← East Hertfordshire (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort
East Hertfordshire 2025
Local elections held 1 May 2025.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 10 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 10 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 10,931 | 28.7% | 3 | 30.0% | 3 | 30.0% | 0 |
| Reform UK | 10,375 | 27.2% | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 30.0% | -2 |
| Green Party | 7,735 | 20.3% | 4 | 40.0% | 2 | 20.0% | +2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 5,361 | 14.1% | 2 | 20.0% | 1 | 10.0% | +1 |
| Labour Party | 3,338 | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 10.0% | -1 |
| Labour and Co-operative Party | 301 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 34 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alliance for Democracy and Freedom | 24 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Heritage Party | 11 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 38,110 | 100.0% | 10 | 100.0% | 10 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Bishop's Stortford West · 1 seat · won at 27.5% · +22.5 pts below quota
- Hertford St. Andrews · 1 seat · won at 29.4% · +20.6 pts below quota
- Bishop's Stortford Rural · 1 seat · won at 30.7% · +19.3 pts below quota
- Ware South · 1 seat · won at 31.4% · +18.6 pts below quota
- Ware North · 1 seat · won at 32.5% · +17.5 pts below quota
- Buntingford · 1 seat · won at 37.3% · +12.7 pts below quota
- Hertford Rural · 1 seat · won at 40.2% · +9.8 pts below quota
- Bishop's Stortford East · 1 seat · won at 44.7% · +5.3 pts below quota
- Sawbridgeworth · 1 seat · won at 45.1% · +4.9 pts below quota
- Hertford All Saints · 1 seat · won at 49.7% · +0.3 pts below quota
Race results
Bishop's Stortford West · single-seat
Marginal winner 27.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +22.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,894
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Miriam Joy Swainston | Liberal Democrats | 1,072 | 27.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Harrison Grose | Reform UK | 949 | 24.4% | |
| 3 | John Fraser Wyllie | Conservative and Unionist Party | 947 | 24.3% | |
| 4 | David John Jacobs | Labour Party | 632 | 16.2% | |
| 5 | Maura Catherine Connolly | Green Party | 294 | 7.6% |
Hertford St. Andrews · single-seat
Marginal winner 29.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +20.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,065
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rachel Carter | Green Party | 1,194 | 29.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Ryan Henson | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,135 | 27.9% | |
| 3 | David West | Reform UK | 834 | 20.5% | |
| 4 | Jack Stephen Risbridger | Labour Party | 673 | 16.6% | |
| 5 | Geoff Madge | Liberal Democrats | 204 | 5.0% | |
| 6 | Sean Figg | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 25 | 0.6% |
Bishop's Stortford Rural · single-seat
Marginal winner 30.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +19.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,546
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Pope | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,087 | 30.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Jonathan Grose | Reform UK | 1,080 | 30.5% | |
| 3 | Martin Paul Adams | Liberal Democrats | 643 | 18.1% | |
| 4 | Susan Jackson | Labour Party | 396 | 11.2% | |
| 5 | George Robert Kenneth Williams | Green Party | 316 | 8.9% | |
| 6 | Jane Maria Fowler | Alliance for Democracy and Freedom | 24 | 0.7% |
Ware South · single-seat
Marginal winner 31.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +18.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,629
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Watson | Green Party | 1,140 | 31.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Joanne Belsey | Reform UK | 1,033 | 28.5% | |
| 3 | Lesley Greensmyth | Conservative and Unionist Party | 938 | 25.8% | |
| 4 | Freddie David Thomas Jewitt | Liberal Democrats | 264 | 7.3% | |
| 5 | Martin Smith | Labour Party | 254 | 7.0% |
Ware North · single-seat
Marginal winner 32.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +17.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,389
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kirsty Taylor-Moran | Green Party | 1,100 | 32.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Nigel Adams | Reform UK | 1,031 | 30.4% | |
| 3 | David Andrews | Conservative and Unionist Party | 845 | 24.9% | |
| 4 | David John Davies | Liberal Democrats | 203 | 6.0% | |
| 5 | Jack Edward Kidston | Labour Party | 201 | 5.9% | |
| 6 | Bryan David Clare | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 9 | 0.3% |
Buntingford · single-seat
Marginal winner 37.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,243
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Terry Frederick Smith | Reform UK | 1,584 | 37.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Jeff Jones | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,154 | 27.2% | |
| 3 | Georgina Schwan | Green Party | 1,017 | 24.0% | |
| 4 | Ian Bell | Labour Party | 249 | 5.9% | |
| 5 | Karl Harrington | Liberal Democrats | 239 | 5.6% |
Hertford Rural · single-seat
Marginal winner 40.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,153
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ken Crofton | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,670 | 40.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Gayle Ward | Reform UK | 1,111 | 26.8% | |
| 3 | Joe Howlett | Liberal Democrats | 709 | 17.1% | |
| 4 | Lydia Helen Somerville | Green Party | 362 | 8.7% | |
| 5 | Rob Pinkham | Labour and Co-operative Party | 301 | 7.2% |
Bishop's Stortford East · single-seat
Marginal winner 44.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,434
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Calvin Laurie Horner | Liberal Democrats | 1,536 | 44.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Mike Casey | Reform UK | 774 | 22.5% | |
| 3 | David Andrew Snowdon | Conservative and Unionist Party | 628 | 18.3% | |
| 4 | Paul Newell | Labour Party | 310 | 9.0% | |
| 5 | Andrew David Zsibrita | Green Party | 175 | 5.1% | |
| 6 | Barry Hensall | Heritage Party | 11 | 0.3% |
Sawbridgeworth · single-seat
Marginal winner 45.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,993
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eric Henry Buckmaster | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,802 | 45.1% | Elected |
| 2 | John Stefan Burmicz | Reform UK | 1,230 | 30.8% | |
| 3 | Dawn Kathleen Anne Newell | Labour Party | 376 | 9.4% | |
| 4 | Julia Mary Davies | Liberal Democrats | 318 | 8.0% | |
| 5 | Sarah Santos | Green Party | 267 | 6.7% |
Hertford All Saints · single-seat
Marginal winner 49.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,764
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Crystall | Green Party | 1,870 | 49.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Graham McAndrew | Reform UK | 749 | 19.9% | |
| 3 | Sean Howlett | Conservative and Unionist Party | 725 | 19.3% | |
| 4 | Nahum Clements | Labour Party | 247 | 6.6% | |
| 5 | Andrew James Robert Porrer | Liberal Democrats | 173 | 4.6% |