Northleach · single-seat
Marginal winner 55.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.9 pts Valid ballots 3,688
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Hodgkinson | Liberal Democrats | 2,063 | 55.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Madan Samuel | Conservative and Unionist Party | 826 | 22.4% | |
| 3 | Matt Backhouse | Reform UK | 748 | 20.3% | |
| 4 | Andrew Robert McCulloch | Labour Party | 60 | 1.6% |