← Harlow (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort
Harlow 2024
Local elections held 2 May 2024.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 11 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 33 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 21,928 | 43.8% | 16 | 48.5% | 15 | 45.5% | +1 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 21,900 | 43.8% | 17 | 51.5% | 15 | 45.5% | +2 |
| Green Party | 4,314 | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 3 | 9.1% | -3 |
| HALL | 993 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 351 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 325 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 141 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 55 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 50,007 | 100.0% | 33 | 100.0% | 33 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Sumners and Kingsmoor · 3 seats · won at 14.8% · +10.2 pts below quota
- Latton Bush and Stewards · 3 seats · won at 15.1% · +9.9 pts below quota
- Bush Fair · 3 seats · won at 15.5% · +9.5 pts below quota
- Mark Hall · 3 seats · won at 15.8% · +9.2 pts below quota
- Great Parndon · 3 seats · won at 16.8% · +8.2 pts below quota
- Old Harlow · 3 seats · won at 17.7% · +7.3 pts below quota
- Church Langley South and Potter Street · 3 seats · won at 18.1% · +6.9 pts below quota
- Netteswell · 3 seats · won at 18.1% · +6.9 pts below quota
- Little Parndon and Town Centre · 3 seats · won at 18.4% · +6.6 pts below quota
- Passmores · 3 seats · won at 19.4% · +5.6 pts below quota
- Church Langley North and Newhall · 3 seats · won at 19.6% · +5.4 pts below quota
Race results
Sumners and Kingsmoor · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 14.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +10.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,339
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perrin, R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 886 | 16.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Souter, C. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 864 | 16.2% | Elected |
| 3 | Ghaffari, E. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 788 | 14.8% | Elected |
| 4 | Davis, R. | Labour Party | 752 | 14.1% | |
| 5 | Dunne, C. | Labour Party | 719 | 13.5% | |
| 6 | Vincent, S. | Labour Party | 670 | 12.5% | |
| 7 | Leverett, A. | HALL | 285 | 5.3% | |
| 8 | Bull, J. | Green Party | 205 | 3.8% | |
| 9 | Bull, D. | Green Party | 170 | 3.2% |
Latton Bush and Stewards · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 15.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,671
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howard, L. | Labour Party | 890 | 15.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Gunn, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 881 | 15.5% | Elected |
| 3 | Seales, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 859 | 15.1% | Elected |
| 4 | Steer, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 836 | 14.7% | |
| 5 | Waite, P. | Labour Party | 805 | 14.2% | |
| 6 | O'Dell, P. | Labour Party | 781 | 13.8% | |
| 7 | James, K. | HALL | 221 | 3.9% | |
| 8 | Higginson, T. | Green Party | 215 | 3.8% | |
| 9 | Margetts, J. | Green Party | 183 | 3.2% |
Bush Fair · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 15.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,755
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dunne, J. | Labour Party | 778 | 16.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Morrison, K. | Labour Party | 769 | 16.2% | Elected |
| 3 | Ingall, M. | Labour Party | 737 | 15.5% | Elected |
| 4 | Morrison, C. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 589 | 12.4% | |
| 5 | Hindocha, N. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 575 | 12.1% | |
| 6 | Kasule, B. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 550 | 11.6% | |
| 7 | Bolton, H. | Green Party | 177 | 3.7% | |
| 8 | Steadman, J. | Green Party | 175 | 3.7% | |
| 9 | Margetts, D. | Green Party | 175 | 3.7% | |
| 10 | Long, D. | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 141 | 3.0% | |
| 11 | Tennison, W. | Liberal Democrats | 89 | 1.9% |
Mark Hall · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 15.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,307
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Houlihan, M. | Labour Party | 722 | 16.8% | Elected |
| 2 | O'Dell, A. | Labour Party | 685 | 15.9% | Elected |
| 3 | Shears, L. | Labour Party | 682 | 15.8% | Elected |
| 4 | Carter, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 408 | 9.5% | |
| 5 | Taylor, J. | Green Party | 370 | 8.6% | |
| 6 | Purse, F. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 337 | 7.8% | |
| 7 | Purse, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 329 | 7.6% | |
| 8 | Johnson, E. | Green Party | 240 | 5.6% | |
| 9 | King, P. | Green Party | 233 | 5.4% | |
| 10 | Gough, M. | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 184 | 4.3% | |
| 11 | Rideout, L. | Liberal Democrats | 117 | 2.7% |
Great Parndon · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 16.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,705
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carter, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 932 | 19.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Ellis, H. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 825 | 17.5% | Elected |
| 3 | Saggers, M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 791 | 16.8% | Elected |
| 4 | Jackson, R. | Labour Party | 581 | 12.3% | |
| 5 | Jolley, A. | Labour Party | 527 | 11.2% | |
| 6 | Tennison, H. | Labour Party | 490 | 10.4% | |
| 7 | Taylor, N. | HALL | 289 | 6.1% | |
| 8 | O'Brien, V. | Green Party | 149 | 3.2% | |
| 9 | Pike, L. | Green Party | 121 | 2.6% |
Old Harlow · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 17.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,314
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charles, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,042 | 19.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Garnett, M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 957 | 18.0% | Elected |
| 3 | Livings, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 943 | 17.7% | Elected |
| 4 | Danver, M. | Labour Party | 665 | 12.5% | |
| 5 | Kerrigan, L. | Labour Party | 563 | 10.6% | |
| 6 | Shulstschik, A. | Labour Party | 559 | 10.5% | |
| 7 | Gregory, Y. | Green Party | 247 | 4.6% | |
| 8 | Stansfield, J. | Green Party | 168 | 3.2% | |
| 9 | Van Der Poel, J. | Green Party | 115 | 2.2% | |
| 10 | Lenihan, P. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 55 | 1.0% |
Church Langley South and Potter Street · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 18.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,569
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Purse, N. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 939 | 20.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Brown, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 890 | 19.5% | Elected |
| 3 | Leppard, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 826 | 18.1% | Elected |
| 4 | Gallacher, C. | Labour Party | 568 | 12.4% | |
| 5 | Mullard-Toal, E. | Labour Party | 513 | 11.2% | |
| 6 | Mace, J. | Labour Party | 505 | 11.1% | |
| 7 | Richardson, T. | Green Party | 187 | 4.1% | |
| 8 | Roberts, G. | Independent | 141 | 3.1% |
Netteswell · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 18.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,890
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Griggs, J. | Labour Party | 871 | 22.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Watson, N. | Labour Party | 710 | 18.3% | Elected |
| 3 | Mullard-Toal, S. | Labour Party | 705 | 18.1% | Elected |
| 4 | Carter, W. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 420 | 10.8% | |
| 5 | Hardware, E. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 403 | 10.4% | |
| 6 | Petch, V. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 367 | 9.4% | |
| 7 | Judd, M. | Green Party | 147 | 3.8% | |
| 8 | Thurston, R. | Liberal Democrats | 145 | 3.7% | |
| 9 | Margetts, A. | Green Party | 122 | 3.1% |
Little Parndon and Town Centre · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 18.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,639
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vince, C. | Labour Party | 761 | 20.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Durcan, T. | Labour Party | 710 | 19.5% | Elected |
| 3 | Hulcoop, M. | Labour Party | 671 | 18.4% | Elected |
| 4 | Brown, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 388 | 10.7% | |
| 5 | Longster, G. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 349 | 9.6% | |
| 6 | Richards, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 332 | 9.1% | |
| 7 | Bow, K. | Green Party | 187 | 5.1% | |
| 8 | Schellin-Jolley, C. | Green Party | 133 | 3.7% | |
| 9 | Kemm, D. | Green Party | 108 | 3.0% |
Passmores · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 19.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,850
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edwards, T. | Labour Party | 799 | 20.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Pritchard, D. | Labour Party | 753 | 19.6% | Elected |
| 3 | Shepherd, J. | Labour Party | 748 | 19.4% | Elected |
| 4 | Maison, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 427 | 11.1% | |
| 5 | Field, M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 422 | 11.0% | |
| 6 | Malik, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 337 | 8.8% | |
| 7 | Barnes, S. | HALL | 198 | 5.1% | |
| 8 | Williams, G. | Green Party | 166 | 4.3% |
Church Langley North and Newhall · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 19.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +5.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,968
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johnson, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 831 | 20.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Swords, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 798 | 20.1% | Elected |
| 3 | Hardware, M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 779 | 19.6% | Elected |
| 4 | Stevens, E. | Labour Party | 437 | 11.0% | |
| 5 | O'Dell, S. | Labour Party | 418 | 10.5% | |
| 6 | Solomon, J. | Labour Party | 384 | 9.7% | |
| 7 | Margetts, M. | Green Party | 185 | 4.7% | |
| 8 | White, B. | Green Party | 136 | 3.4% |