← Gosport (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Gosport 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 17 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 18 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 11,009 | 50.9% | 8 | 44.4% | 10 | 55.6% | -2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 5,149 | 23.8% | 9 | 50.0% | 4 | 22.2% | +5 |
| Labour Party | 4,727 | 21.9% | 1 | 5.6% | 4 | 22.2% | -3 |
| Green Party | 583 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 77 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 63 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 21,608 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.0% | 18 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Brockhurst · 1 seat · won at 41.2% · −8.8 pts below quota
- Bridgemary South · 1 seat · won at 43.2% · −6.8 pts below quota
- Rowner and Holbrook · 1 seat · won at 43.7% · −6.3 pts below quota
- Christchurch · 1 seat · won at 45.5% · −4.5 pts below quota
- Forton · 1 seat · won at 46.4% · −3.6 pts below quota
- Hardway · 1 seat · won at 52.0% · above quota
- Bridgemary North · 1 seat · won at 53.1% · above quota
- Leesland · 2 seats · won at 38.4% · above quota
- Town · 1 seat · won at 61.4% · above quota
- Elson · 1 seat · won at 61.5% · above quota
- Grange · 1 seat · won at 62.5% · above quota
- Privett · 1 seat · won at 63.4% · above quota
- Lee East · 1 seat · won at 71.9% · above quota
- Peel Common · 1 seat · won at 74.7% · above quota
- Anglesey · 1 seat · won at 75.6% · above quota
- Alverstoke · 1 seat · won at 78.8% · above quota
- Lee West · 1 seat · won at 80.8% · above quota
Race results
Brockhurst · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,096
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Hicks | Liberal Democrats | 452 | 41.2% | −8.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Simon Bellord | Conservative Party | 381 | 34.8% | — | |
| 3 | Stephanie Brazier | Labour Party | 144 | 13.1% | — | |
| 4 | David Foster | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 63 | 5.7% | — | |
| 5 | Jane Staffieri | Green Party | 56 | 5.1% | — |
Bridgemary South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,029
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linda Batty | Conservative Party | 445 | 43.2% | −6.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | James Fox | Labour Party | 300 | 29.2% | — | |
| 3 | Stephen Marshall | Liberal Democrats | 284 | 27.6% | — |
Rowner and Holbrook · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 815
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murray Johnston | Liberal Democrats | 356 | 43.7% | −6.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Patrick Bergin | Conservative Party | 349 | 42.8% | — | |
| 3 | Tim Ryan | Labour Party | 110 | 13.5% | — |
Christchurch · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,263
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julie Westerby | Liberal Democrats | 575 | 45.5% | −4.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Wayne Ronayne | Conservative Party | 403 | 31.9% | — | |
| 3 | Chris Percival | Labour Party | 285 | 22.6% | — |
Forton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 885
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clive Foster-Reed | Liberal Democrats | 411 | 46.4% | −3.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gary Walker | Conservative Party | 254 | 28.7% | — | |
| 3 | Daniel Smith | Labour Party | 180 | 20.3% | — | |
| 4 | Monica Cassidy | Green Party | 40 | 4.5% | — |
Hardway · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,382
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Hutchison | Liberal Democrats | 718 | 52.0% | +2.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Roger Allen | Conservative Party | 522 | 37.8% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Smith | Labour Party | 142 | 10.3% | — |
Bridgemary North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,080
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Pepper | Liberal Democrats | 574 | 53.1% | +3.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Batty | Conservative Party | 278 | 25.7% | — | |
| 3 | Alan Durrant | Labour Party | 228 | 21.1% | — |
Leesland · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 38.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,144
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Chegwyn | Liberal Democrats | 544 | 23.8% | 47.6% | +14.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Herridge | Liberal Democrats | 439 | 19.2% | 38.4% | +5.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Rebecca Stares | Conservative Party | 370 | 16.2% | 32.4% | — | |
| 4 | Natasha Hook | Conservative Party | 336 | 14.7% | 29.4% | — | |
| 5 | Sam Pollard | Green Party | 222 | 9.7% | 19.4% | — | |
| 6 | Alison Mandrill | Labour Party | 151 | 6.6% | 13.2% | — | |
| 7 | Charis Noakes | Labour Party | 119 | 5.2% | 10.4% | — | |
| 8 | David Sekules | Green Party | 106 | 4.6% | 9.3% | — |
Town · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,325
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | June Cully | Labour Party | 814 | 61.4% | +11.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lesley Meenaghan | Conservative Party | 511 | 38.6% | — |
Elson · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,143
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susan Ballard | Liberal Democrats | 703 | 61.5% | +11.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Craig Hazel | Conservative Party | 304 | 26.6% | — | |
| 3 | Alan Neville | Independent | 77 | 6.7% | — | |
| 4 | Emma Smith | Labour Party | 59 | 5.2% | — |
Grange · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 776
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Jessop | Conservative Party | 485 | 62.5% | +12.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hetty Ollivant | Labour Party | 198 | 25.5% | — | |
| 3 | Lynne Pyle | Liberal Democrats | 93 | 12.0% | — |
Privett · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,187
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean Blackman | Conservative Party | 752 | 63.4% | +13.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Annelies James | Labour Party | 276 | 23.3% | — | |
| 3 | Russell Thomas | Green Party | 159 | 13.4% | — |
Lee East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,576
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Piers Bateman | Conservative Party | 1,133 | 71.9% | +21.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Caroline Osborne | Labour Party | 443 | 28.1% | — |
Peel Common · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 74.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +24.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,182
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lynn Hook | Conservative Party | 883 | 74.7% | +24.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Martyn Davis | Labour Party | 299 | 25.3% | — |
Anglesey · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 75.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,338
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alan Scard | Conservative Party | 1,011 | 75.6% | +25.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Noakes | Labour Party | 327 | 24.4% | — |
Alverstoke · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 78.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +28.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,453
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Casey | Conservative Party | 1,145 | 78.8% | +28.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jonathan Eaton | Labour Party | 308 | 21.2% | — |
Lee West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 80.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,791
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Carter | Conservative Party | 1,447 | 80.8% | +30.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jill Whitcher | Labour Party | 344 | 19.2% | — |