← Harlow (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Harlow 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

14 ward races

17 seats

5 elected below the proportional quota

29.4% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 17 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	29,010	56.9%	16	94.1%	11	64.7%	+5
Labour Party	18,050	35.4%	1	5.9%	6	35.3%	-5
HALL	1,974	3.9%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Liberal Democrats	1,826	3.6%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	105	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	50,965	100.0%	17	100.0%	17	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Harlow West · 2 seats · won at 22.8% · +10.5 pts below quota
Toddbrook · 2 seats · won at 25.4% · +7.9 pts below quota
Bush Fair · 1 seat · won at 48.9% · +1.1 pts below quota
Little Parndon & Hare Street · 1 seat · won at 52.1% · above quota
Netteswell · 1 seat · won at 52.3% · above quota
Church Langley · 2 seats · won at 38.8% · above quota
Harlow North · 1 seat · won at 56.9% · above quota
Harlow Common · 1 seat · won at 57.9% · above quota
Staple Tye · 1 seat · won at 58.3% · above quota
Great Parndon · 1 seat · won at 59.0% · above quota
Mark Hall · 1 seat · won at 61.1% · above quota
Harlow South East · 1 seat · won at 61.7% · above quota
Sumners & Kingsmoor · 1 seat · won at 62.6% · above quota
Old Harlow · 1 seat · won at 66.1% · above quota

Race results

Harlow West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 16,973

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hardware M.E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	4,848	28.6%	Elected
2	Souter C.T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	3,870	22.8%	Elected
3	Pritchard D.W.	Labour Party	3,255	19.2%
4	Vince C.	Labour Party	2,765	16.3%
5	Taylor N.L.	HALL	764	4.5%
6	Leverett A.W.	HALL	747	4.4%
7	Millington C.	Liberal Democrats	378	2.2%
8	Thurston R.K.	Liberal Democrats	346	2.0%

Electorate 30,069 · Ballots cast 16,973 · EC ward code E58000437 · Back to ward index

Toddbrook · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,042

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Malik A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	810	26.6%	Elected
2	Williams G.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	773	25.4%	Elected
3	Adu-Twumwaa H.N.A.	Labour Party	730	24.0%
4	Waite P.	Labour Party	729	24.0%

Electorate 5,645 · Ballots cast 3,042 · EC ward code E05004189 · Back to ward index

Bush Fair · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,970

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Swords D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	963	48.9%	Elected
2	Ingall M.	Labour Party	916	46.5%
3	Tennison W.L.	Liberal Democrats	91	4.6%

Electorate 5,616 · Ballots cast 1,970 · EC ward code E05004179 · Back to ward index

Little Parndon & Hare Street · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.1 pts Valid ballots 1,910

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Vince C.	Labour Party	996	52.1%	Elected
2	Jolles A.R.N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	914	47.9%

Electorate 6,532 · Ballots cast 1,910 · EC ward code E05004183 · Back to ward index

Netteswell · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.3 pts Valid ballots 1,616

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Morrison C.L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	845	52.3%	Elected
2	Morrison K.	Labour Party	668	41.3%
3	Thurston R.K.	Liberal Democrats	103	6.4%

Electorate 5,783 · Ballots cast 1,616 · EC ward code E05004185 · Back to ward index

Church Langley · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 38.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −5.5 pts Valid ballots 3,530

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Carter S.N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,429	40.5%	Elected
2	Purse N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,370	38.8%	Elected
3	Jenkins R.M.	Labour Party	400	11.3%
4	Shepherd J.D.A.	Labour Party	331	9.4%

Electorate 6,429 · Ballots cast 3,530 · EC ward code E05004180 · Back to ward index

Harlow North · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.9 pts Valid ballots 5,779

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Garnett M.G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	3,289	56.9%	Elected
2	Morrison K.	Labour Party	2,110	36.5%
3	Rideout L.A.	Liberal Democrats	380	6.6%

Electorate 18,771 · Ballots cast 5,779 · EC ward code E58000435 · Back to ward index

Harlow Common · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.9 pts Valid ballots 1,928

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Leppard J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,116	57.9%	Elected
2	Toal E.B.	Labour Party	812	42.1%

Electorate 5,479 · Ballots cast 1,928 · EC ward code E05004182 · Back to ward index

Staple Tye · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.3 pts Valid ballots 1,565

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gunn A.H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	912	58.3%	Elected
2	Mullard S.P.	Labour Party	566	36.2%
3	Millington C.	Liberal Democrats	87	5.6%

Electorate 5,119 · Ballots cast 1,565 · EC ward code E05004187 · Back to ward index

Great Parndon · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.0 pts Valid ballots 1,770

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Johnson E.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,044	59.0%	Elected
2	Pritchard D.W.	Labour Party	464	26.2%
3	Taylor N.L.	HALL	262	14.8%

Electorate 4,942 · Ballots cast 1,770 · EC ward code E05004181 · Back to ward index

Mark Hall · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.1 pts Valid ballots 1,692

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Saggers M.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,033	61.1%	Elected
2	Shears L.	Labour Party	539	31.9%
3	Rideout L.A.	Liberal Democrats	120	7.1%

Electorate 5,328 · Ballots cast 1,692 · EC ward code E05004184 · Back to ward index

Harlow South East · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.7 pts Valid ballots 4,953

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Johnson E.C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	3,055	61.7%	Elected
2	Ingall M.	Labour Party	1,632	32.9%
3	Tennison W.L.	Liberal Democrats	200	4.0%
4	Lenihan P.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	66	1.3%

Electorate 14,891 · Ballots cast 4,953 · EC ward code E58000436 · Back to ward index

Sumners & Kingsmoor · single-seat

Marginal winner 62.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.6 pts Valid ballots 1,739

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Perrin R.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,089	62.6%	Elected
2	O'Dell A.	Labour Party	449	25.8%
3	Leverett A.W.	HALL	201	11.6%

Electorate 5,198 · Ballots cast 1,739 · EC ward code E05004188 · Back to ward index

Old Harlow · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.1 pts Valid ballots 2,498

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Garnett M.G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,650	66.1%	Elected
2	Elcock G.P.	Labour Party	688	27.5%
3	Robins C.S.	Liberal Democrats	121	4.8%
4	Lenihan P.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	39	1.6%

Electorate 7,660 · Ballots cast 2,498 · EC ward code E05004186 · Back to ward index