← Havering (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Havering 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 18 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 54 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 75,088 | 37.1% | 25 | 46.3% | 22 | 40.7% | +3 |
| Labour Party | 41,586 | 20.6% | 5 | 9.3% | 12 | 22.2% | -7 |
| HoRA | 22,191 | 11.0% | 8 | 14.8% | 6 | 11.1% | +2 |
| UCRA | 17,410 | 8.6% | 6 | 11.1% | 5 | 9.3% | +1 |
| HWHPRA | 8,542 | 4.2% | 3 | 5.6% | 2 | 3.7% | +1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 6,399 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9% | -1 |
| HaRA | 5,441 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9% | -1 |
| HaroldHI | 4,226 | 2.1% | 1 | 1.9% | 1 | 1.9% | 0 |
| Pettits | 3,861 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9% | -1 |
| Green Party | 3,840 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9% | -1 |
| Independent | 3,588 | 1.8% | 1 | 1.9% | 1 | 1.9% | 0 |
| SHILRG | 3,459 | 1.7% | 2 | 3.7% | 1 | 1.9% | +1 |
| RWR | 3,379 | 1.7% | 3 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0% | +3 |
| Liberal Democrats | 3,128 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| British National Party | 123 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| NF | 50 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 202,311 | 100.0% | 54 | 100.0% | 54 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2018 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and on the eve of it (2017), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Rainham and Wennington · 3 seats · won at 29.6% · above quota
- Gooshays · 3 seats · won at 29.7% · above quota
- Heaton · 3 seats · won at 37.0% · above quota
- Emerson Park · 3 seats · won at 38.7% · above quota
- South Hornchurch · 3 seats · won at 39.1% · above quota
- St Andrew's · 3 seats · won at 39.7% · above quota
- Romford Town · 3 seats · won at 47.9% · above quota
- Pettits · 3 seats · won at 48.3% · above quota
- Brooklands · 3 seats · won at 54.3% · above quota
- Hylands · 3 seats · won at 55.3% · above quota
- Elm Park · 3 seats · won at 55.8% · above quota
- Hacton · 3 seats · won at 57.9% · above quota
- Cranham · 3 seats · won at 60.7% · above quota
- Havering Park · 3 seats · won at 61.8% · above quota
- Upminster · 3 seats · won at 62.8% · above quota
- Mawneys · 3 seats · won at 64.9% · above quota
- Harold Wood · 3 seats · won at 65.4% · above quota
- Squirrel's Heath · 3 seats · won at 68.3% · above quota
Race results
Rainham and Wennington · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 29.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,315
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jeffrey Tucker | RWR | 1,387 | 13.9% | 41.8% | +16.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Durant | RWR | 1,011 | 10.2% | 30.5% | +5.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Tony Durdin | RWR | 981 | 9.9% | 29.6% | +4.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Sue Ospreay | Independent | 913 | 9.2% | 27.5% | — | |
| 5 | Fay Hough | Labour Party | 907 | 9.1% | 27.4% | — | |
| 6 | Kim Arrowsmith | Labour Party | 841 | 8.5% | 25.4% | — | |
| 7 | Christopher Freeman | Labour Party | 753 | 7.6% | 22.7% | — | |
| 8 | Keith Roberts | Independent | 710 | 7.1% | 21.4% | — | |
| 9 | Jacqueline McArdle | Independent | 653 | 6.6% | 19.7% | — | |
| 10 | John Clark | Conservative Party | 557 | 5.6% | 16.8% | — | |
| 11 | Billy Kensit | Conservative Party | 357 | 3.6% | 10.8% | — | |
| 12 | Julian Clark | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 351 | 3.5% | 10.6% | — | |
| 13 | Eileen Rosindell | Conservative Party | 332 | 3.3% | 10.0% | — | |
| 14 | Azzees Minott | Green Party | 191 | 1.9% | 5.8% | — |
Gooshays · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 29.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,222
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carole Beth | Labour Party | 1,100 | 11.4% | 34.1% | +9.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul McGeary | Labour Party | 973 | 10.1% | 30.2% | +5.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Janet Sargent | HaroldHI | 956 | 9.9% | 29.7% | +4.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Sam Brown | HaroldHI | 915 | 9.5% | 28.4% | — | |
| 5 | Adam Curtis | Labour Party | 910 | 9.4% | 28.2% | — | |
| 6 | Lorraine Moss | HaroldHI | 839 | 8.7% | 26.0% | — | |
| 7 | Gregory Samuel | Conservative Party | 693 | 7.2% | 21.5% | — | |
| 8 | Joseph Webster | Conservative Party | 619 | 6.4% | 19.2% | — | |
| 9 | Dominic Swan | Conservative Party | 592 | 6.1% | 18.4% | — | |
| 10 | Ben Buckland | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 479 | 5.0% | 14.9% | — | |
| 11 | Lawrence Webb | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 383 | 4.0% | 11.9% | — | |
| 12 | Patricia Rumble | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 382 | 4.0% | 11.9% | — | |
| 13 | Isabelle Alexander | HWHPRA | 197 | 2.0% | 6.1% | — | |
| 14 | Katie Morant | Green Party | 173 | 1.8% | 5.4% | — | |
| 15 | Lucia Wise | HWHPRA | 160 | 1.7% | 5.0% | — | |
| 16 | Irene Eagling | HWHPRA | 147 | 1.5% | 4.6% | — | |
| 17 | John Porter | Liberal Democrats | 99 | 1.0% | 3.1% | — | |
| 18 | Kevin Layzell | NF | 50 | 0.5% | 1.6% | — |
Heaton · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 37.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,840
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keith Darvill | Labour Party | 1,109 | 13.0% | 39.1% | +14.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Denis O'Flynn | Labour Party | 1,063 | 12.5% | 37.4% | +12.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ramota Lawal | Labour Party | 1,050 | 12.3% | 37.0% | +12.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Wendy Brice-Thompson | Conservative Party | 904 | 10.6% | 31.8% | — | |
| 5 | Christopher Cooper | HaroldHI | 843 | 9.9% | 29.7% | — | |
| 6 | Keith Wells | Conservative Party | 829 | 9.7% | 29.2% | — | |
| 7 | Garry Pain | Conservative Party | 723 | 8.5% | 25.5% | — | |
| 8 | Philip Hyde | HaroldHI | 673 | 7.9% | 23.7% | — | |
| 9 | Ian de Wulverton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 557 | 6.5% | 19.6% | — | |
| 10 | Brian Parker | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 367 | 4.3% | 12.9% | — | |
| 11 | John Thurtle | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 296 | 3.5% | 10.4% | — | |
| 12 | John Deeks | Liberal Democrats | 105 | 1.2% | 3.7% | — |
Emerson Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 38.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,859
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Roger Ramsey | Conservative Party | 1,857 | 16.0% | 48.1% | +23.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Robert Perry | Conservative Party | 1,790 | 15.5% | 46.4% | +21.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Matthew Sutton | Conservative Party | 1,495 | 12.9% | 38.7% | +13.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Laurance Garrard | HaRA | 1,491 | 12.9% | 38.6% | — | |
| 5 | David Godwin | HaRA | 1,434 | 12.4% | 37.2% | — | |
| 6 | John Stone | HaRA | 1,393 | 12.0% | 36.1% | — | |
| 7 | Anil Gupta | Labour Party | 570 | 4.9% | 14.8% | — | |
| 8 | Susan Bearman | Labour Party | 553 | 4.8% | 14.3% | — | |
| 9 | Edwyn Mayhew | Labour Party | 448 | 3.9% | 11.6% | — | |
| 10 | David Johnson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 269 | 2.3% | 7.0% | — | |
| 11 | Ian Pirie | Green Party | 187 | 1.6% | 4.8% | — | |
| 12 | Graham Potter | Liberal Democrats | 89 | 0.8% | 2.3% | — |
South Hornchurch · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 39.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,290
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natasha Summers | SHILRG | 1,362 | 13.8% | 41.4% | +16.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael-Deon Burton | Independent | 1,312 | 13.3% | 39.9% | +14.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Graham Williamson | SHILRG | 1,286 | 13.0% | 39.1% | +14.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Patricia Brown | Labour Party | 1,043 | 10.6% | 31.7% | — | |
| 5 | Trevor McKeever | Labour Party | 1,019 | 10.3% | 31.0% | — | |
| 6 | Nicholas West | Labour Party | 939 | 9.5% | 28.5% | — | |
| 7 | Phillip Bowen | SHILRG | 811 | 8.2% | 24.7% | — | |
| 8 | Georgie Brind | Conservative Party | 634 | 6.4% | 19.3% | — | |
| 9 | Grant Rose | Conservative Party | 561 | 5.7% | 17.1% | — | |
| 10 | Tammey Farquhar | Conservative Party | 422 | 4.3% | 12.8% | — | |
| 11 | Jane Fellowes | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 315 | 3.2% | 9.6% | — | |
| 12 | Mohammad Shahrar Ali | Green Party | 165 | 1.7% | 5.0% | — |
St Andrew's · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 39.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,096
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Middleton | HoRA | 1,738 | 14.1% | 42.4% | +17.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gerald O'Sullivan | HoRA | 1,705 | 13.9% | 41.6% | +16.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | John Mylod | Conservative Party | 1,626 | 13.2% | 39.7% | +14.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Bryan Vincent | HoRA | 1,601 | 13.0% | 39.1% | — | |
| 5 | Christopher Sutton | Conservative Party | 1,491 | 12.1% | 36.4% | — | |
| 6 | Richard Rimkus | Conservative Party | 1,438 | 11.7% | 35.1% | — | |
| 7 | Janet Davis | Labour Party | 709 | 5.8% | 17.3% | — | |
| 8 | Jeffery Stafford | Labour Party | 576 | 4.7% | 14.1% | — | |
| 9 | Keith Taffs | Labour Party | 546 | 4.4% | 13.3% | — | |
| 10 | Malvin Brown | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 369 | 3.0% | 9.0% | — | |
| 11 | Danuta Gorzynska-Hart | Green Party | 248 | 2.0% | 6.1% | — | |
| 12 | Denise Underwood | British National Party | 123 | 1.0% | 3.0% | — | |
| 13 | David Williams | Liberal Democrats | 119 | 1.0% | 2.9% | — |
Romford Town · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 47.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,389
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joshua Chapman | Conservative Party | 2,617 | 19.9% | 59.6% | +34.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Judith Holt | Conservative Party | 2,462 | 18.7% | 56.1% | +31.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Nisha Patel | Conservative Party | 2,102 | 16.0% | 47.9% | +22.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Neil Cassidy | Labour Party | 1,478 | 11.2% | 33.7% | — | |
| 5 | Emma Hamblett | Labour Party | 1,443 | 11.0% | 32.9% | — | |
| 6 | Michael Yore | Labour Party | 1,288 | 9.8% | 29.3% | — | |
| 7 | David Hughes | Green Party | 422 | 3.2% | 9.6% | — | |
| 8 | Kerrie Sait | Liberal Democrats | 345 | 2.6% | 7.9% | — | |
| 9 | Thomas Clarke | Liberal Democrats | 344 | 2.6% | 7.8% | — | |
| 10 | Tyrone Patten-Walsh | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 344 | 2.6% | 7.8% | — | |
| 11 | Ian Sanderson | Liberal Democrats | 323 | 2.5% | 7.4% | — |
Pettits · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 48.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,916
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Philippa Crowder | Conservative Party | 2,143 | 18.2% | 54.7% | +29.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Osman Dervish | Conservative Party | 1,933 | 16.5% | 49.4% | +24.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Robby Misir | Conservative Party | 1,893 | 16.1% | 48.3% | +23.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Denis Stevens | Pettits | 1,461 | 12.4% | 37.3% | — | |
| 5 | John Clarke | Pettits | 1,215 | 10.3% | 31.0% | — | |
| 6 | Samantha Lammin | Pettits | 1,185 | 10.1% | 30.3% | — | |
| 7 | Peter Wheelband | Labour Party | 630 | 5.4% | 16.1% | — | |
| 8 | Christopher Purnell | Labour Party | 577 | 4.9% | 14.7% | — | |
| 9 | Mike Wood | Labour Party | 521 | 4.4% | 13.3% | — | |
| 10 | David Bower | Liberal Democrats | 191 | 1.6% | 4.9% | — |
Brooklands · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 54.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +29.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,935
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Benham | Conservative Party | 2,342 | 19.8% | 59.5% | +34.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Timothy Ryan | Conservative Party | 2,146 | 18.2% | 54.5% | +29.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Vidyotama Persaud | Conservative Party | 2,138 | 18.1% | 54.3% | +29.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Angelina Leatherbarrow | Labour Party | 1,592 | 13.5% | 40.5% | — | |
| 5 | Robert Ritchie | Labour Party | 1,377 | 11.7% | 35.0% | — | |
| 6 | Taimaz Ranjbaran | Labour Party | 1,335 | 11.3% | 33.9% | — | |
| 7 | Josephine Longhurst | Green Party | 344 | 2.9% | 8.7% | — | |
| 8 | Stephen Kimber | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 290 | 2.5% | 7.4% | — | |
| 9 | Peter Davies | Liberal Democrats | 240 | 2.0% | 6.1% | — |
Hylands · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 55.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,386
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andromahi Themistocli | Conservative Party | 2,539 | 19.3% | 57.9% | +32.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Christine Smith | Conservative Party | 2,527 | 19.2% | 57.6% | +32.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ciaran White | Conservative Party | 2,425 | 18.4% | 55.3% | +30.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Derek Ganly | HoRA | 1,215 | 9.2% | 27.7% | — | |
| 5 | David Malillos-Cabezas | HoRA | 1,138 | 8.6% | 25.9% | — | |
| 6 | Jody Ganly | HoRA | 1,121 | 8.5% | 25.6% | — | |
| 7 | Neil Brindley | Labour Party | 667 | 5.1% | 15.2% | — | |
| 8 | Robert Tomlinson | Labour Party | 631 | 4.8% | 14.4% | — | |
| 9 | Mohammed Quamrul Hassan | Labour Party | 602 | 4.6% | 13.7% | — | |
| 10 | Mandy Haines | Green Party | 203 | 1.5% | 4.6% | — | |
| 11 | Susan Brewington | Liberal Democrats | 91 | 0.7% | 2.1% | — |
Elm Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 55.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,608
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Mugglestone | HoRA | 2,160 | 20.0% | 59.9% | +34.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephanie Nunn | HoRA | 2,079 | 19.2% | 57.6% | +32.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Sally Miller | HoRA | 2,012 | 18.6% | 55.8% | +30.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Simon Darvill | Labour Party | 776 | 7.2% | 21.5% | — | |
| 5 | Alfie Cooper | Conservative Party | 756 | 7.0% | 21.0% | — | |
| 6 | Carol Palmer | Labour Party | 732 | 6.8% | 20.3% | — | |
| 7 | Barry Oddy | Conservative Party | 648 | 6.0% | 18.0% | — | |
| 8 | Umair Saeed | Labour Party | 604 | 5.6% | 16.7% | — | |
| 9 | Rebecca Oddy | Conservative Party | 549 | 5.1% | 15.2% | — | |
| 10 | Philip Martin | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 281 | 2.6% | 7.8% | — | |
| 11 | Gerald Haines | Green Party | 149 | 1.4% | 4.1% | — | |
| 12 | Shane Forster | Liberal Democrats | 78 | 0.7% | 2.2% | — |
Hacton · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 57.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +32.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,951
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raymond Morgon | HoRA | 2,653 | 22.4% | 67.1% | +42.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Louis Dodin | HoRA | 2,483 | 20.9% | 62.8% | +37.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Reginald Whitney | HoRA | 2,286 | 19.3% | 57.9% | +32.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Carol Perry | Conservative Party | 807 | 6.8% | 20.4% | — | |
| 5 | Patricia Clark | Conservative Party | 781 | 6.6% | 19.8% | — | |
| 6 | Mazim Nwafor | Conservative Party | 630 | 5.3% | 15.9% | — | |
| 7 | Michael Davis | Labour Party | 567 | 4.8% | 14.4% | — | |
| 8 | Sinead Earley | Labour Party | 533 | 4.5% | 13.5% | — | |
| 9 | Susan Jiggens | Labour Party | 522 | 4.4% | 13.2% | — | |
| 10 | Jeffrey Long | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 289 | 2.4% | 7.3% | — | |
| 11 | David Beesley | Green Party | 200 | 1.7% | 5.1% | — | |
| 12 | Andrew Willmer | Liberal Democrats | 102 | 0.9% | 2.6% | — |
Cranham · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 60.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +35.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,121
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gillian Ford | UCRA | 2,932 | 23.7% | 71.1% | +46.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Clarence Barrett | UCRA | 2,817 | 22.8% | 68.4% | +43.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | John Tyler | UCRA | 2,502 | 20.2% | 60.7% | +35.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Paul Connew | Conservative Party | 974 | 7.9% | 23.6% | — | |
| 5 | Henry Frost | Conservative Party | 769 | 6.2% | 18.7% | — | |
| 6 | Poh Foong | Conservative Party | 593 | 4.8% | 14.4% | — | |
| 7 | Kate Darvill | Labour Party | 475 | 3.8% | 11.5% | — | |
| 8 | John McKernan | Labour Party | 415 | 3.4% | 10.1% | — | |
| 9 | Peter Caton | Green Party | 325 | 2.6% | 7.9% | — | |
| 10 | John Millard | Labour Party | 287 | 2.3% | 7.0% | — | |
| 11 | Helen Johnson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 274 | 2.2% | 6.6% | — |
Havering Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 61.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +36.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,018
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raymond Best | Conservative Party | 2,088 | 23.1% | 69.2% | +44.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Crowder | Conservative Party | 2,001 | 22.1% | 66.3% | +41.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Christine Vickery | Conservative Party | 1,865 | 20.6% | 61.8% | +36.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | David Dawson | Labour Party | 820 | 9.1% | 27.2% | — | |
| 5 | Carol Singh | Labour Party | 687 | 7.6% | 22.8% | — | |
| 6 | Birendra Singh | Labour Party | 678 | 7.5% | 22.5% | — | |
| 7 | David Rumble | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 370 | 4.1% | 12.3% | — | |
| 8 | Andrew Longhurst | Green Party | 356 | 3.9% | 11.8% | — | |
| 9 | Peter Hobday | Liberal Democrats | 190 | 2.1% | 6.3% | — |
Upminster · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 62.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +37.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,634
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linda Hawthorn | UCRA | 3,142 | 22.6% | 67.8% | +42.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ronald Ower | UCRA | 3,109 | 22.4% | 67.1% | +42.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Christopher Wilkins | UCRA | 2,908 | 20.9% | 62.8% | +37.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Susan Connew | Conservative Party | 1,147 | 8.3% | 24.8% | — | |
| 5 | Danny Weedon | Conservative Party | 776 | 5.6% | 16.7% | — | |
| 6 | Anastasia Ravenall | Conservative Party | 743 | 5.3% | 16.0% | — | |
| 7 | Julia Darvill | Labour Party | 517 | 3.7% | 11.2% | — | |
| 8 | Patrick Chalk | Labour Party | 459 | 3.3% | 9.9% | — | |
| 9 | John Sullivan | Labour Party | 418 | 3.0% | 9.0% | — | |
| 10 | Melanie Collins | Green Party | 358 | 2.6% | 7.7% | — | |
| 11 | James Fellowes | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 177 | 1.3% | 3.8% | — | |
| 12 | Bruce Carter | Liberal Democrats | 148 | 1.1% | 3.2% | — |
Mawneys · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 64.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +39.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,431
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jason Frost | Conservative Party | 2,446 | 23.8% | 71.3% | +46.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dilip Patel | Conservative Party | 2,276 | 22.1% | 66.3% | +41.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Carol Smith | Conservative Party | 2,227 | 21.6% | 64.9% | +39.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Linda Trew | HaRA | 631 | 6.1% | 18.4% | — | |
| 5 | Ian James | Labour Party | 623 | 6.1% | 18.2% | — | |
| 6 | Daniel Nichols | Labour Party | 593 | 5.8% | 17.3% | — | |
| 7 | Raymond Shaw | Labour Party | 505 | 4.9% | 14.7% | — | |
| 8 | Graham Trew | HaRA | 492 | 4.8% | 14.3% | — | |
| 9 | Nina Bailey | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 354 | 3.4% | 10.3% | — | |
| 10 | Stewart Mott | Liberal Democrats | 145 | 1.4% | 4.2% | — |
Harold Wood · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 65.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +40.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,923
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brian Eagling | HWHPRA | 2,804 | 23.8% | 71.5% | +46.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Martin Goode | HWHPRA | 2,668 | 22.7% | 68.0% | +43.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Darren Wise | HWHPRA | 2,566 | 21.8% | 65.4% | +40.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Christine McGeary | Labour Party | 651 | 5.5% | 16.6% | — | |
| 5 | Patrick Murray | Labour Party | 607 | 5.2% | 15.5% | — | |
| 6 | Michail Koufalitakis | Conservative Party | 539 | 4.6% | 13.7% | — | |
| 7 | Frederick Thompson | Conservative Party | 530 | 4.5% | 13.5% | — | |
| 8 | Desmond Withrington | Labour Party | 522 | 4.4% | 13.3% | — | |
| 9 | Ashok Kumar | Conservative Party | 448 | 3.8% | 11.4% | — | |
| 10 | Paul Thurtle | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 252 | 2.1% | 6.4% | — | |
| 11 | Jonathan Coles | Liberal Democrats | 182 | 1.5% | 4.6% | — |
Squirrel's Heath · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 68.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +43.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,503
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melvin Wallace | Conservative Party | 2,507 | 23.9% | 71.6% | +46.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Michael White | Conservative Party | 2,409 | 22.9% | 68.8% | +43.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Damian White | Conservative Party | 2,392 | 22.8% | 68.3% | +43.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Joseph MacVeigh | Labour Party | 801 | 7.6% | 22.9% | — | |
| 5 | Sophia Mousoulides | Labour Party | 793 | 7.5% | 22.6% | — | |
| 6 | John McCole | Labour Party | 751 | 7.1% | 21.4% | — | |
| 7 | Victoria Wiseman | Green Party | 519 | 4.9% | 14.8% | — | |
| 8 | Madge Mulliner | Liberal Democrats | 337 | 3.2% | 9.6% | — |