← Elmbridge (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort

Elmbridge 2022

Local elections held 5 May 2022.

16 ward races

16 seats

6 elected below the proportional quota

37.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Liberal Democrats	15,600	38.1%	7	43.8%	7	43.8%	0
Conservative and Unionist Party	14,545	35.6%	4	25.0%	6	37.5%	-2
RES	6,158	15.1%	4	25.0%	2	12.5%	+2
Labour Party	2,090	5.1%	0	0.0%	1	6.3%	-1
W & STG IND	909	2.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Welsh Socialist Republican Party	761	1.9%	1	6.3%	0	0.0%	+1
Green Party	521	1.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Independent	258	0.6%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Heritage Party	69	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	40,911	100.0%	16	100.0%	16	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Walton Central · 1 seat · won at 31.5% · +18.5 pts below quota
Molesey East · 1 seat · won at 36.4% · +13.6 pts below quota
Molesey West · 1 seat · won at 42.7% · +7.3 pts below quota
Hersham Village · 1 seat · won at 45.1% · +4.9 pts below quota
Esher · 1 seat · won at 45.8% · +4.2 pts below quota
Cobham & Downside · 1 seat · won at 48.0% · +2.0 pts below quota
Oatlands & Burwood Park · 1 seat · won at 50.1% · above quota
Weybridge St. Georges Hill · 1 seat · won at 51.5% · above quota
Weybridge Riverside · 1 seat · won at 52.4% · above quota
Walton South · 1 seat · won at 55.2% · above quota
Walton North · 1 seat · won at 55.7% · above quota
Oxshott & D'Abernon · 1 seat · won at 56.4% · above quota
Thames Ditton · 1 seat · won at 59.3% · above quota
Hinchley Wood & Weston Green · 1 seat · won at 64.1% · above quota
Claygate · 1 seat · won at 64.3% · above quota
Long Ditton · 1 seat · won at 73.5% · above quota

Race results

Walton Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 31.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +18.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,418

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cheyne B.	Welsh Socialist Republican Party	761	31.5%	Elected
2	Soldatt L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	638	26.4%
3	Bailey C.	Liberal Democrats	589	24.4%
4	Richardson C.	Independent	258	10.7%
5	Jepson K.	Labour Party	172	7.1%

Electorate 6,120 · Ballots cast 2,418 · EC ward code E05011085 · Back to ward index

Molesey East · single-seat

Marginal winner 36.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +13.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,093

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bax S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,125	36.4%	Elected
2	Flatau R.	Liberal Democrats	1,120	36.2%
3	Lojhan H.	RES	637	20.6%
4	Howard L.	Green Party	117	3.8%
5	Rendall R.	Labour Party	94	3.0%

Electorate 6,693 · Ballots cast 3,093 · EC ward code E05011080 · Back to ward index

Molesey West · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,260

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ahmed R.	RES	966	42.7%	Elected
2	Fuchs A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	558	24.7%
3	Smith-Stevenson P.	Liberal Democrats	519	23.0%
4	Sheldrake D.	Labour Party	217	9.6%

Electorate 6,610 · Ballots cast 2,260 · EC ward code E05011081 · Back to ward index

Hersham Village · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,486

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chandler C.	Liberal Democrats	1,122	45.1%	Elected
2	O'Reilly J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,102	44.3%
3	Haines K.	Labour Party	262	10.5%

Electorate 6,616 · Ballots cast 2,486 · EC ward code E05011077 · Back to ward index

Esher · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,746

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Waugh S.	RES	1,257	45.8%	Elected
2	Manship A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,058	38.5%
3	Harmour L.	Green Party	226	8.2%
4	Bennett R.	Labour Party	205	7.5%

Electorate 6,667 · Ballots cast 2,746 · EC ward code E05011076 · Back to ward index

Cobham & Downside · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,437

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wells L.	Liberal Democrats	1,170	48.0%	Elected
2	Lusk Posledni K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,158	47.5%
3	Threlkeld I.	Labour Party	109	4.5%

Electorate 6,451 · Ballots cast 2,437 · EC ward code E05011075 · Back to ward index

Oatlands & Burwood Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.1 pts Valid ballots 2,338

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Allman-Varty H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,171	50.1%	Elected
2	Hampson P.	Liberal Democrats	999	42.7%
3	Kamara F.	Labour Party	168	7.2%

Electorate 5,944 · Ballots cast 2,338 · EC ward code E05011082 · Back to ward index

Weybridge St. Georges Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.5 pts Valid ballots 2,533

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sood C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,304	51.5%	Elected
2	Gilfillan J.	W & STG IND	909	35.9%
3	Weertman W.	Labour Party	320	12.6%

Electorate 6,368 · Ballots cast 2,533 · EC ward code E05011089 · Back to ward index

Weybridge Riverside · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.4 pts Valid ballots 2,290

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Joensen H.	Liberal Democrats	1,200	52.4%	Elected
2	Tshiaba Mbuyi Kawaya F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	896	39.1%
3	Pilmer H.	Labour Party	194	8.5%

Electorate 5,988 · Ballots cast 2,290 · EC ward code E05011088 · Back to ward index

Walton South · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.2 pts Valid ballots 3,027

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hewens K.	Liberal Democrats	1,671	55.2%	Elected
2	Howard M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,151	38.0%
3	Anderson V.	Labour Party	136	4.5%
4	Garrod C.	Heritage Party	69	2.3%

Electorate 6,728 · Ballots cast 3,027 · EC ward code E05011087 · Back to ward index

Walton North · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.7 pts Valid ballots 2,255

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dodds N.	Liberal Democrats	1,256	55.7%	Elected
2	Butler A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	786	34.9%
3	Clifton N.	Labour Party	213	9.4%

Electorate 6,035 · Ballots cast 2,255 · EC ward code E05011086 · Back to ward index

Oxshott & D'Abernon · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.4 pts Valid ballots 2,621

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Burley A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,478	56.4%	Elected
2	Grose S.	Liberal Democrats	1,143	43.6%

Electorate 6,675 · Ballots cast 2,621 · EC ward code E05011083 · Back to ward index

Thames Ditton · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.3 pts Valid ballots 2,747

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	James C.	RES	1,629	59.3%	Elected
2	Gattey D.	Liberal Democrats	749	27.3%
3	Sterry C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	369	13.4%

Electorate 6,601 · Ballots cast 2,747 · EC ward code E05011084 · Back to ward index

Hinchley Wood & Weston Green · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.1 pts Valid ballots 2,604

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Crawshaw J.	RES	1,669	64.1%	Elected
2	Ambekar L.	Liberal Democrats	588	22.6%
3	Wang X.	Conservative and Unionist Party	347	13.3%

Electorate 6,346 · Ballots cast 2,604 · EC ward code E05011078 · Back to ward index

Claygate · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.3 pts Valid ballots 2,645

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rollings M.	Liberal Democrats	1,702	64.3%	Elected
2	Burns J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	765	28.9%
3	Coomes H.	Green Party	178	6.7%

Electorate 5,495 · Ballots cast 2,645 · EC ward code E05011074 · Back to ward index

Long Ditton · single-seat

Marginal winner 73.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −23.5 pts Valid ballots 2,411

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Laino E.	Liberal Democrats	1,772	73.5%	Elected
2	Wylde P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	639	26.5%

Electorate 5,268 · Ballots cast 2,411 · EC ward code E05011079 · Back to ward index