← Epping Forest (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Epping Forest 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

28 ward races

29 seats

3 elected below the proportional quota

10.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 28 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 29 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	29,516	49.4%	19	65.5%	16	55.2%	+3
Labour Party	7,831	13.1%	0	0.0%	4	13.8%	-4
Liberal Democrats	6,998	11.7%	1	3.4%	3	10.3%	-2
RES	4,943	8.3%	7	24.1%	2	6.9%	+5
LRA	4,710	7.9%	1	3.4%	2	6.9%	-1
Green Party	4,384	7.3%	1	3.4%	2	6.9%	-1
FBM	661	1.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
EDEM	229	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	143	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
YPP	133	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Independent	72	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	59	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
DEMNET	52	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	59,731	100.0%	29	100.0%	29	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Buckhurst Hill & Loughton South · 1 seat · won at 35.5% · +14.5 pts below quota
Waltham Abbey Honey Lane · 1 seat · won at 45.4% · +4.6 pts below quota
Grange Hill · 2 seats · won at 30.0% · +3.3 pts below quota
Epping & Theydon Bois · 1 seat · won at 50.1% · above quota
Loughton Broadway · 1 seat · won at 53.9% · above quota
Buckhurst Hill East · 1 seat · won at 54.5% · above quota
Loughton Forest · 1 seat · won at 56.2% · above quota
Waltham Abbey · 1 seat · won at 57.4% · above quota
Buckhurst Hill West · 1 seat · won at 58.3% · above quota
Epping Lindsey & Thornwood Common · 1 seat · won at 58.6% · above quota
Loughton Alderton · 1 seat · won at 58.7% · above quota
Theydon Bois · 1 seat · won at 59.6% · above quota
Epping Hemnall · 1 seat · won at 60.8% · above quota
Loughton St. Marys · 1 seat · won at 62.7% · above quota
Chigwell & Loughton Broadway · 1 seat · won at 63.3% · above quota
Loughton Fairmead · 1 seat · won at 63.4% · above quota
Waltham Abbey North East · 1 seat · won at 63.8% · above quota
Loughton Central · 1 seat · won at 66.3% · above quota
Loughton Roding · 1 seat · won at 67.4% · above quota
Loughton St. Johns · 1 seat · won at 67.8% · above quota
Waltham Abbey South West · 1 seat · won at 69.1% · above quota
Ongar & Rural · 1 seat · won at 69.6% · above quota
Chigwell Village · 1 seat · won at 70.5% · above quota
North Weald & Nazeing · 1 seat · won at 72.6% · above quota
Moreton & Fyfield · 1 seat · won at 78.5% · above quota
High Ongar Willingale & The Rodings · 1 seat · won at 79.0% · above quota
Passingford · 1 seat · won at 79.6% · above quota
Chigwell Row · 1 seat · won at 80.1% · above quota

Race results

Buckhurst Hill & Loughton South · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,153

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Vance M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,186	35.5%	Elected
2	Allgood I.	LRA	1,716	27.9%
3	Heap S.A.	Green Party	1,336	21.7%
4	Collier I.L.	Labour Party	519	8.4%
5	Singh I.	Liberal Democrats	256	4.2%
6	Horner K.	Independent	72	1.2%
7	Wadsworth G.M.	YPP	45	0.7%
8	Jones S.F.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	23	0.4%

Electorate 15,869 · Ballots cast 6,153 · EC ward code E58000416 · Back to ward index

Waltham Abbey Honey Lane · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,332

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Heather S.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	605	45.4%	Elected
2	Greyson R.F.	Labour Party	256	19.2%
3	Richardson P.	FBM	242	18.2%
4	Lakes L.	Green Party	229	17.2%

Electorate 4,591 · Ballots cast 1,332 · EC ward code E05004175 · Back to ward index

Grange Hill · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,478

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barlow D.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	850	34.3%	Elected
2	Lion A.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	744	30.0%	Elected
3	Birzu C.	Labour Party	297	12.0%
4	Tankard S.	Labour Party	276	11.1%
5	Fricker R.	Green Party	186	7.5%
6	Sinfield P.J.	Liberal Democrats	125	5.0%

Electorate 5,221 · Ballots cast 2,478 · EC ward code E05004155 · Back to ward index

Epping & Theydon Bois · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.1 pts Valid ballots 5,807

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Whitbread H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,909	50.1%	Elected
2	Whitehouse J.	Liberal Democrats	2,459	42.3%
3	Bullough S.D.	Labour Party	439	7.6%

Electorate 13,605 · Ballots cast 5,807 · EC ward code E58000430 · Back to ward index

Loughton Broadway · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.9 pts Valid ballots 807

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Owen M.	RES	435	53.9%	Elected
2	Wild D.	Labour Party	185	22.9%
3	Bose G.W.	Conservative and Unionist Party	161	20.0%
4	Butler E.M.	FBM	26	3.2%

Electorate 3,490 · Ballots cast 807 · EC ward code E05004160 · Back to ward index

Buckhurst Hill East · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.5 pts Valid ballots 1,382

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Heap S.A.	Green Party	753	54.5%	Elected
2	Patel S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	514	37.2%
3	Laviolette A.J.	Labour Party	115	8.3%

Electorate 3,547 · Ballots cast 1,382 · EC ward code E05004148 · Back to ward index

Loughton Forest · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.2 pts Valid ballots 1,348

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jogia J.	RES	757	56.2%	Elected
2	Parry T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	466	34.6%
3	Roberts E.	Labour Party	125	9.3%

Electorate 3,387 · Ballots cast 1,348 · EC ward code E05004162 · Back to ward index

Waltham Abbey · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.4 pts Valid ballots 4,437

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kane S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,548	57.4%	Elected
2	Greyson R.F.	Labour Party	836	18.8%
3	Lakes L.	Green Party	581	13.1%
4	Leppert J.P.	FBM	302	6.8%
5	Vaughan T.J.M.	Liberal Democrats	134	3.0%
6	Pattison I.D.C.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	36	0.8%

Electorate 16,633 · Ballots cast 4,437 · EC ward code E58000467 · Back to ward index

Buckhurst Hill West · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.3 pts Valid ballots 2,105

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Williamson K.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,228	58.3%	Elected
2	Redelinghuys A.	Green Party	351	16.7%
3	Gollo O.	Labour Party	238	11.3%
4	Singh I.	Liberal Democrats	200	9.5%
5	Hall T.B.	YPP	88	4.2%

Electorate 5,319 · Ballots cast 2,105 · EC ward code E05004149 · Back to ward index

Epping Lindsey & Thornwood Common · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.6 pts Valid ballots 2,245

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Whitbread H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,316	58.6%	Elected
2	Read N.	Liberal Democrats	698	31.1%
3	Bullough S.D.	Labour Party	231	10.3%

Electorate 5,360 · Ballots cast 2,245 · EC ward code E05004154 · Back to ward index

Loughton Alderton · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.7 pts Valid ballots 908

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Nweke C.	RES	533	58.7%	Elected
2	Ridding J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	205	22.6%
3	Ayre A.	Labour Party	170	18.7%

Electorate 3,423 · Ballots cast 908 · EC ward code E05004159 · Back to ward index

Theydon Bois · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.6 pts Valid ballots 1,477

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Philip J.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	881	59.6%	Elected
2	Amos C.E.	Liberal Democrats	512	34.7%
3	Pendle P.J.D.	Labour Party	84	5.7%

Electorate 3,294 · Ballots cast 1,477 · EC ward code E05004173 · Back to ward index

Epping Hemnall · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.8 pts Valid ballots 2,120

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Whitehouse J.	Liberal Democrats	1,290	60.8%	Elected
2	Baker S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	688	32.5%
3	Collier I.L.	Labour Party	142	6.7%

Electorate 4,951 · Ballots cast 2,120 · EC ward code E05004153 · Back to ward index

Loughton St. Marys · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.7 pts Valid ballots 1,419

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jennings J.	RES	890	62.7%	Elected
2	Hunter J.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	313	22.1%
3	Burrell R.A.	Labour Party	167	11.8%
4	Davies N.	Liberal Democrats	49	3.5%

Electorate 3,929 · Ballots cast 1,419 · EC ward code E05004165 · Back to ward index

Chigwell & Loughton Broadway · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.3 pts Valid ballots 4,246

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Scott L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,686	63.3%	Elected
2	Ayre A.	Labour Party	881	20.7%
3	Anderson L.	Green Party	427	10.1%
4	Hume S.	Liberal Democrats	252	5.9%

Electorate 13,981 · Ballots cast 4,246 · EC ward code E58000423 · Back to ward index

Loughton Fairmead · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.4 pts Valid ballots 897

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wixley D.	RES	569	63.4%	Elected
2	Thomas P.M.	Labour Party	175	19.5%
3	Patel M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	153	17.1%

Electorate 3,268 · Ballots cast 897 · EC ward code E05004161 · Back to ward index

Waltham Abbey North East · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.8 pts Valid ballots 964

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lea J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	615	63.8%	Elected
2	Moss D.A.	Labour Party	181	18.8%
3	Hill C.D.	Green Party	103	10.7%
4	Butler S.	FBM	43	4.5%
5	Vaughan T.J.M.	Liberal Democrats	22	2.3%

Electorate 3,179 · Ballots cast 964 · EC ward code E05004176 · Back to ward index

Loughton Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.3 pts Valid ballots 4,519

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pond C.	LRA	2,994	66.3%	Elected
2	Hunter J.B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	828	18.3%
3	Wild D.	Labour Party	552	12.2%
4	Davies N.	Liberal Democrats	145	3.2%

Electorate 14,083 · Ballots cast 4,519 · EC ward code E58000441 · Back to ward index

Loughton Roding · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.4 pts Valid ballots 1,273

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brookes R.	RES	858	67.4%	Elected
2	Hawes K.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	253	19.9%
3	Rawlings G.	Labour Party	162	12.7%

Electorate 3,616 · Ballots cast 1,273 · EC ward code E05004163 · Back to ward index

Loughton St. Johns · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.8 pts Valid ballots 1,328

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pond C.	RES	901	67.8%	Elected
2	Church B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	296	22.3%
3	Bostock J.E.	Labour Party	131	9.9%

Electorate 3,463 · Ballots cast 1,328 · EC ward code E05004164 · Back to ward index

Waltham Abbey South West · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.1 pts Valid ballots 823

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kane H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	569	69.1%	Elected
2	Hassan S.	Labour Party	163	19.8%
3	Searle J.	FBM	48	5.8%
4	Scales P.	Green Party	43	5.2%

Electorate 3,342 · Ballots cast 823 · EC ward code E05004178 · Back to ward index

Ongar & Rural · single-seat

Marginal winner 69.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −19.6 pts Valid ballots 3,911

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	McIvor J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,723	69.6%	Elected
2	Millwood R.	Labour Party	409	10.5%
3	Fricker A.	Green Party	224	5.7%
4	Barnard E.M.	Liberal Democrats	220	5.6%
5	Tilbrook R.C.W.	EDEM	186	4.8%
6	Bell P.J.	Reform UK	97	2.5%
7	Stevens P.	DEMNET	52	1.3%

Electorate 12,546 · Ballots cast 3,911 · EC ward code E58000447 · Back to ward index

Chigwell Village · single-seat

Marginal winner 70.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −20.5 pts Valid ballots 1,145

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rizvi K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	807	70.5%	Elected
2	Boutall A.T.	Labour Party	187	16.3%
3	Garnham A.M.	Green Party	151	13.2%

Electorate 3,448 · Ballots cast 1,145 · EC ward code E05004151 · Back to ward index

North Weald & Nazeing · single-seat

Marginal winner 72.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −22.6 pts Valid ballots 3,975

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Whitbread C.L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,884	72.6%	Elected
2	Kerrigan L.	Labour Party	656	16.5%
3	Thatcher E.F.	Liberal Democrats	435	10.9%

Electorate 14,273 · Ballots cast 3,975 · EC ward code E58000446 · Back to ward index

Moreton & Fyfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 78.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −28.5 pts Valid ballots 606

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hadley I.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	476	78.5%	Elected
2	Griffiths R.	Liberal Democrats	46	7.6%
3	Bell P.J.	Reform UK	46	7.6%
4	Abou-Harb A.L.Z.	Labour Party	38	6.3%

Electorate 1,711 · Ballots cast 606 · EC ward code E05008941 · Back to ward index

High Ongar Willingale & The Rodings · single-seat

Marginal winner 79.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −29.0 pts Valid ballots 661

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Balcombe R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	522	79.0%	Elected
2	Wingfield A.M.	Labour Party	50	7.6%
3	Thatcher E.F.	Liberal Democrats	46	7.0%
4	Tilbrook R.C.W.	EDEM	43	6.5%

Electorate 1,915 · Ballots cast 661 · EC ward code E05004157 · Back to ward index

Passingford · single-seat

Marginal winner 79.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −29.6 pts Valid ballots 633

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brady H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	504	79.6%	Elected
2	Murchison J.	Labour Party	68	10.7%
3	Barnard E.M.	Liberal Democrats	61	9.6%

Electorate 1,973 · Ballots cast 633 · EC ward code E05004170 · Back to ward index

Chigwell Row · single-seat

Marginal winner 80.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −30.1 pts Valid ballots 732

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bhanot P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	586	80.1%	Elected
2	Fuller N.J.	Labour Party	98	13.4%
3	Hume S.	Liberal Democrats	48	6.6%

Electorate 1,822 · Ballots cast 732 · EC ward code E05004150 · Back to ward index