← Guildford (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Guildford 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

10 ward races

10 seats

7 elected below the proportional quota

70.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 10 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 10 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	15,212	37.3%	3	30.0%	4	40.0%	-1
Liberal Democrats	10,920	26.8%	5	50.0%	3	30.0%	+2
RES	7,931	19.4%	2	20.0%	2	20.0%	0
Labour Party	4,188	10.3%	0	0.0%	1	10.0%	-1
GGG	1,540	3.8%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Green Party	862	2.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
PEACE	140	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	40,793	100.0%	10	100.0%	10	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Guildford East · 1 seat · won at 32.3% · +17.7 pts below quota
Shere · 1 seat · won at 37.2% · +12.8 pts below quota
Guildford South East · 1 seat · won at 37.7% · +12.3 pts below quota
Guildford West · 1 seat · won at 42.6% · +7.4 pts below quota
Guildford North · 1 seat · won at 44.2% · +5.8 pts below quota
Guildford South West · 1 seat · won at 47.2% · +2.8 pts below quota
Horsleys · 1 seat · won at 47.8% · +2.2 pts below quota
Ash · 1 seat · won at 55.8% · above quota
Shalford · 1 seat · won at 56.0% · above quota
Worplesdon · 1 seat · won at 59.8% · above quota

Race results

Guildford East · single-seat

Marginal winner 32.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +17.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,657

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Potter G.M.	Liberal Democrats	1,503	32.3%	Elected
2	Hyland L.	RES	1,421	30.5%
3	Brooker P.N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,328	28.5%
4	Hackman S.	Labour Party	405	8.7%

Electorate 10,451 · Ballots cast 4,657 · EC ward code E58001494 · Back to ward index

Shere · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,346

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hughes R.G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,618	37.2%	Elected
2	Osborn J.M.	GGG	1,540	35.4%
3	Peters S.E.C.	Green Party	862	19.8%
4	Marsh J.E.	Labour Party	326	7.5%

Electorate 9,911 · Ballots cast 4,346 · EC ward code E58001520 · Back to ward index

Guildford South East · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,639

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Davidson F.M.	RES	1,749	37.7%	Elected
2	Brett-Warburton M.J.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,432	30.9%
3	Harwood C.J.	Liberal Democrats	1,077	23.2%
4	Dewar J.E.P.	Labour Party	381	8.2%

Electorate 10,546 · Ballots cast 4,639 · EC ward code E58001496 · Back to ward index

Guildford West · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,393

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	White F.J.	Liberal Democrats	1,020	42.6%	Elected
2	Chalklin D.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	656	27.4%
3	Creese B.J.	Labour Party	577	24.1%
4	Morris J.H.	PEACE	140	5.9%

Electorate 10,010 · Ballots cast 2,393 · EC ward code E58001498 · Back to ward index

Guildford North · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,628

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	McShane J.M.	Liberal Democrats	1,602	44.2%	Elected
2	O'Keeffe C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,283	35.4%
3	Rouse A.C.	Labour Party	743	20.5%

Electorate 10,801 · Ballots cast 3,628 · EC ward code E58001495 · Back to ward index

Guildford South West · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,260

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Goodwin A.M.	Liberal Democrats	2,009	47.2%	Elected
2	Barker S.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	852	20.0%
3	Connor L.J.	RES	819	19.2%
4	Allen J.D.	Labour Party	580	13.6%

Electorate 10,416 · Ballots cast 4,260 · EC ward code E58001497 · Back to ward index

Horsleys · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,634

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cross C.G.	RES	2,214	47.8%	Elected
2	Iles J.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,735	37.4%
3	Daly E.	Liberal Democrats	536	11.6%
4	Horitz P.B.	Labour Party	149	3.2%

Electorate 9,935 · Ballots cast 4,634 · EC ward code E58001505 · Back to ward index

Ash · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.8 pts Valid ballots 3,627

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Morson C.J.	Liberal Democrats	2,025	55.8%	Elected
2	Manning N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,326	36.6%
3	Kimber P.H.	Labour Party	276	7.6%

Electorate 9,945 · Ballots cast 3,627 · EC ward code E58001461 · Back to ward index

Shalford · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.0 pts Valid ballots 4,302

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Furniss M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,408	56.0%	Elected
2	Taylor C.A.	RES	1,015	23.6%
3	Buckley P.J.	Liberal Democrats	529	12.3%
4	Patrick S.J.	Labour Party	350	8.1%

Electorate 12,143 · Ballots cast 4,302 · EC ward code E58001519 · Back to ward index

Worplesdon · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.8 pts Valid ballots 4,307

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Witham K.F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,574	59.8%	Elected
2	Redpath G.	RES	713	16.6%
3	Dolan P.J.	Liberal Democrats	619	14.4%
4	Creese A.	Labour Party	401	9.3%

Electorate 10,984 · Ballots cast 4,307 · EC ward code E58001541 · Back to ward index