← Hertsmere (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Hertsmere 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

16 ward races

39 seats

35 elected below the proportional quota

89.7% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 16 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 39 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	26,432	43.0%	16	41.0%	17	43.6%	-1
Labour Party	20,217	32.9%	14	35.9%	13	33.3%	+1
Liberal Democrats	13,286	21.6%	9	23.1%	9	23.1%	0
Green Party	1,037	1.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Independent	317	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	130	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	61,419	100.0%	39	100.0%	39	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Shenley · 2 seats · won at 21.0% · +12.3 pts below quota
Borehamwood Hillside · 3 seats · won at 15.3% · +9.7 pts below quota
Potters Bar Oakmere · 2 seats · won at 23.8% · +9.6 pts below quota
Bentley Heath & The Royds · 2 seats · won at 24.0% · +9.4 pts below quota
Bushey Park · 3 seats · won at 16.2% · +8.8 pts below quota
Borehamwood Brookmeadow · 3 seats · won at 16.4% · +8.6 pts below quota
Bushey St James · 3 seats · won at 17.4% · +7.6 pts below quota
Potters Bar Parkfield · 2 seats · won at 27.9% · +5.5 pts below quota
Borehamwood Kenilworth · 3 seats · won at 20.2% · +4.8 pts below quota
Bushey North · 3 seats · won at 20.2% · +4.8 pts below quota
Borehamwood Cowley Hill · 3 seats · won at 20.7% · +4.3 pts below quota
Potters Bar Furzefield · 2 seats · won at 29.4% · +3.9 pts below quota
Aldenham East · 2 seats · won at 30.7% · +2.6 pts below quota
Bushey Heath · 2 seats · won at 30.9% · +2.4 pts below quota
Aldenham West · 2 seats · won at 32.1% · +1.3 pts below quota
Elstree · 2 seats · won at 34.7% · above quota

Race results

Shenley · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,743

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Susman, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	604	22.0%	Elected
2	Jones, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	577	21.0%	Elected
3	Shaw, J.	Labour Party	430	15.7%
4	Davies, A.	Labour Party	377	13.7%
5	Gilligan, R.	Independent	317	11.6%
6	Gunning, H.	Liberal Democrats	154	5.6%
7	Humphries, J.	Green Party	147	5.4%
8	Lewis, D.	Liberal Democrats	84	3.1%
9	Selkus, D.	Reform UK	53	1.9%

Electorate 4,025 · Ballots cast 2,743 · Back to ward index

Borehamwood Hillside · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,000

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Collins, A.	Labour Party	847	16.9%	Elected
2	Kaza, A.	Labour Party	770	15.4%	Elected
3	Clarkson, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	765	15.3%	Elected
4	Eni, V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	747	14.9%
5	Turner, F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	732	14.6%
6	Kumar, T.	Labour Party	725	14.5%
7	Bielfield, M.	Green Party	230	4.6%
8	Goorney, R.	Liberal Democrats	184	3.7%

Electorate 5,634 · Ballots cast 5,000 · Back to ward index

Potters Bar Oakmere · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,627

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jones, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	651	24.8%	Elected
2	Georgiou, R.	Labour Party	624	23.8%	Elected
3	Harrison, A.	Labour Party	612	23.3%
4	Lyon, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	606	23.1%
5	Collins, J.	Green Party	134	5.1%

Electorate 4,302 · Ballots cast 2,627 · Back to ward index

Bentley Heath & The Royds · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,089

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Green, H.	Labour Party	741	24.0%	Elected
2	Sachdev, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	740	24.0%	Elected
3	Doolan, J.	Labour Party	712	23.0%
4	Shah, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	705	22.8%
5	Jeffs, F.	Green Party	191	6.2%

Electorate 4,440 · Ballots cast 3,089 · Back to ward index

Bushey Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 6,598

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Allen, M.	Liberal Democrats	1,225	18.6%	Elected
2	Amron, M.	Liberal Democrats	1,184	17.9%	Elected
3	Shah, S.	Liberal Democrats	1,068	16.2%	Elected
4	Silver, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	925	14.0%
5	Carter, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	873	13.2%
6	Swerling, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	840	12.7%
7	Guilfoyle, F.	Labour Party	188	2.8%
8	Hoeksma, D.	Labour Party	155	2.3%
9	Khan, H.	Labour Party	140	2.1%

Electorate 6,598 · Ballots cast 6,598 · Back to ward index

Borehamwood Brookmeadow · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,367

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Challice, R.	Labour Party	942	17.6%	Elected
2	Alexander, G.	Labour Party	935	17.4%	Elected
3	Plancey, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	878	16.4%	Elected
4	Pitrakou, C.	Labour Party	854	15.9%
5	Briski, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	807	15.0%
6	Sachdev, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	733	13.7%
7	Slack, I.	Liberal Democrats	218	4.1%

Electorate 6,435 · Ballots cast 5,367 · Back to ward index

Bushey St James · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,644

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Handley, M.	Liberal Democrats	1,109	19.6%	Elected
2	Ponder, M.	Liberal Democrats	1,046	18.5%	Elected
3	Shenton, C.	Liberal Democrats	982	17.4%	Elected
4	Choudhury, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	657	11.6%
5	Rutledge, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	625	11.1%
6	West, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	621	11.0%
7	Halsey, P.	Labour Party	214	3.8%
8	Reid, M.	Labour Party	197	3.5%
9	Riley, Y.	Labour Party	193	3.4%

Electorate 5,498 · Ballots cast 5,644 · Back to ward index

Potters Bar Parkfield · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,678

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sullivan, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	799	29.8%	Elected
2	Sachdev, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	746	27.9%	Elected
3	Ballard, S.	Labour Party	435	16.2%
4	Doolan, H.	Labour Party	392	14.6%
5	Bridgen, R.	Liberal Democrats	164	6.1%
6	Lister, D.	Green Party	142	5.3%

Electorate 3,751 · Ballots cast 2,678 · Back to ward index

Borehamwood Kenilworth · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,026

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Oakley, N.	Labour Party	1,074	21.4%	Elected
2	Kaza, P.	Labour Party	1,056	21.0%	Elected
3	Rani, P.	Labour Party	1,014	20.2%	Elected
4	Green, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	565	11.2%
5	Glyn, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	543	10.8%
6	Lazarus, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	533	10.6%
7	Elliman, E.	Liberal Democrats	241	4.8%

Electorate 6,554 · Ballots cast 5,026 · Back to ward index

Bushey North · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,634

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Nicolas, L.	Liberal Democrats	1,219	21.6%	Elected
2	Matthews, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,169	20.7%	Elected
3	Richards, P.	Liberal Democrats	1,139	20.2%	Elected
4	Jefferson, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	508	9.0%
5	Patel, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	450	8.0%
6	Gee, F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	437	7.8%
7	Mayo, E.	Labour Party	249	4.4%
8	Maizels, J.	Labour Party	248	4.4%
9	Reardon, P.	Labour Party	215	3.8%

Electorate 5,990 · Ballots cast 5,634 · Back to ward index

Borehamwood Cowley Hill · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,234

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Butler, R.	Labour Party	1,000	23.6%	Elected
2	Newmark, J.	Labour Party	928	21.9%	Elected
3	Smith, L.	Labour Party	875	20.7%	Elected
4	Landsberg, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	376	8.9%
5	Nygate, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	360	8.5%
6	Rosehill, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	356	8.4%
7	Coleman, N.	Green Party	193	4.6%
8	Goncalves, P.	Liberal Democrats	146	3.4%

Electorate 6,421 · Ballots cast 4,234 · Back to ward index

Potters Bar Furzefield · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 29.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,775

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gray, C.	Labour Party	831	29.9%	Elected
2	Myers, C.	Labour Party	816	29.4%	Elected
3	Dodhia, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	495	17.8%
4	Worster, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	462	16.6%
5	Jankunas, N.	Liberal Democrats	94	3.4%
6	Rhodes, S.	Reform UK	77	2.8%

Electorate 4,253 · Ballots cast 2,775 · Back to ward index

Aldenham East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,777

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Selby, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	967	34.8%	Elected
2	Rosehill, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	853	30.7%	Elected
3	Denton-Cardew, B.	Liberal Democrats	311	11.2%
4	Howard, S.	Liberal Democrats	300	10.8%
5	Goldman, J.	Labour Party	179	6.4%
6	Brown, J.	Labour Party	167	6.0%

Electorate 3,864 · Ballots cast 2,777 · Back to ward index

Bushey Heath · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,482

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Morris, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	818	33.0%	Elected
2	Quilty, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	767	30.9%	Elected
3	Kay, O.	Liberal Democrats	368	14.8%
4	Kutchinsky, R.	Liberal Democrats	341	13.7%
5	Nirmal, P.	Labour Party	94	3.8%
6	Lee, D.	Labour Party	94	3.8%

Electorate 3,650 · Ballots cast 2,482 · Back to ward index

Aldenham West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 32.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +1.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,345

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clapper, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	882	37.6%	Elected
2	Lambert, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	752	32.1%	Elected
3	Huff, S.	Labour Party	200	8.5%
4	May, J.	Liberal Democrats	186	7.9%
5	Al-Saadoon, S.	Liberal Democrats	164	7.0%
6	Dhadra, R.	Labour Party	161	6.9%

Electorate 4,009 · Ballots cast 2,345 · Back to ward index

Elstree · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 34.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −1.3 pts Valid ballots 2,400

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cohen, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	845	35.2%	Elected
2	Bright, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	832	34.7%	Elected
3	Metzer, J.	Labour Party	278	11.6%
4	Juss, S.	Labour Party	255	10.6%
5	Smith, T.	Liberal Democrats	106	4.4%
6	Novokreshchenov, I.	Liberal Democrats	84	3.5%

Electorate 3,700 · Ballots cast 2,400 · Back to ward index