← Horsham (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Horsham 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

12 ward races

12 seats

5 elected below the proportional quota

41.7% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 12 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 12 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	21,100	46.9%	9	75.0%	6	50.0%	+3
Liberal Democrats	12,416	27.6%	3	25.0%	3	25.0%	0
Labour Party	6,359	14.1%	0	0.0%	2	16.7%	-2
Green Party	4,774	10.6%	0	0.0%	1	8.3%	-1
PEACE	208	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
FBM	118	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	44,975	100.0%	12	100.0%	12	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Horsham East · 1 seat · won at 41.2% · +8.8 pts below quota
Bramber Castle · 1 seat · won at 43.2% · +6.8 pts below quota
Holbrook · 1 seat · won at 45.8% · +4.2 pts below quota
Horsham Riverside · 1 seat · won at 46.0% · +4.0 pts below quota
Southwater & Nuthurst · 1 seat · won at 49.2% · +0.8 pts below quota
Broadbridge · 1 seat · won at 51.2% · above quota
Billingshurst · 1 seat · won at 53.0% · above quota
Henfield · 1 seat · won at 53.3% · above quota
St Leonard's Forest · 1 seat · won at 54.6% · above quota
Storrington · 1 seat · won at 56.9% · above quota
Pulborough · 1 seat · won at 57.8% · above quota
Horsham Hurst · 1 seat · won at 59.6% · above quota

Race results

Horsham East · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,613

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mercer J.H.	Liberal Democrats	1,490	41.2%	Elected
2	Dye R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,388	38.4%
3	Kavanagh G.B.	Labour Party	433	12.0%
4	MacTavish F.	Green Party	302	8.4%

Electorate 8,911 · Ballots cast 3,613 · EC ward code E58001631 · Back to ward index

Bramber Castle · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,865

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Linehan P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,669	43.2%	Elected
2	Birnstingl S.W.	Labour Party	831	21.5%
3	Croker M.	Green Party	762	19.7%
4	Hopkinson N.	Liberal Democrats	603	15.6%

Electorate 9,179 · Ballots cast 3,865 · EC ward code E58001607 · Back to ward index

Holbrook · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,628

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Baldwin A.N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,660	45.8%	Elected
2	Fletcher R.M.	Liberal Democrats	1,537	42.4%
3	Chapman R.	Labour Party	431	11.9%

Electorate 9,016 · Ballots cast 3,628 · EC ward code E58001630 · Back to ward index

Horsham Riverside · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,594

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Milne J.L.	Liberal Democrats	1,653	46.0%	Elected
2	Hogben T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,244	34.6%
3	Hide D.V.	Labour Party	489	13.6%
4	Duggan J.	PEACE	208	5.8%

Electorate 9,260 · Ballots cast 3,594 · EC ward code E58001633 · Back to ward index

Southwater & Nuthurst · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,671

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jupp N.P.S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,807	49.2%	Elected
2	Grant N.J.	Liberal Democrats	1,112	30.3%
3	Warrack M.E.	Green Party	422	11.5%
4	O'Sullivan K.S.	Labour Party	330	9.0%

Electorate 9,869 · Ballots cast 3,671 · EC ward code E58001657 · Back to ward index

Broadbridge · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.2 pts Valid ballots 3,588

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mitchell C.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,837	51.2%	Elected
2	Walters B.J.	Liberal Democrats	1,010	28.1%
3	Ross C.	Green Party	434	12.1%
4	Kavanagh J.S.	Labour Party	307	8.6%

Electorate 9,812 · Ballots cast 3,588 · EC ward code E58001608 · Back to ward index

Billingshurst · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.0 pts Valid ballots 3,868

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jupp A.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,051	53.0%	Elected
2	Henson C.N.	Labour Party	723	18.7%
3	Geeson C.	Liberal Democrats	719	18.6%
4	Rothwell E.C.	Green Party	375	9.7%

Electorate 10,419 · Ballots cast 3,868 · EC ward code E58001603 · Back to ward index

Henfield · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.3 pts Valid ballots 3,972

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Payne S.L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,117	53.3%	Elected
2	Ayres F.G.M.	Labour Party	944	23.8%
3	Emmott C.D.	Green Party	608	15.3%
4	Epps D.S.G.	Liberal Democrats	303	7.6%

Electorate 9,090 · Ballots cast 3,972 · EC ward code E58001629 · Back to ward index

St Leonard's Forest · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.6 pts Valid ballots 2,599

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Nagel K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,418	54.6%	Elected
2	Raby S.K.	Liberal Democrats	787	30.3%
3	Loewenthal S.A.	Labour Party	394	15.2%

Electorate 7,866 · Ballots cast 2,599 · EC ward code E58001659 · Back to ward index

Storrington · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.9 pts Valid ballots 4,558

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Marshall P.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,594	56.9%	Elected
2	Fisher C.C.M.	Green Party	1,294	28.4%
3	Ross J.A.	Labour Party	420	9.2%
4	Miles I.A.	Liberal Democrats	250	5.5%

Electorate 10,527 · Ballots cast 4,558 · EC ward code E58001660 · Back to ward index

Pulborough · single-seat

Marginal winner 57.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.8 pts Valid ballots 3,984

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kenyon C.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,303	57.8%	Elected
2	Campbell J.	Green Party	577	14.5%
3	Beveridge A.	Liberal Democrats	546	13.7%
4	Dalton N.	Labour Party	440	11.0%
5	Hughes J.	FBM	118	3.0%

Electorate 10,112 · Ballots cast 3,984 · EC ward code E58001649 · Back to ward index

Horsham Hurst · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.6 pts Valid ballots 4,035

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dennis N.P.S.	Liberal Democrats	2,406	59.6%	Elected
2	Thompson D.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,012	25.1%
3	Hayton C.	Labour Party	617	15.3%

Electorate 9,077 · Ballots cast 4,035 · EC ward code E58001632 · Back to ward index