← Elmbridge (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Elmbridge 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 17,054 | 46.1% | 10 | 62.5% | 9 | 56.3% | +1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 5,947 | 16.1% | 3 | 18.8% | 3 | 18.8% | 0 |
| Labour Party | 3,932 | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 12.5% | -2 |
| Molesey | 2,091 | 5.7% | 1 | 6.3% | 1 | 6.3% | 0 |
| HWWGRA | 1,762 | 4.8% | 1 | 6.3% | 1 | 6.3% | 0 |
| TDWGRA | 1,593 | 4.3% | 1 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0% | +1 |
| Walton | 947 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| WStGI | 878 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Esher | 840 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Hersham | 640 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 590 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 358 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 304 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Loony | 60 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 36,996 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Weybridge Riverside · 1 seat · won at 39.3% · −10.7 pts below quota
- Walton Central · 1 seat · won at 45.2% · −4.8 pts below quota
- Walton North · 1 seat · won at 45.5% · −4.5 pts below quota
- Long Ditton · 1 seat · won at 45.8% · −4.2 pts below quota
- Molesey West · 1 seat · won at 46.5% · −3.5 pts below quota
- Molesey East · 1 seat · won at 46.8% · −3.2 pts below quota
- Hersham Village · 1 seat · won at 48.8% · −1.2 pts below quota
- Esher · 1 seat · won at 49.2% · −0.8 pts below quota
- Weybridge St George's Hill · 1 seat · won at 54.1% · above quota
- Walton South · 1 seat · won at 54.7% · above quota
- Claygate · 1 seat · won at 56.3% · above quota
- Thames Ditton · 1 seat · won at 65.6% · above quota
- Cobham and Downside · 1 seat · won at 66.4% · above quota
- Oatlands and Burwood Park · 1 seat · won at 69.1% · above quota
- Hinchley Wood and Weston Green · 1 seat · won at 70.3% · above quota
- Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon · 1 seat · won at 76.7% · above quota
Race results
Weybridge Riverside · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,269
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicki Macleod | Liberal Democrats | 891 | 39.3% | −10.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andrew Muddyman | Conservative Party | 842 | 37.1% | — | |
| 3 | Craig Mackenzie | Independent | 304 | 13.4% | — | |
| 4 | Stephanie Franklin | Labour Party | 193 | 8.5% | — | |
| 5 | Timothy Pope | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 39 | 1.7% | — |
Walton Central · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,259
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christine Richardson | Conservative Party | 1,020 | 45.2% | −4.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Graham Woolgar | Walton | 947 | 41.9% | — | |
| 3 | Peter Ramsbottom | Labour Party | 292 | 12.9% | — |
Walton North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,869
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alan Kopitko | Conservative Party | 851 | 45.5% | −4.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lana Hylands | Labour Party | 634 | 33.9% | — | |
| 3 | Margaret Hawkes | Liberal Democrats | 256 | 13.7% | — | |
| 4 | David Ions | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 90 | 4.8% | — | |
| 5 | Baron Badger | Loony | 38 | 2.0% | — |
Long Ditton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,223
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Fairbank | Liberal Democrats | 1,019 | 45.8% | −4.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Claudia Riley-Hards | Conservative Party | 1,011 | 45.5% | — | |
| 3 | Bronte Schiltz | Labour Party | 193 | 8.7% | — |
Molesey West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,242
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ruby Ahmed | Molesey | 1,043 | 46.5% | −3.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Wood | Conservative Party | 745 | 33.2% | — | |
| 3 | Marc Doran | Labour Party | 273 | 12.2% | — | |
| 4 | Paul Nagle | Liberal Democrats | 181 | 8.1% | — |
Molesey East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,855
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Bax | Conservative Party | 1,337 | 46.8% | −3.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tony Popham | Molesey | 1,048 | 36.7% | — | |
| 3 | Rosie Rendall | Labour Party | 265 | 9.3% | — | |
| 4 | Lisa Howard | Green Party | 183 | 6.4% | — | |
| 5 | Monkey the Drummer | Loony | 22 | 0.8% | — |
Hersham Village · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,362
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ruth Mitchell | Conservative Party | 1,152 | 48.8% | −1.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Anne Hill-Purcell | Hersham | 640 | 27.1% | — | |
| 3 | Julie Crook | Labour Party | 314 | 13.3% | — | |
| 4 | Olivia Palmer | Green Party | 256 | 10.8% | — |
Esher · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,319
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simon Waugh | Conservative Party | 1,142 | 49.2% | −0.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Williams | Esher | 840 | 36.2% | — | |
| 3 | Susan Dennis | Labour Party | 186 | 8.0% | — | |
| 4 | Laura Harmour | Green Party | 151 | 6.5% | — |
Weybridge St George's Hill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,390
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charu Sood | Conservative Party | 1,293 | 54.1% | +4.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rani Kaur Bhamra | WStGI | 878 | 36.7% | — | |
| 3 | Angus Rendall | Labour Party | 219 | 9.2% | — |
Walton South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,331
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malcolm Howard | Conservative Party | 1,276 | 54.7% | +4.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Chris Elmer | Liberal Democrats | 719 | 30.8% | — | |
| 3 | Katrina Jepson | Labour Party | 336 | 14.4% | — |
Claygate · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,536
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Rollings | Liberal Democrats | 1,427 | 56.3% | +6.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Sugden | Conservative Party | 988 | 39.0% | — | |
| 3 | Vera-Anne Anderson | Labour Party | 121 | 4.8% | — |
Thames Ditton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,429
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caroline James | TDWGRA | 1,593 | 65.6% | +15.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Xingang Wang | Conservative Party | 412 | 17.0% | — | |
| 3 | Francisca Oxley | Liberal Democrats | 214 | 8.8% | — | |
| 4 | Benjamin Griffin | Labour Party | 210 | 8.6% | — |
Cobham and Downside · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,929
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Browne | Conservative Party | 1,280 | 66.4% | +16.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Zelda Pitman | Liberal Democrats | 268 | 13.9% | — | |
| 3 | Irene Threlkeld | Labour Party | 253 | 13.1% | — | |
| 4 | Elaine Kingston | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 128 | 6.6% | — |
Oatlands and Burwood Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,188
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Cheyne | Conservative Party | 1,513 | 69.1% | +19.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Graham Winton | Liberal Democrats | 370 | 16.9% | — | |
| 3 | Warren Weertman | Labour Party | 254 | 11.6% | — | |
| 4 | Simon Kadwill-Kelly | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 51 | 2.3% | — |
Hinchley Wood and Weston Green · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 70.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +20.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,506
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigel Haig-Brown | HWWGRA | 1,762 | 70.3% | +20.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Geoff Herbert | Conservative Party | 437 | 17.4% | — | |
| 3 | Liz Ambekar | Liberal Democrats | 236 | 9.4% | — | |
| 4 | Jacqueline Andrews | Labour Party | 71 | 2.8% | — |
Oxshott and Stoke D'Abernon · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 76.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,289
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Burley | Conservative Party | 1,755 | 76.7% | +26.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dorothy Ford | Liberal Democrats | 366 | 16.0% | — | |
| 3 | Hugh Bryant | Labour Party | 118 | 5.2% | — | |
| 4 | Nicholas Wood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 50 | 2.2% | — |