← Havant (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Havant 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 15 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 18,660 | 62.3% | 13 | 86.7% | 10 | 66.7% | +3 |
| Labour Party | 5,381 | 18.0% | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 20.0% | -2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 4,480 | 14.9% | 1 | 6.7% | 2 | 13.3% | -1 |
| Green Party | 848 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 605 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 29,974 | 100.0% | 15 | 100.0% | 15 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Warren Park · 1 seat · won at 36.7% · −13.3 pts below quota
- Battins · 1 seat · won at 38.6% · −11.4 pts below quota
- Bondfields · 1 seat · won at 52.9% · above quota
- St Faith's · 1 seat · won at 57.1% · above quota
- Stakes · 1 seat · won at 58.5% · above quota
- Barncroft · 1 seat · won at 59.3% · above quota
- Hayling East · 1 seat · won at 59.8% · above quota
- Bedhampton · 1 seat · won at 60.3% · above quota
- Purbrook · 1 seat · won at 61.9% · above quota
- Hart Plain · 1 seat · won at 66.4% · above quota
- Cowplain · 1 seat · won at 68.2% · above quota
- Emsworth · 1 seat · won at 69.1% · above quota
- Waterloo · 1 seat · won at 69.5% · above quota
- Hayling West · 2 seats · won at 69.0% · above quota
Race results
Warren Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 36.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −13.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 870
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beryl Francis | Labour Party | 319 | 36.7% | −13.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Curtis Stanfield | Conservative Party | 313 | 36.0% | — | |
| 3 | Margaret Brown | Liberal Democrats | 119 | 13.7% | — | |
| 4 | Graham Stouse | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 119 | 13.7% | — |
Battins · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 38.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −11.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 995
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johanna Lowe | Liberal Democrats | 384 | 38.6% | −11.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Collins | Conservative Party | 313 | 31.5% | — | |
| 3 | Philip Munday | Labour Party | 298 | 29.9% | — |
Bondfields · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 993
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexander Rennie | Conservative Party | 525 | 52.9% | +2.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Munazza Faiz | Labour Party | 335 | 33.7% | — | |
| 3 | Michael Bolt | Liberal Democrats | 133 | 13.4% | — |
St Faith's · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,623
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacqueline Branson | Conservative Party | 1,498 | 57.1% | +7.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Simon Cattermole | Labour Party | 486 | 18.5% | — | |
| 3 | Jane Briggs | Liberal Democrats | 362 | 13.8% | — | |
| 4 | Richard Lanchester | Green Party | 277 | 10.6% | — |
Stakes · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,691
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sarah Milne | Conservative Party | 990 | 58.5% | +8.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lorraine Brown | Labour Party | 489 | 28.9% | — | |
| 3 | Ann Bazley | Liberal Democrats | 212 | 12.5% | — |
Barncroft · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 840
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pamela Crellin | Conservative Party | 498 | 59.3% | +9.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Philip Pearson | Labour Party | 268 | 31.9% | — | |
| 3 | Alun Williams | Liberal Democrats | 74 | 8.8% | — |
Hayling East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,629
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosemarie Raines | Conservative Party | 1,571 | 59.8% | +9.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Oliver | Labour Party | 483 | 18.4% | — | |
| 3 | John Perry | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 279 | 10.6% | — | |
| 4 | Suzette Gray | Liberal Democrats | 165 | 6.3% | — | |
| 5 | Natasha Parker | Green Party | 131 | 5.0% | — |
Bedhampton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 60.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,370
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gary Robinson | Conservative Party | 1,428 | 60.3% | +10.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Philippa Gray | Liberal Democrats | 646 | 27.3% | — | |
| 3 | Sheree Earnshaw | Labour Party | 296 | 12.5% | — |
Purbrook · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,121
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Christie | Conservative Party | 1,312 | 61.9% | +11.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Simon Hagan | Labour Party | 410 | 19.3% | — | |
| 3 | Antonia Harrison | Liberal Democrats | 283 | 13.3% | — | |
| 4 | Rosemarie Blackburn | Green Party | 116 | 5.5% | — |
Hart Plain · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,992
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Prad Bains | Conservative Party | 1,322 | 66.4% | +16.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Howard Sherlock | Labour Party | 324 | 16.3% | — | |
| 3 | Hilary Bolt | Liberal Democrats | 194 | 9.7% | — | |
| 4 | John Colman | Green Party | 152 | 7.6% | — |
Cowplain · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,108
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Briggs | Conservative Party | 1,438 | 68.2% | +18.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jay Kelly | Labour Party | 288 | 13.7% | — | |
| 3 | Lisa Jackson | Liberal Democrats | 210 | 10.0% | — | |
| 4 | Bruce Holman | Green Party | 172 | 8.2% | — |
Emsworth · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,178
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richard Kennett | Conservative Party | 2,195 | 69.1% | +19.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Bilbe | Labour Party | 689 | 21.7% | — | |
| 3 | Christopher Maple | Liberal Democrats | 294 | 9.3% | — |
Waterloo · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 69.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +19.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,373
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Sceal | Conservative Party | 1,650 | 69.5% | +19.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Pratley | Liberal Democrats | 723 | 30.5% | — |
Hayling West · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 69.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +35.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,596
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Isobel Scott | Conservative Party | 1,815 | 35.0% | 69.9% | +36.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael Wilson | Conservative Party | 1,792 | 34.5% | 69.0% | +35.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | John Mealy | Labour Party | 390 | 7.5% | 15.0% | — | |
| 4 | Paul Gray | Liberal Democrats | 345 | 6.6% | 13.3% | — | |
| 5 | William Forrow | Liberal Democrats | 336 | 6.5% | 12.9% | — | |
| 6 | Ian Heaphy | Labour Party | 306 | 5.9% | 11.8% | — | |
| 7 | Patricia Farnham | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 207 | 4.0% | 8.0% | — |