← East Lindsey (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort
East Lindsey 2021
Local elections held 6 May 2021.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 21,257 | 60.2% | 12 | 92.3% | 9 | 69.2% | +3 |
| Labour Party | 6,821 | 19.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 15.4% | -2 |
| Independent | 4,078 | 11.6% | 1 | 7.7% | 1 | 7.7% | 0 |
| SUDS | 2,616 | 7.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.7% | -1 |
| Green Party | 437 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Heritage Party | 98 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 35,307 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 13 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Louth South · 1 seat · won at 31.4% · +18.6 pts below quota
- Louth North · 1 seat · won at 42.5% · +7.5 pts below quota
- Horncastle & The Keals · 1 seat · won at 50.1% · above quota
- Skegness South · 1 seat · won at 52.8% · above quota
- Mablethorpe · 1 seat · won at 53.8% · above quota
- Skegness North · 1 seat · won at 55.7% · above quota
- Ingoldmells Rural · 1 seat · won at 67.1% · above quota
- Louth Wolds · 1 seat · won at 67.8% · above quota
- Wainfleet · 1 seat · won at 68.7% · above quota
- Alford & Sutton · 1 seat · won at 69.4% · above quota
- Saltfleet & The Cotes · 1 seat · won at 70.2% · above quota
- Tattershall Castle · 1 seat · won at 80.6% · above quota
- Woodhall Spa & Wragby · 1 seat · won at 81.3% · above quota
Race results
Louth South · single-seat
Marginal winner 31.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +18.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,817
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parkin S.R. | Independent | 884 | 31.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Makinson-Sanders J. | Independent | 824 | 29.3% | |
| 3 | Taylor T. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 538 | 19.1% | |
| 4 | Jackson R. | Labour Party | 473 | 16.8% | |
| 5 | Robb R.A. | Heritage Party | 98 | 3.5% |
Louth North · single-seat
Marginal winner 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,584
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hall A.M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,098 | 42.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Leonard A. | Independent | 912 | 35.3% | |
| 3 | Hall D. | Labour Party | 574 | 22.2% |
Horncastle & The Keals · single-seat
Marginal winner 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.1 pts Valid ballots 2,807
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gray W. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,406 | 50.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Hinkins D.J. | Labour Party | 689 | 24.5% | |
| 3 | Aron B. | Independent | 678 | 24.2% | |
| 4 | Claxton S. | SUDS | 34 | 1.2% |
Skegness South · single-seat
Marginal winner 52.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.8 pts Valid ballots 2,515
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blackburn S.A.J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,329 | 52.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Brookes B. | SUDS | 881 | 35.0% | |
| 3 | Poole C. | Labour Party | 305 | 12.1% |
Mablethorpe · single-seat
Marginal winner 53.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.8 pts Valid ballots 2,749
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sear N. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,480 | 53.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Cullen G.E. | Labour Party | 1,269 | 46.2% |
Skegness North · single-seat
Marginal winner 55.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.7 pts Valid ballots 2,271
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Macey C.S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,264 | 55.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Dannatt M. | SUDS | 639 | 28.1% | |
| 3 | Anderson M.C. | Labour Party | 368 | 16.2% |
Ingoldmells Rural · single-seat
Marginal winner 67.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.1 pts Valid ballots 2,493
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Davie C.J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,672 | 67.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Shaw J.P. | Labour Party | 347 | 13.9% | |
| 3 | Brookes D. | SUDS | 241 | 9.7% | |
| 4 | Walmsley S. | SUDS | 233 | 9.3% |
Louth Wolds · single-seat
Marginal winner 67.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.8 pts Valid ballots 3,271
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marfleet H. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2,218 | 67.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Smith P. | Labour Party | 667 | 20.4% | |
| 3 | Simpson D.A. | Independent | 386 | 11.8% |
Wainfleet · single-seat
Marginal winner 68.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.7 pts Valid ballots 2,837
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bowkett W. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,948 | 68.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Wood K.M. | Labour Party | 390 | 13.7% | |
| 3 | Findley A. | SUDS | 282 | 9.9% | |
| 4 | Finnis J.M. | Green Party | 217 | 7.6% |
Alford & Sutton · single-seat
Marginal winner 69.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.4 pts Valid ballots 2,652
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Matthews C. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,840 | 69.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Bailey I.G. | Labour Party | 506 | 19.1% | |
| 3 | Brookes J. | SUDS | 306 | 11.5% |
Saltfleet & The Cotes · single-seat
Marginal winner 70.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −20.2 pts Valid ballots 2,464
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | McNally D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,729 | 70.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Aldridge T. | Independent | 394 | 16.0% | |
| 3 | Lyons C. | Labour Party | 341 | 13.8% |
Tattershall Castle · single-seat
Marginal winner 80.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −30.6 pts Valid ballots 2,618
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ashton T. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2,109 | 80.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Croft J.F. | Labour Party | 289 | 11.0% | |
| 3 | Stokes K. | Green Party | 220 | 8.4% |
Woodhall Spa & Wragby · single-seat
Marginal winner 81.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −31.3 pts Valid ballots 3,229
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradwell P.A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 2,626 | 81.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Masterman P.M.C. | Labour Party | 603 | 18.7% |