← Eastleigh (all cycles) · 7 May 2026 cohort

Eastleigh 2026

Local elections held 7 May 2026.

14 ward races

15 seats

15 elected below the proportional quota

100.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 15 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Liberal Democrats	19,740	41.2%	14	93.3%	7	46.7%	+7
Reform UK	12,092	25.2%	0	0.0%	4	26.7%	-4
Conservative Party	7,274	15.2%	0	0.0%	2	13.3%	-2
Green Party	5,033	10.5%	0	0.0%	1	6.7%	-1
Independent	2,601	5.4%	1	6.7%	1	6.7%	0
Labour Party	1,158	2.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	28	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	47,926	100.0%	15	100.0%	15	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2026 election (current) and immediately before it (2025). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2026 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2026)

Previous (2025)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Fair Oak and Horton Heath · 1 seat · won at 25.2% · −24.8 pts below quota
Chandler's Ford · 2 seats · won at 21.7% · −11.6 pts below quota
Eastleigh Central · 1 seat · won at 40.2% · −9.8 pts below quota
West End North · 1 seat · won at 40.4% · −9.6 pts below quota
Eastleigh South · 1 seat · won at 40.5% · −9.5 pts below quota
Eastleigh North · 1 seat · won at 41.6% · −8.4 pts below quota
Bishopstoke · 1 seat · won at 42.5% · −7.5 pts below quota
West End South · 1 seat · won at 43.1% · −6.9 pts below quota
Hedge End South · 1 seat · won at 43.4% · −6.6 pts below quota
Hamble and Netley · 1 seat · won at 43.6% · −6.4 pts below quota
Hedge End North · 1 seat · won at 44.6% · −5.4 pts below quota
Botley · 1 seat · won at 46.4% · −3.6 pts below quota
Bursledon and Hound North · 1 seat · won at 46.8% · −3.2 pts below quota
Hiltingbury · 1 seat · won at 49.8% · −0.2 pts below quota

Race results

Fair Oak and Horton Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 25.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −24.8 pts Valid ballots 4,153

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Nick Couldrey	Liberal Democrats	1,048	25.2%	−24.8 pts	Elected
2	Austen Thomas Petty	Reform UK	914	22.0%	—
3	Ben Burcombe-Filer	Conservative Party	801	19.3%	—
4	Russ Kitching	Independent	458	11.0%	—
5	Richard Anthony Shuker	Independent	443	10.7%	—
6	Ben David Parry	Green Party	396	9.5%	—
7	William Banks	Labour Party	93	2.2%	—

Electorate 8,849 · Ballots cast 4,165 · Invalid 12 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.fair-oak-horton-heath.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Chandler's Ford · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota −11.6 pts Valid ballots 6,855

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Alan Frederick Broadhurst	Liberal Democrats	1,846	26.9%	−6.4 pts	Elected
2	Dave Walker	Liberal Democrats	1,490	21.7%	−11.6 pts	Elected
3	Nigel William Murkitt	Reform UK	830	12.1%	—
4	Roy Swales	Reform UK	695	10.1%	—
5	Paul Jerome Bryant	Conservative Party	557	8.1%	—
6	Albie Slawson	Conservative Party	532	7.8%	—
7	Bors Tamás Hulesch	Green Party	403	5.9%	—
8	Daniel Christopher Jones	Green Party	339	4.9%	—
9	Chris Gibbs	Labour Party	163	2.4%	—

Electorate 8,117 · Ballots cast 6,874 · Invalid 19 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.chandlers-ford.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −9.8 pts Valid ballots 2,734

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Cameron Edward Spencer	Liberal Democrats	1,098	40.2%	−9.8 pts	Elected
2	Sukhdev Raj	Reform UK	704	25.7%	—
3	Toby Cain	Green Party	485	17.7%	—
4	Poonam Sharma	Conservative Party	257	9.4%	—
5	Zak Southward	Labour Party	190	6.9%	—

Electorate 7,595 · Ballots cast 2,749 · Invalid 15 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.eastleigh-central.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

West End North · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −9.6 pts Valid ballots 1,969

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Bruce Robert Tennent	Liberal Democrats	795	40.4%	−9.6 pts	Elected
2	Roy Gordon Russell	Reform UK	645	32.8%	—
3	Colin Gifford	Conservative Party	319	16.2%	—
4	Elaine Alexandra Avery	Green Party	154	7.8%	—
5	Christian James Brookes	Labour Party	56	2.8%	—

Electorate 4,749 · Ballots cast 1,977 · Invalid 8 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.west-end-north.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh South · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −9.5 pts Valid ballots 2,866

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Paul Bicknell	Liberal Democrats	1,161	40.5%	−9.5 pts	Elected
2	Clare Lorraine Fawcett	Reform UK	870	30.4%	—
3	Jim Smith	Green Party	414	14.4%	—
4	Yogesh Saxena	Conservative Party	266	9.3%	—
5	Steven Peter Phillips	Labour Party	155	5.4%	—

Electorate 8,632 · Ballots cast 2,881 · Invalid 15 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.eastleigh-south.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Eastleigh North · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −8.4 pts Valid ballots 2,837

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Stephen Francis Beer	Liberal Democrats	1,180	41.6%	−8.4 pts	Elected
2	Alex Culley	Reform UK	824	29.0%	—
3	Jack Nathan Reginald Stapleton	Green Party	345	12.2%	—
4	Jeremy David Noel Over	Conservative Party	319	11.2%	—
5	Kathy O'Neill	Labour Party	169	6.0%	—

Electorate 7,236 · Ballots cast 2,850 · Invalid 13 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.eastleigh-north.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Bishopstoke · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −7.5 pts Valid ballots 3,996

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Louise Anne Parker-Jones	Independent	1,700	42.5%	−7.5 pts	Elected
2	Graeme Richard Smith	Reform UK	868	21.7%	—
3	Anne Margaret Winstanley	Liberal Democrats	858	21.5%	—
4	Sarah Duggan	Conservative Party	292	7.3%	—
5	Dani Hosford	Green Party	278	7.0%	—

Electorate 8,298 · Ballots cast 4,003 · Invalid 7 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.bishopstoke.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

West End South · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −6.9 pts Valid ballots 2,116

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	David Andrew Berry	Liberal Democrats	912	43.1%	−6.9 pts	Elected
2	Steve Humby	Reform UK	641	30.3%	—
3	Roger Allen Vivian	Conservative Party	360	17.0%	—
4	Dave Waghorn	Green Party	203	9.6%	—

Electorate 4,851 · Ballots cast 2,130 · Invalid 14 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.west-end-south.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Hedge End South · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −6.6 pts Valid ballots 3,769

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	John Edward Shepherd	Liberal Democrats	1,634	43.4%	−6.6 pts	Elected
2	Anthony Keith Savage	Reform UK	1,016	27.0%	—
3	Jerry Hall	Conservative Party	788	20.9%	—
4	Anna Belle Skinner	Green Party	331	8.8%	—

Electorate 8,622 · Ballots cast 3,781 · Invalid 12 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.hedge-end-south.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Hamble and Netley · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −6.4 pts Valid ballots 3,608

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Prad Bains	Liberal Democrats	1,572	43.6%	−6.4 pts	Elected
2	Neil Leslie Fleming	Reform UK	1,059	29.4%	—
3	Steph Arnold	Conservative Party	504	14.0%	—
4	Phil Horton	Green Party	342	9.5%	—
5	Dennis Robinson	Labour Party	131	3.6%	—

Electorate 8,095 · Ballots cast 3,613 · Invalid 5 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.hamble-netley.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Hedge End North · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −5.4 pts Valid ballots 2,911

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Leigh John Hadaway	Liberal Democrats	1,298	44.6%	−5.4 pts	Elected
2	James Flaxman	Reform UK	685	23.5%	—
3	Nick Arnold	Conservative Party	484	16.6%	—
4	Geoffrey Edwin Harold Skinner	Green Party	343	11.8%	—
5	Edward Hill	Labour Party	101	3.5%	—

Electorate 7,396 · Ballots cast 2,919 · Invalid 8 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.hedge-end-north.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Botley · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −3.6 pts Valid ballots 2,967

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Rupert Gregory Miles Kyrle	Liberal Democrats	1,378	46.4%	−3.6 pts	Elected
2	Dave Cox	Reform UK	754	25.4%	—
3	Finn Lennon	Conservative Party	549	18.5%	—
4	Luke Ottley	Green Party	286	9.6%	—

Electorate 6,853 · Ballots cast 2,980 · Invalid 13 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.botley.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Bursledon and Hound North · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −3.2 pts Valid ballots 2,947

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Tonia Craig	Liberal Democrats	1,378	46.8%	−3.2 pts	Elected
2	Craig Palmer	Reform UK	831	28.2%	—
3	Carys Chestnut	Conservative Party	438	14.9%	—
4	Keith Philip Day	Green Party	272	9.2%	—
5	Frankie Coultas	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	28	1.0%	—

Electorate 7,756 · Ballots cast 2,961 · Invalid 14 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.bursledon-hound-north.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index

Hiltingbury · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota −0.2 pts Valid ballots 4,198

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Below quota	Elected
1	Maud Nancy Attrill	Liberal Democrats	2,092	49.8%	−0.2 pts	Elected
2	Shelagh Lee	Conservative Party	808	19.2%	—
3	Michael James Hibberd	Reform UK	756	18.0%	—
4	Oliver Smith	Green Party	442	10.5%	—
5	Hannah Amy Bowyer	Labour Party	100	2.4%	—

Electorate 8,255 · Ballots cast 4,220 · Invalid 22 · EC ward code local.eastleigh.hiltingbury.2026-05-07 · Back to ward index