← Dover (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Dover 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

17 ward races

32 seats

30 elected below the proportional quota

93.8% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 32 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Labour Party	22,011	40.7%	17	53.1%	13	40.6%	+4
Conservative and Unionist Party	20,449	37.8%	14	43.8%	13	40.6%	+1
Green Party	4,929	9.1%	0	0.0%	3	9.4%	-3
Liberal Democrats	3,474	6.4%	0	0.0%	2	6.3%	-2
Independent	2,746	5.1%	1	3.1%	1	3.1%	0
Heritage Party	230	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	205	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	54,044	100.0%	32	100.0%	32	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Eastry Rural · 2 seats · won at 19.5% · +13.9 pts below quota
Dover Downs & River · 2 seats · won at 20.5% · +12.9 pts below quota
Guston, Kingsdown & St Margaret's-at-Cliffe · 2 seats · won at 21.2% · +12.2 pts below quota
Town & Castle · 2 seats · won at 22.2% · +11.2 pts below quota
Walmer · 2 seats · won at 22.2% · +11.1 pts below quota
Little Stour & Ashstone · 2 seats · won at 22.7% · +10.6 pts below quota
Sandwich · 2 seats · won at 23.0% · +10.3 pts below quota
Maxton & Elms Vale · 1 seat · won at 40.7% · +9.3 pts below quota
Whitfield · 2 seats · won at 25.1% · +8.2 pts below quota
St Radigunds · 2 seats · won at 25.4% · +7.9 pts below quota
Aylesham, Eythorne & Shepherdswell · 3 seats · won at 17.9% · +7.1 pts below quota
Middle Deal · 2 seats · won at 28.1% · +5.3 pts below quota
Mill Hill · 2 seats · won at 28.4% · +4.9 pts below quota
Buckland · 2 seats · won at 30.3% · +3.0 pts below quota
North Deal · 2 seats · won at 31.3% · +2.1 pts below quota
Alkham & Capel-le-Ferne · 1 seat · won at 49.7% · +0.3 pts below quota
Tower Hamlets · 1 seat · won at 75.1% · above quota

Race results

Eastry Rural · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +13.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,586

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kenton, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	776	21.6%	Elected
2	Manion, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	698	19.5%	Elected
3	Waite-Gleave, S.	Green Party	645	18.0%
4	Findley, P.	Green Party	615	17.2%
5	Pestell, D.	Labour Party	380	10.6%
6	Hack, G.	Labour Party	369	10.3%
7	Pennington, C.	Liberal Democrats	103	2.9%

Electorate 4,792 · Ballots cast 3,586 · Back to ward index

Dover Downs & River · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,720

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Beaney, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	845	22.7%	Elected
2	Rose, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	761	20.5%	Elected
3	Cosin, B.	Labour Party	680	18.3%
4	Tanton, A.	Green Party	526	14.1%
5	James, P.	Liberal Democrats	525	14.1%
6	Walker-Smith, A.	Liberal Democrats	383	10.3%

Electorate 5,323 · Ballots cast 3,720 · Back to ward index

Guston, Kingsdown & St Margaret's-at-Cliffe · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,445

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bates, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	960	21.6%	Elected
2	Richardson, O.	Conservative and Unionist Party	941	21.2%	Elected
3	Lonsdale, J.	Green Party	758	17.1%
4	Cosin, M.	Labour Party	690	15.5%
5	Hawkins, B.	Labour Party	604	13.6%
6	Gosling, J.	Liberal Democrats	262	5.9%
7	Laidlow-Petersen, S.	Heritage Party	230	5.2%

Electorate 5,788 · Ballots cast 4,445 · Back to ward index

Town & Castle · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,705

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hill, S.	Labour Party	616	22.8%	Elected
2	Biggs, E.	Labour Party	600	22.2%	Elected
3	Jeacock, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	423	15.6%
4	Reynolds, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	390	14.4%
5	Sawbridge, B.	Green Party	238	8.8%
6	Marsh, K.	Independent	207	7.7%
7	Payne, A.	Independent	122	4.5%
8	O'Donoghue, L.	Liberal Democrats	83	3.1%
9	Philp, B.	Independent	26	1.0%

Electorate 5,713 · Ballots cast 2,705 · Back to ward index

Walmer · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,495

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Vinson, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,023	22.8%	Elected
2	Murphy, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	999	22.2%	Elected
3	Eddy, M.	Green Party	726	16.2%
4	Holloway, A.	Labour Party	685	15.2%
5	Bano, B.	Labour Party	656	14.6%
6	Blackwell, R.	Liberal Democrats	406	9.0%

Electorate 5,742 · Ballots cast 4,495 · Back to ward index

Little Stour & Ashstone · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,798

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bartlett, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,103	29.0%	Elected
2	Porter, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	864	22.7%	Elected
3	Featherstone, J.	Labour Party	428	11.3%
4	Timpson, R.	Liberal Democrats	401	10.6%
5	Weaver, G.	Labour Party	360	9.5%
6	Mathlin, J.	Green Party	353	9.3%
7	Sharpe, J.	Green Party	289	7.6%

Electorate 5,717 · Ballots cast 3,798 · Back to ward index

Sandwich · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,580

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Moorhouse, M.	Independent	945	26.4%	Elected
2	Friend, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	823	23.0%	Elected
3	Sampson, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	701	19.6%
4	Pennington, M.	Liberal Democrats	442	12.3%
5	Louis, P.	Labour Party	336	9.4%
6	Garside, M.	Labour Party	333	9.3%

Electorate 5,263 · Ballots cast 3,580 · Back to ward index

Maxton & Elms Vale · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 979

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Nee, M.	Labour Party	398	40.7%	Elected
2	Wanstall, G.	Independent	288	29.4%
3	Warriner, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	193	19.7%
4	Shread, N.	Green Party	100	10.2%

Electorate 2,948 · Ballots cast 979 · Back to ward index

Whitfield · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,861

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Knight, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	748	26.1%	Elected
2	Back, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	718	25.1%	Elected
3	Hill, C.	Labour Party	462	16.1%
4	Harris-Small, R.	Labour Party	407	14.2%
5	McGillivray, M.	Reform UK	205	7.2%
6	O'Connor, S.	Green Party	183	6.4%
7	Hope, B.	Liberal Democrats	138	4.8%

Electorate 5,209 · Ballots cast 2,861 · Back to ward index

St Radigunds · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,703

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wright, L.	Labour Party	464	27.2%	Elected
2	Cowans, G.	Labour Party	433	25.4%	Elected
3	Defriend, J.	Independent	339	19.9%
4	Calder, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	234	13.7%
5	Collins, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	233	13.7%

Electorate 4,578 · Ballots cast 1,703 · Back to ward index

Aylesham, Eythorne & Shepherdswell · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,053

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Woodgate, C.	Labour Party	1,423	20.2%	Elected
2	Pout, J.	Labour Party	1,410	20.0%	Elected
3	Mamjan, M.	Labour Party	1,260	17.9%	Elected
4	Richardson, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	630	8.9%
5	Livesey, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	599	8.5%
6	Matthew, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	593	8.4%
7	Garrity, D.	Independent	531	7.5%
8	Sim, B.	Liberal Democrats	319	4.5%
9	Armstrong, G.	Independent	288	4.1%

Electorate 8,669 · Ballots cast 7,053 · Back to ward index

Middle Deal · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,688

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Blair, S.	Labour Party	1,128	30.6%	Elected
2	Cronk, D.	Labour Party	1,035	28.1%	Elected
3	Bond, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	710	19.3%
4	Davenport, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	563	15.3%
5	Headley, C.	Liberal Democrats	252	6.8%

Electorate 5,593 · Ballots cast 3,688 · Back to ward index

Mill Hill · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,579

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Williams, H.	Labour Party	1,074	30.0%	Elected
2	Loffman, J.	Labour Party	1,018	28.4%	Elected
3	Hawkes, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	519	14.5%
4	Oliver, C.	Green Party	496	13.9%
5	Burwash, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	472	13.2%

Electorate 5,890 · Ballots cast 3,579 · Back to ward index

Buckland · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,030

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mills, K.	Labour Party	692	34.1%	Elected
2	Zosseder, C.	Labour Party	615	30.3%	Elected
3	Carrole, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	373	18.4%
4	Reynolds, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	350	17.2%

Electorate 5,288 · Ballots cast 2,030 · Back to ward index

North Deal · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 31.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,341

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Parks, D.	Labour Party	1,359	31.3%	Elected
2	Beer, S.	Labour Party	1,357	31.3%	Elected
3	Jull, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	896	20.6%
4	Morgan, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	729	16.8%

Electorate 5,705 · Ballots cast 4,341 · Back to ward index

Alkham & Capel-le-Ferne · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 862

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hibbert, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	428	49.7%	Elected
2	Walters, B.	Labour Party	274	31.8%
3	Evans, H.	Liberal Democrats	160	18.6%

Electorate 2,659 · Ballots cast 862 · Back to ward index

Tower Hamlets · single-seat

Marginal winner 75.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −25.1 pts Valid ballots 619

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brivio, P.	Labour Party	465	75.1%	Elected
2	Jenner, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	154	24.9%

Electorate 2,847 · Ballots cast 619 · Back to ward index