← Havant (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort
Havant 2024
Local elections held 2 May 2024.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 12 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 36 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 26,370 | 37.5% | 13 | 36.1% | 14 | 38.9% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 14,455 | 20.6% | 7 | 19.4% | 7 | 19.4% | 0 |
| Green Party | 13,646 | 19.4% | 4 | 11.1% | 7 | 19.4% | -3 |
| Labour Party | 12,923 | 18.4% | 10 | 27.8% | 7 | 19.4% | +3 |
| Reform UK | 2,471 | 3.5% | 2 | 5.6% | 1 | 2.8% | +1 |
| Independent | 441 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 70,306 | 100.0% | 36 | 100.0% | 36 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Leigh Park Central and West Leigh · 3 seats · won at 11.1% · +13.9 pts below quota
- Bedhampton · 3 seats · won at 12.1% · +12.9 pts below quota
- Hayling East · 3 seats · won at 12.4% · +12.6 pts below quota
- Leigh Park Hermitage · 3 seats · won at 13.3% · +11.7 pts below quota
- Purbrook · 3 seats · won at 15.3% · +9.7 pts below quota
- Emsworth · 3 seats · won at 15.6% · +9.4 pts below quota
- Stakes · 3 seats · won at 15.7% · +9.3 pts below quota
- Hart Plain · 3 seats · won at 15.8% · +9.2 pts below quota
- Waterloo · 3 seats · won at 17.9% · +7.1 pts below quota
- Havant St Faith's · 3 seats · won at 18.0% · +7.0 pts below quota
- Cowplain · 3 seats · won at 18.1% · +6.9 pts below quota
- Hayling West · 3 seats · won at 20.2% · +4.8 pts below quota
Race results
Leigh Park Central and West Leigh · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 11.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +13.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,869
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Horton, J. | Labour Party | 655 | 16.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Faiz, M. | Labour Party | 521 | 13.5% | Elected |
| 3 | Collings, S. | Reform UK | 430 | 11.1% | Elected |
| 4 | Rennie, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 420 | 10.9% | |
| 5 | Stone, R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 415 | 10.7% | |
| 6 | Arnold, C. | Green Party | 363 | 9.4% | |
| 7 | Tindall, K. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 338 | 8.7% | |
| 8 | Lowe, J. | Liberal Democrats | 279 | 7.2% | |
| 9 | Dunford, G. | Liberal Democrats | 238 | 6.2% | |
| 10 | Carpenter, M. | Independent | 210 | 5.4% |
Bedhampton · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 12.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +12.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,357
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gray, P. | Liberal Democrats | 1,159 | 18.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Lind, M. | Liberal Democrats | 887 | 14.0% | Elected |
| 3 | Fairhurst, L. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 767 | 12.1% | Elected |
| 4 | Martin, A. | Liberal Democrats | 739 | 11.6% | |
| 5 | Inkster, M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 650 | 10.2% | |
| 6 | Hughes, T. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 576 | 9.1% | |
| 7 | Collins, M. | Reform UK | 493 | 7.8% | |
| 8 | Pearson, P. | Labour Party | 450 | 7.1% | |
| 9 | Graham, J. | Green Party | 348 | 5.5% | |
| 10 | Lanchester, R. | Green Party | 288 | 4.5% |
Hayling East · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 12.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +12.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,759
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coates, M. | Labour Party | 1,459 | 21.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Shepherd, N. | Green Party | 992 | 14.7% | Elected |
| 3 | Oliver, P. | Labour Party | 839 | 12.4% | Elected |
| 4 | Hartridge, G. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 806 | 11.9% | |
| 5 | Parker, N. | Green Party | 751 | 11.1% | |
| 6 | Cundliffe, E. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 732 | 10.8% | |
| 7 | Attryde, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 610 | 9.0% | |
| 8 | Valentine, J. | Green Party | 570 | 8.4% |
Leigh Park Hermitage · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 13.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,872
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brown, R. | Labour Party | 499 | 17.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Redsull, A. | Labour Party | 472 | 16.4% | Elected |
| 3 | Rhodes, V. | Reform UK | 381 | 13.3% | Elected |
| 4 | Branson, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 358 | 12.5% | |
| 5 | Crellin, P. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 346 | 12.0% | |
| 6 | Weeks, Y. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 337 | 11.7% | |
| 7 | Piper, R. | Green Party | 252 | 8.8% | |
| 8 | Miller, M. | Liberal Democrats | 227 | 7.9% |
Purbrook · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 15.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,237
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harrison, A. | Liberal Democrats | 979 | 18.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Tansom, P. | Liberal Democrats | 933 | 17.8% | Elected |
| 3 | Diamond, C. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 802 | 15.3% | Elected |
| 4 | Norton, T. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 725 | 13.8% | |
| 5 | Patel, H. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 705 | 13.5% | |
| 6 | Kneller, G. | Liberal Democrats | 649 | 12.4% | |
| 7 | James, S. | Green Party | 444 | 8.5% |
Emsworth · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 15.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 10,637
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rason, G. | Green Party | 2,457 | 23.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Mychaleckyj, R. | Green Party | 1,976 | 18.6% | Elected |
| 3 | Robert, C. | Green Party | 1,660 | 15.6% | Elected |
| 4 | Kennett, R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,364 | 12.8% | |
| 5 | Bowerman, L. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,177 | 11.1% | |
| 6 | Lawrence, L. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 954 | 9.0% | |
| 7 | Bolt, M. | Liberal Democrats | 477 | 4.5% | |
| 8 | David, J. | Reform UK | 287 | 2.7% | |
| 9 | Bowman, A. | Liberal Democrats | 285 | 2.7% |
Stakes · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 15.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,963
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lloyd, E. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 741 | 18.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Milne, S. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 682 | 17.2% | Elected |
| 3 | Hagan, S. | Labour Party | 624 | 15.7% | Elected |
| 4 | Patrick, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 599 | 15.1% | |
| 5 | Hill, D. | Labour Party | 501 | 12.6% | |
| 6 | Briley, P. | Green Party | 420 | 10.6% | |
| 7 | Ward, C. | Liberal Democrats | 396 | 10.0% |
Hart Plain · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 15.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,129
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Briggs, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 777 | 18.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Shimbart, E. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 768 | 18.6% | Elected |
| 3 | Blades, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 654 | 15.8% | Elected |
| 4 | Ashley, J. | Liberal Democrats | 570 | 13.8% | |
| 5 | Colman, J. | Labour Party | 563 | 13.6% | |
| 6 | May, P. | Green Party | 432 | 10.5% | |
| 7 | Harvey, J. | Reform UK | 365 | 8.8% |
Waterloo · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 17.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,198
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brent, R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,023 | 19.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Wade, P. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 977 | 18.8% | Elected |
| 3 | Robinson, G. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 930 | 17.9% | Elected |
| 4 | Briggs, J. | Liberal Democrats | 529 | 10.2% | |
| 5 | Corps, D. | Labour Party | 503 | 9.7% | |
| 6 | Plunkett, O. | Green Party | 484 | 9.3% | |
| 7 | Pratley, J. | Liberal Democrats | 417 | 8.0% | |
| 8 | Attewell, N. | Green Party | 335 | 6.4% |
Havant St Faith's · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 18.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,730
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Munday, P. | Labour Party | 1,845 | 21.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Harris, G. | Labour Party | 1,728 | 19.8% | Elected |
| 3 | Berwick, D. | Labour Party | 1,568 | 18.0% | Elected |
| 4 | Dyer, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 846 | 9.7% | |
| 5 | Chilcott, N. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 785 | 9.0% | |
| 6 | Knowles, M. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 630 | 7.2% | |
| 7 | Saunders, N. | Green Party | 582 | 6.7% | |
| 8 | Etherington, D. | Reform UK | 515 | 5.9% | |
| 9 | Harris, G. | Independent | 231 | 2.6% |
Cowplain · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 18.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +6.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,698
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keast, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,021 | 21.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Bowdell, N. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 870 | 18.5% | Elected |
| 3 | Briggs, A. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 852 | 18.1% | Elected |
| 4 | McGannan, W. | Labour Party | 696 | 14.8% | |
| 5 | Holman, B. | Green Party | 650 | 13.8% | |
| 6 | Notley, C. | Liberal Democrats | 609 | 13.0% |
Hayling West · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 20.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,857
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gray, P. | Liberal Democrats | 1,818 | 23.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Forrow, W. | Liberal Democrats | 1,678 | 21.4% | Elected |
| 3 | Hulls, J. | Liberal Democrats | 1,586 | 20.2% | Elected |
| 4 | Richardson, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 784 | 10.0% | |
| 5 | Linger, B. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 765 | 9.7% | |
| 6 | Rees, E. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 584 | 7.4% | |
| 7 | Bradbury, A. | Green Party | 367 | 4.7% | |
| 8 | Soar, R. | Green Party | 275 | 3.5% |