← Eastleigh (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort

Eastleigh 2022

Local elections held 5 May 2022.

14 ward races
14 seats
4 elected below the proportional quota
28.6% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Liberal Democrats18,26650.9%1392.9%857.1%+5
Conservative and Unionist Party9,72227.1%00.0%428.6%-4
Labour Party3,4649.7%00.0%17.1%-1
Independent2,2106.2%17.1%17.1%0
Green Party2,1255.9%00.0%00.0%0
Reform UK700.2%00.0%00.0%0
Total35,857100.0%14100.0%14100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Eastleigh Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 32.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +17.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,228

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Spencer C.Liberal Democrats71632.1%Elected
2Constable J.Labour Party55725.0%
3Campbell T.Independent38417.2%
4Payne S.Conservative and Unionist Party36516.4%
5Stapleton J.Green Party1366.1%
6Fawcett C.Reform UK703.1%

Electorate 7,569 · Ballots cast 2,228 · EC ward code E05011191 · Back to ward index

Fair Oak & Horton Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,227

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Couldrey N.Liberal Democrats1,37042.5%Elected
2Burcombe-Filer B.Conservative and Unionist Party1,22337.9%
3Openshaw P.Green Party41712.9%
4Rowe C.Labour Party2176.7%

Electorate 8,569 · Ballots cast 3,227 · EC ward code E05011194 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh North · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,363

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Beer S.Liberal Democrats1,05244.5%Elected
2Crosher L.Conservative and Unionist Party69929.6%
3O'Neill K.Labour Party37215.7%
4Reeves J.Green Party24010.2%

Electorate 7,268 · Ballots cast 2,363 · EC ward code E05011192 · Back to ward index

West End South · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,797

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Asman J.Liberal Democrats87948.9%Elected
2Hall J.Conservative and Unionist Party65736.6%
3Willoughby S.Labour Party1598.8%
4Weeks T.Green Party1025.7%

Electorate 4,913 · Ballots cast 1,797 · EC ward code E05011200 · Back to ward index

West End North · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.4 pts Valid ballots 1,715

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Tennent B.Liberal Democrats89852.4%Elected
2Vivian R.Conservative and Unionist Party49228.7%
3Parry B.Green Party21412.5%
4Ashton M.Labour Party1116.5%

Electorate 4,598 · Ballots cast 1,715 · EC ward code E05011199 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh South · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.6 pts Valid ballots 2,196

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bicknell P.Liberal Democrats1,15652.6%Elected
2Palin L.Green Party43619.9%
3Phillips S.Labour Party39317.9%
4Arnold N.Conservative and Unionist Party2119.6%

Electorate 8,043 · Ballots cast 2,196 · EC ward code E05011193 · Back to ward index

Chandler's Ford · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.0 pts Valid ballots 3,162

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Broadhurst A.Liberal Democrats1,73855.0%Elected
2Lee S.Conservative and Unionist Party98731.2%
3Corney N.Green Party2568.1%
4Ellys G.Labour Party1815.7%

Electorate 8,332 · Ballots cast 3,162 · EC ward code E05011190 · Back to ward index

Bishopstoke · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.2 pts Valid ballots 3,251

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Parker-Jones L.Independent1,82656.2%Elected
2Winstanley A.Liberal Democrats78024.0%
3Fox J.Conservative and Unionist Party38912.0%
4Rick V.Labour Party2567.9%

Electorate 8,411 · Ballots cast 3,251 · EC ward code E05011187 · Back to ward index

Hiltingbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.5 pts Valid ballots 3,694

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Attrill M.Liberal Democrats2,08656.5%Elected
2Atkinson M.Conservative and Unionist Party1,42438.5%
3Butt K.Labour Party1845.0%

Electorate 8,135 · Ballots cast 3,694 · EC ward code E05011198 · Back to ward index

Hedge End North · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.2 pts Valid ballots 2,243

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Hadaway L.Liberal Democrats1,28357.2%Elected
2Redding P.Conservative and Unionist Party55124.6%
3Phillips A.Labour Party2159.6%
4Fleming G.Green Party1948.6%

Electorate 7,484 · Ballots cast 2,243 · EC ward code E05011196 · Back to ward index

Botley · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.4 pts Valid ballots 1,900

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Kyrle R.Liberal Democrats1,12959.4%Elected
2Haythorne J.Conservative and Unionist Party58730.9%
3Williamson K.Labour Party1849.7%

Electorate 5,296 · Ballots cast 1,900 · EC ward code E05011188 · Back to ward index

Hamble & Netley · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.8 pts Valid ballots 2,882

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Jarvis L.Liberal Democrats1,80962.8%Elected
2Hall S.Conservative and Unionist Party76826.6%
3Robinson E.Labour Party1756.1%
4Horton P.Green Party1304.5%

Electorate 7,978 · Ballots cast 2,882 · EC ward code E05011195 · Back to ward index

Hedge End South · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.6 pts Valid ballots 3,020

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Welsh J.Liberal Democrats1,92163.6%Elected
2Banks M.Conservative and Unionist Party85428.3%
3Kosted G.Labour Party2458.1%

Electorate 8,574 · Ballots cast 3,020 · EC ward code E05011197 · Back to ward index

Bursledon & Hound North · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.5 pts Valid ballots 2,179

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Craig T.Liberal Democrats1,44966.5%Elected
2Yates C.Conservative and Unionist Party51523.6%
3Marks E.Labour Party2159.9%

Electorate 7,467 · Ballots cast 2,179 · EC ward code E05011189 · Back to ward index