← Elmbridge (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Elmbridge 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

16 ward races

16 seats

6 elected below the proportional quota

37.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Liberal Democrats	15,560	38.9%	9	56.3%	8	50.0%	+1
Conservative and Unionist Party	13,139	32.8%	2	12.5%	6	37.5%	-4
RES	3,410	8.5%	2	12.5%	1	6.3%	+1
Labour Party	2,586	6.5%	0	0.0%	1	6.3%	-1
HW & WG RES	1,603	4.0%	1	6.3%	0	0.0%	+1
ERA	1,301	3.3%	1	6.3%	0	0.0%	+1
W & ST.G IND	1,144	2.9%	1	6.3%	0	0.0%	+1
Welsh Socialist Republican Party	926	2.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Heritage Party	174	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	101	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
UK Independence Party (UKIP)	55	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	39,999	100.0%	16	100.0%	16	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Walton Central · 1 seat · won at 39.5% · +10.5 pts below quota
Molesey East · 1 seat · won at 42.6% · +7.4 pts below quota
Molesey West · 1 seat · won at 43.0% · +7.0 pts below quota
Hersham Village · 1 seat · won at 46.6% · +3.4 pts below quota
Weybridge St. Georges Hill · 1 seat · won at 48.8% · +1.2 pts below quota
Cobham & Downside · 1 seat · won at 49.2% · +0.8 pts below quota
Walton South · 1 seat · won at 50.1% · above quota
Oatlands & Burwood Park · 1 seat · won at 51.3% · above quota
Esher · 1 seat · won at 51.3% · above quota
Weybridge Riverside · 1 seat · won at 52.9% · above quota
Walton North · 1 seat · won at 55.1% · above quota
Thames Ditton · 1 seat · won at 58.2% · above quota
Oxshott & Stoke D'Abernon · 1 seat · won at 60.5% · above quota
Hinchley Wood & Weston Green · 1 seat · won at 61.9% · above quota
Claygate · 1 seat · won at 70.1% · above quota
Long Ditton · 1 seat · won at 70.6% · above quota

Race results

Walton Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,602

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	MacGregor, G.	Liberal Democrats	1,028	39.5%	Elected
2	Kelly, A.	Welsh Socialist Republican Party	926	35.6%
3	Soldatt, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	510	19.6%
4	Ahmadzade, A.	Labour Party	138	5.3%

Electorate 6,184 · Ballots cast 2,602 · Back to ward index

Molesey East · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,900

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Flatau, R.	Liberal Democrats	1,236	42.6%	Elected
2	Gormley, P.	RES	920	31.7%
3	Zhao, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	615	21.2%
4	Rendall, R.	Labour Party	129	4.4%

Electorate 6,744 · Ballots cast 2,900 · Back to ward index

Molesey West · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,155

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Popham, T.	RES	927	43.0%	Elected
2	Nagle, P.	Liberal Democrats	701	32.5%
3	Fuchs, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	384	17.8%
4	Ajjane, J.	Labour Party	143	6.6%

Electorate 6,603 · Ballots cast 2,155 · Back to ward index

Hersham Village · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,787

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hughes, P.	Liberal Democrats	1,300	46.6%	Elected
2	Sheldon, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,236	44.3%
3	Dennis, S.	Labour Party	251	9.0%

Electorate 6,705 · Ballots cast 2,787 · Back to ward index

Weybridge St. Georges Hill · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,346

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Graeme, P.	W & ST.G IND	1,144	48.8%	Elected
2	McFarlane, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	908	38.7%
3	Dean, G.	Labour Party	294	12.5%

Electorate 6,460 · Ballots cast 2,346 · Back to ward index

Cobham & Downside · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,546

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Stephens, R.	Liberal Democrats	1,252	49.2%	Elected
2	Posledni, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,098	43.1%
3	Gray, C.	Labour Party	116	4.6%
4	Kingston, E.	Reform UK	57	2.2%
5	Hagen, P.	Heritage Party	23	0.9%

Electorate 6,515 · Ballots cast 2,546 · Back to ward index

Walton South · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.1 pts Valid ballots 2,947

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Glass, C.	Liberal Democrats	1,476	50.1%	Elected
2	Ioannou, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,210	41.1%
3	Haines, K.	Labour Party	169	5.7%
4	Garrod, C.	Heritage Party	92	3.1%

Electorate 6,864 · Ballots cast 2,947 · Back to ward index

Oatlands & Burwood Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.3 pts Valid ballots 2,516

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Butler, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,290	51.3%	Elected
2	Davis, N.	Liberal Democrats	1,014	40.3%
3	Rendall, A.	Labour Party	157	6.2%
4	Wood, N.	UK Independence Party (UKIP)	55	2.2%

Electorate 5,997 · Ballots cast 2,516 · Back to ward index

Esher · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.3 pts Valid ballots 2,537

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Williams, R.	ERA	1,301	51.3%	Elected
2	Manship, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	989	39.0%
3	Bennett, R.	Labour Party	247	9.7%

Electorate 6,586 · Ballots cast 2,537 · Back to ward index

Weybridge Riverside · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.9 pts Valid ballots 2,068

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Tilling, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,094	52.9%	Elected
2	Kawaya, F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	754	36.5%
3	Pilmer, H.	Labour Party	220	10.6%

Electorate 5,930 · Ballots cast 2,068 · Back to ward index

Walton North · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.1 pts Valid ballots 2,171

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bailey, C.	Liberal Democrats	1,197	55.1%	Elected
2	Butler, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	779	35.9%
3	Kamara, F.	Labour Party	195	9.0%

Electorate 6,081 · Ballots cast 2,171 · Back to ward index

Thames Ditton · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.2 pts Valid ballots 2,684

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sesemann, E.	RES	1,563	58.2%	Elected
2	Gattey, D.	Liberal Democrats	643	24.0%
3	Gammampila, Y.	Conservative and Unionist Party	307	11.4%
4	Lewis, R.	Labour Party	127	4.7%
5	Denton, N.	Reform UK	44	1.6%

Electorate 6,664 · Ballots cast 2,684 · Back to ward index

Oxshott & Stoke D'Abernon · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.5 pts Valid ballots 2,599

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sterry, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,573	60.5%	Elected
2	Grose, S.	Liberal Democrats	898	34.6%
3	Gray, S.	Labour Party	69	2.7%
4	Hagen, G.	Heritage Party	59	2.3%

Electorate 6,696 · Ballots cast 2,599 · Back to ward index

Hinchley Wood & Weston Green · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.9 pts Valid ballots 2,589

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Turner, J.	HW & WG RES	1,603	61.9%	Elected
2	Ambekar, L.	Liberal Democrats	518	20.0%
3	Kim, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	384	14.8%
4	Headland, R.	Labour Party	84	3.2%

Electorate 6,433 · Ballots cast 2,589 · Back to ward index

Claygate · single-seat

Marginal winner 70.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −20.1 pts Valid ballots 2,469

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Coomes, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,732	70.1%	Elected
2	Burns, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	631	25.6%
3	Cope, S.	Labour Party	106	4.3%

Electorate 5,575 · Ballots cast 2,469 · Back to ward index

Long Ditton · single-seat

Marginal winner 70.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −20.6 pts Valid ballots 2,083

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Houston, N.	Liberal Democrats	1,471	70.6%	Elected
2	Coe, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	471	22.6%
3	Ali, A.	Labour Party	141	6.8%

Electorate 5,282 · Ballots cast 2,083 · Back to ward index