← Epping Forest (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Epping Forest 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 21 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 10,373 | 41.2% | 11 | 52.4% | 10 | 47.6% | +1 |
| Loughton | 5,004 | 19.9% | 7 | 33.3% | 4 | 19.0% | +3 |
| Liberal Democrats | 3,897 | 15.5% | 1 | 4.8% | 3 | 14.3% | -2 |
| Labour Party | 2,558 | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 2 | 9.5% | -2 |
| Green Party | 1,954 | 7.8% | 1 | 4.8% | 1 | 4.8% | 0 |
| Independent | 1,010 | 4.0% | 1 | 4.8% | 1 | 4.8% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 370 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 25,166 | 100.0% | 21 | 100.0% | 21 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Epping Lindsey and Thornwood Common · 1 seat · won at 43.7% · −6.3 pts below quota
- Buckhurst Hill West · 1 seat · won at 48.0% · −2.0 pts below quota
- Waltham Abbey Paternoster · 1 seat · won at 50.6% · above quota
- Loughton Forest · 1 seat · won at 54.3% · above quota
- Grange Hill · 1 seat · won at 57.9% · above quota
- Epping Hemnall · 1 seat · won at 61.3% · above quota
- Theydon Bois · 1 seat · won at 64.2% · above quota
- Loughton Alderton · 1 seat · won at 64.4% · above quota
- Loughton St Mary's · 1 seat · won at 65.7% · above quota
- Lower Nazeing · 1 seat · won at 68.6% · above quota
- Buckhurst Hill East · 1 seat · won at 68.9% · above quota
- Chipping Ongar, Greensted and Marden Ash · 1 seat · won at 69.6% · above quota
- Waltham Abbey Honey Lane · 2 seats · won at 53.1% · above quota
- Loughton St John's · 1 seat · won at 71.6% · above quota
- Loughton Fairmead · 1 seat · won at 72.1% · above quota
- Chigwell Village · 1 seat · won at 77.0% · above quota
- North Weald Bassett · 1 seat · won at 79.6% · above quota
- Loughton Roding · 1 seat · won at 82.3% · above quota
- Loughton Broadway · 2 seats · won at 76.3% · above quota
Race results
Epping Lindsey and Thornwood Common · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,930
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Les Burrows | Conservative Party | 844 | 43.7% | −6.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Cherry McCredie | Liberal Democrats | 811 | 42.0% | — | |
| 3 | Simon Bullough | Labour Party | 183 | 9.5% | — | |
| 4 | Paul Scales | Green Party | 92 | 4.8% | — |
Buckhurst Hill West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,917
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jo Share-Bernia | Conservative Party | 921 | 48.0% | −2.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Joseph Barkham | Liberal Democrats | 750 | 39.1% | — | |
| 3 | Roger Neville | Green Party | 246 | 12.8% | — |
Waltham Abbey Paternoster · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 676
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Dorrell | Conservative Party | 342 | 50.6% | +0.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robert Greyson | Labour Party | 201 | 29.7% | — | |
| 3 | Dave Plummer | Green Party | 77 | 11.4% | — | |
| 4 | Ron McEvoy | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 56 | 8.3% | — |
Loughton Forest · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,249
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roger Baldwin | Loughton | 678 | 54.3% | +4.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jonathan Hunter | Conservative Party | 486 | 38.9% | — | |
| 3 | Martin Lawford | Labour Party | 85 | 6.8% | — |
Grange Hill · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,386
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gagan Mohindra | Conservative Party | 803 | 57.9% | +7.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kay Morrison | Labour Party | 447 | 32.3% | — | |
| 3 | Rupert Nelson | Green Party | 136 | 9.8% | — |
Epping Hemnall · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,886
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Janet Whitehouse | Liberal Democrats | 1,156 | 61.3% | +11.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Simon Baker | Conservative Party | 554 | 29.4% | — | |
| 3 | Inez Collier | Labour Party | 176 | 9.3% | — |
Theydon Bois · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 64.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,261
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sue Jones | Conservative Party | 810 | 64.2% | +14.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Clive Amos | Liberal Democrats | 321 | 25.5% | — | |
| 3 | Peter Richardson | Labour Party | 130 | 10.3% | — |
Loughton Alderton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 64.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 927
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Roberts | Loughton | 597 | 64.4% | +14.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Angela Ayre | Labour Party | 172 | 18.6% | — | |
| 3 | Robert Church | Conservative Party | 158 | 17.0% | — |
Loughton St Mary's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 65.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,258
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard Kauffman | Loughton | 826 | 65.7% | +15.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Joyce Obaseki | Conservative Party | 270 | 21.5% | — | |
| 3 | Benjamin Ross | Labour Party | 109 | 8.7% | — | |
| 4 | Jon Gilbert | Liberal Democrats | 53 | 4.2% | — |
Lower Nazeing · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 789
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yolanda Knight | Conservative Party | 541 | 68.6% | +18.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Brett Hawksbee | Labour Party | 89 | 11.3% | — | |
| 3 | Martin Harvey | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 85 | 10.8% | — | |
| 4 | Elaine Thatcher | Liberal Democrats | 74 | 9.4% | — |
Buckhurst Hill East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,574
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steven Neville | Green Party | 1,084 | 68.9% | +18.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Neville Wright | Conservative Party | 440 | 28.0% | — | |
| 3 | Dev Dodeja | Liberal Democrats | 50 | 3.2% | — |
Chipping Ongar, Greensted and Marden Ash · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,012
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Basil Vaz | Conservative Party | 704 | 69.6% | +19.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Pesh Kapasiawala | Liberal Democrats | 308 | 30.4% | — |
Waltham Abbey Honey Lane · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 53.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,062
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Stocker | Conservative Party | 617 | 29.0% | 58.1% | +24.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steven Heather | Conservative Party | 564 | 26.6% | 53.1% | +19.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Mitch Diamond-Conway | Labour Party | 350 | 16.5% | 33.0% | — | |
| 4 | Carina Hill | Green Party | 254 | 12.0% | 23.9% | — | |
| 5 | Rod Butler | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 229 | 10.8% | 21.6% | — | |
| 6 | Timothy Vaughan | Liberal Democrats | 110 | 5.2% | 10.4% | — |
Loughton St John's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,234
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bob Jennings | Loughton | 884 | 71.6% | +21.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Neal Bagshaw | Conservative Party | 247 | 20.0% | — | |
| 3 | Jill Bostock | Labour Party | 103 | 8.3% | — |
Loughton Fairmead · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 72.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 952
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louise Mead | Loughton | 686 | 72.1% | +22.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Thomas | Labour Party | 135 | 14.2% | — | |
| 3 | George Bose | Conservative Party | 131 | 13.8% | — |
Chigwell Village · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 77.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +27.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 975
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Darshan Sunger | Conservative Party | 751 | 77.0% | +27.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Wendy Maher | Labour Party | 114 | 11.7% | — | |
| 3 | Christopher Lord | Green Party | 65 | 6.7% | — | |
| 4 | Joanne Alexander-Sefre | Liberal Democrats | 45 | 4.6% | — |
North Weald Bassett · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 79.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,071
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Bolton | Conservative Party | 852 | 79.6% | +29.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ingrid Black | Liberal Democrats | 219 | 20.4% | — |
Loughton Roding · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 82.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +32.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,227
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Murray | Independent | 1,010 | 82.3% | +32.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Murray | Conservative Party | 129 | 10.5% | — | |
| 3 | Kenneth Turner | Labour Party | 88 | 7.2% | — |
Loughton Broadway · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 76.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +42.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 859
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Pond | Loughton | 678 | 39.5% | 78.9% | +45.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Owen | Loughton | 655 | 38.1% | 76.3% | +42.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Rosie Kelly | Labour Party | 176 | 10.2% | 20.5% | — | |
| 4 | Katherine Harris | Conservative Party | 126 | 7.3% | 14.7% | — | |
| 5 | Marshall Vance | Conservative Party | 83 | 4.8% | 9.7% | — |