← Harlow (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Harlow 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 11 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 11 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 8,325 | 46.5% | 5 | 45.5% | 6 | 54.5% | -1 |
| Labour Party | 7,767 | 43.4% | 6 | 54.5% | 5 | 45.5% | +1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 984 | 5.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| HlowAll | 426 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 395 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 17,897 | 100.0% | 11 | 100.0% | 11 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Staple Tye · 1 seat · won at 44.1% · −5.9 pts below quota
- Bush Fair · 1 seat · won at 45.0% · −5.0 pts below quota
- Harlow Common · 1 seat · won at 47.6% · −2.4 pts below quota
- Mark Hall · 1 seat · won at 49.9% · −0.1 pts below quota
- Netteswell · 1 seat · won at 50.9% · above quota
- Toddbrook · 1 seat · won at 53.7% · above quota
- Great Parndon · 1 seat · won at 53.8% · above quota
- Sumners and Kingsmoor · 1 seat · won at 57.2% · above quota
- Little Parndon and Hare Street · 1 seat · won at 60.4% · above quota
- Old Harlow · 1 seat · won at 64.6% · above quota
- Church Langley · 1 seat · won at 68.5% · above quota
Race results
Staple Tye · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 44.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,301
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Hardware | Conservative Party | 574 | 44.1% | −5.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Laura McAlpine | Labour Party | 573 | 44.0% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Gough | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 154 | 11.8% | — |
Bush Fair · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,629
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eugenie Harvey | Labour Party | 733 | 45.0% | −5.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andreea Hardware | Conservative Party | 634 | 38.9% | — | |
| 3 | Dan Long | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 180 | 11.0% | — | |
| 4 | Christopher Robins | Liberal Democrats | 82 | 5.0% | — |
Harlow Common · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,707
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maggie Hulcoop | Labour Party | 813 | 47.6% | −2.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tom Reynolds | Conservative Party | 639 | 37.4% | — | |
| 3 | Mike Carr | HlowAll | 149 | 8.7% | — | |
| 4 | Anita Long | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 106 | 6.2% | — |
Mark Hall · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,525
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Purton | Labour Party | 761 | 49.9% | −0.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andrew Colley | Conservative Party | 503 | 33.0% | — | |
| 3 | Abbey Ward | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 140 | 9.2% | — | |
| 4 | Lesley Rideout | Liberal Democrats | 121 | 7.9% | — |
Netteswell · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,554
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Danvers | Labour Party | 791 | 50.9% | +0.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jake Brackstone | Conservative Party | 601 | 38.7% | — | |
| 3 | Marian Lestrange | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 97 | 6.2% | — | |
| 4 | Robert Thurston | Liberal Democrats | 65 | 4.2% | — |
Toddbrook · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,594
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Edwards | Labour Party | 856 | 53.7% | +3.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Lamb | Conservative Party | 551 | 34.6% | — | |
| 3 | Chris Ward | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 103 | 6.5% | — | |
| 4 | Alan Leverett | HlowAll | 84 | 5.3% | — |
Great Parndon · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,630
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shona Johnson | Conservative Party | 877 | 53.8% | +3.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Allan Jolley | Labour Party | 560 | 34.4% | — | |
| 3 | Nicholas Taylor | HlowAll | 193 | 11.8% | — |
Sumners and Kingsmoor · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,585
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicholas Churchill | Conservative Party | 907 | 57.2% | +7.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Aiden O'Dell | Labour Party | 678 | 42.8% | — |
Little Parndon and Hare Street · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,599
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Durcan | Labour Party | 965 | 60.4% | +10.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stevie Souter | Conservative Party | 533 | 33.3% | — | |
| 3 | Patsy Long | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 101 | 6.3% | — |
Old Harlow · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 64.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,016
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joel Charles | Conservative Party | 1,303 | 64.6% | +14.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Liam Kerrigan | Labour Party | 586 | 29.1% | — | |
| 3 | Christopher Millington | Liberal Democrats | 127 | 6.3% | — |
Church Langley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,757
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Hall | Conservative Party | 1,203 | 68.5% | +18.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jake Shepherd | Labour Party | 451 | 25.7% | — | |
| 3 | Pat Long | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 103 | 5.9% | — |