← Horsham (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Horsham 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

22 ward races

48 seats

46 elected below the proportional quota

95.8% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 22 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 48 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Liberal Democrats	32,756	35.2%	28	58.3%	17	35.4%	+11
Conservative and Unionist Party	31,217	33.5%	11	22.9%	17	35.4%	-6
Green Party	18,506	19.9%	8	16.7%	10	20.8%	-2
Labour Party	8,733	9.4%	0	0.0%	4	8.3%	-4
Independent	1,388	1.5%	1	2.1%	0	0.0%	+1
Reform UK	290	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
PEACE	143	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Heritage Party	61	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	93,094	100.0%	48	100.0%	48	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Billingshurst · 3 seats · won at 12.0% · +13.0 pts below quota
Southwater South & Shipley · 2 seats · won at 20.6% · +12.8 pts below quota
Broadbridge Heath · 2 seats · won at 21.2% · +12.1 pts below quota
Cowfold Shermanbury & West Grinstead · 2 seats · won at 21.4% · +12.0 pts below quota
Itchingfield Slinfold & Warnham · 2 seats · won at 21.7% · +11.7 pts below quota
West Chiltington, Thakeham & Ashington · 3 seats · won at 13.6% · +11.4 pts below quota
Holbrook East · 2 seats · won at 21.9% · +11.4 pts below quota
STEYNING & Ashurst · 2 seats · won at 22.1% · +11.2 pts below quota
Pulborough, Coldwaltham & Amberley · 3 seats · won at 13.8% · +11.2 pts below quota
Henfield · 2 seats · won at 22.2% · +11.1 pts below quota
Southwater North · 2 seats · won at 22.2% · +11.1 pts below quota
Holbrook West · 2 seats · won at 22.7% · +10.6 pts below quota
Denne · 3 seats · won at 15.3% · +9.7 pts below quota
Roffey North · 2 seats · won at 24.0% · +9.4 pts below quota
Colgate & Rusper · 2 seats · won at 24.2% · +9.2 pts below quota
Roffey South · 2 seats · won at 24.3% · +9.1 pts below quota
Storrington & Washington · 3 seats · won at 16.5% · +8.5 pts below quota
Forest · 3 seats · won at 16.8% · +8.2 pts below quota
Nuthurst & Lower Beeding · 1 seat · won at 44.6% · +5.4 pts below quota
Trafalgar · 2 seats · won at 31.0% · +2.4 pts below quota
Bramber Upper Beeding & Woodmancote · 2 seats · won at 32.5% · +0.9 pts below quota
Rudgwick · 1 seat · won at 55.5% · above quota

Race results

Billingshurst · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 12.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +13.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,706

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bateman, S.	Liberal Democrats	1,069	13.9%	Elected
2	Baynham, M.	Liberal Democrats	1,044	13.5%	Elected
3	Trollope, J.	Liberal Democrats	926	12.0%	Elected
4	Brown, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	871	11.3%
5	David, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	807	10.5%
6	Jupp, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	802	10.4%
7	Austin, J.	Labour Party	582	7.6%
8	Henson, C.	Labour Party	579	7.5%
9	Julha, T.	Labour Party	532	6.9%
10	Denton, J.	Green Party	186	2.4%
11	Nama, N.	Green Party	180	2.3%
12	Wilson, T.	Green Party	128	1.7%

Electorate 8,041 · Ballots cast 7,706 · Back to ward index

Southwater South & Shipley · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,397

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Blackburn, C.	Liberal Democrats	889	26.2%	Elected
2	Jeffery, A.	Liberal Democrats	699	20.6%	Elected
3	Stannard, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	689	20.3%
4	Payne, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	686	20.2%
5	Burstow, D.	Labour Party	173	5.1%
6	Croker, D.	Green Party	155	4.6%
7	Shaw, P.	Green Party	106	3.1%

Electorate 5,283 · Ballots cast 3,397 · Back to ward index

Broadbridge Heath · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,371

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brookes, J.	Liberal Democrats	579	24.4%	Elected
2	Taylor, J.	Liberal Democrats	503	21.2%	Elected
3	Smith, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	332	14.0%
4	Vallis, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	322	13.6%
5	Oliver, T.	Independent	252	10.6%
6	McGillivray, J.	Labour Party	160	6.7%
7	Humphreys, S.	Green Party	126	5.3%
8	Vallens, S.	Green Party	97	4.1%

Electorate 4,400 · Ballots cast 2,371 · Back to ward index

Cowfold Shermanbury & West Grinstead · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,130

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lambert, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	690	22.0%	Elected
2	Knowles, J.	Liberal Democrats	669	21.4%	Elected
3	Dittmer, J.	Liberal Democrats	645	20.6%
4	Payne, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	633	20.2%
5	Briggs, C.	Green Party	193	6.2%
6	Shone, D.	Labour Party	152	4.9%
7	Finnegan, A.	Green Party	148	4.7%

Electorate 4,431 · Ballots cast 3,130 · Back to ward index

Itchingfield Slinfold & Warnham · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,151

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Greenwood, K.	Liberal Democrats	740	23.5%	Elected
2	Youtan, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	683	21.7%	Elected
3	Nye, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	667	21.2%
4	Tweedy, B.	Liberal Democrats	597	18.9%
5	Tomlinson, J.	Green Party	185	5.9%
6	Finnegan, A.	Green Party	145	4.6%
7	Barlow, A.	Labour Party	134	4.3%

Electorate 4,460 · Ballots cast 3,151 · Back to ward index

West Chiltington, Thakeham & Ashington · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,246

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Circus, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,369	16.6%	Elected
2	Manton, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,262	15.3%	Elected
3	Dennis, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,119	13.6%	Elected
4	Smith, J.	Green Party	1,046	12.7%
5	Humphreys, B.	Green Party	981	11.9%
6	Sivers, A.	Green Party	800	9.7%
7	Miles, I.	Liberal Democrats	533	6.5%
8	Instance, C.	Independent	370	4.5%
9	Phillips, R.	Liberal Democrats	288	3.5%
10	Dalton, N.	Labour Party	240	2.9%
11	Stone, E.	Liberal Democrats	238	2.9%

Electorate 7,064 · Ballots cast 8,246 · Back to ward index

Holbrook East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,579

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Grant, N.	Liberal Democrats	874	24.4%	Elected
2	Hellawell, W.	Liberal Democrats	784	21.9%	Elected
3	Burgess, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	640	17.9%
4	Torn, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	566	15.8%
5	Chapman, S.	Labour Party	186	5.2%
6	Barry, L.	Labour Party	172	4.8%
7	Yeates, F.	Green Party	150	4.2%
8	Francis, M.	Green Party	125	3.5%
9	Rickett, T.	Reform UK	82	2.3%

Electorate 4,568 · Ballots cast 3,579 · Back to ward index

STEYNING & Ashurst · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,657

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Finnegan, V.	Green Party	895	24.5%	Elected
2	Marks, N.	Green Party	808	22.1%	Elected
3	Lloyd, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	690	18.9%
4	Shoosmith, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	576	15.8%
5	Howell, C.	Liberal Democrats	344	9.4%
6	Hammond, K.	Liberal Democrats	344	9.4%

Electorate 4,741 · Ballots cast 3,657 · Back to ward index

Pulborough, Coldwaltham & Amberley · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,881

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Campbell, J.	Green Party	868	14.8%	Elected
2	Ellis-Brown, L.	Green Party	862	14.7%	Elected
3	Clarke, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	813	13.8%	Elected
4	Atkins, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	777	13.2%
5	Warrack, M.	Green Party	623	10.6%
6	Stuart, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	566	9.6%
7	Berry, J.	Liberal Democrats	341	5.8%
8	Mote, J.	Labour Party	326	5.5%
9	Geeson, C.	Liberal Democrats	269	4.6%
10	Wallace, J.	Reform UK	208	3.5%
11	Evans, J.	Liberal Democrats	167	2.8%
12	Hughes, J.	Heritage Party	61	1.0%

Electorate 5,934 · Ballots cast 5,881 · Back to ward index

Henfield · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,394

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Eastwood, M.	Independent	766	22.6%	Elected
2	Potts, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	753	22.2%	Elected
3	Perry, G.	Green Party	742	21.9%
4	Ayres, F.	Labour Party	590	17.4%
5	Fisher, S.	Green Party	267	7.9%
6	Dane, J.	Liberal Democrats	193	5.7%
7	Mohamed, R.	Liberal Democrats	83	2.4%

Electorate 4,596 · Ballots cast 3,394 · Back to ward index

Southwater North · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +11.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,281

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wood, M.	Liberal Democrats	732	22.3%	Elected
2	Borgh, P.	Liberal Democrats	730	22.2%	Elected
3	Vickers, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	633	19.3%
4	Chidlow, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	605	18.4%
5	Clarke, J.	Labour Party	155	4.7%
6	Barnett, N.	Green Party	151	4.6%
7	Shuker, J.	Green Party	149	4.5%
8	Cornwell, M.	Labour Party	126	3.8%

Electorate 4,417 · Ballots cast 3,281 · Back to ward index

Holbrook West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,019

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Emery, N.	Liberal Democrats	1,039	25.9%	Elected
2	Franke, C.	Liberal Democrats	913	22.7%	Elected
3	Burgess, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	750	18.7%
4	Mitchell, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	732	18.2%
5	Chapman, R.	Labour Party	192	4.8%
6	Hall, D.	Green Party	148	3.7%
7	McCartan, U.	Green Party	133	3.3%
8	Shiel, R.	Labour Party	112	2.8%

Electorate 5,006 · Ballots cast 4,019 · Back to ward index

Denne · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 15.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +9.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,549

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fletcher, R.	Liberal Democrats	1,337	17.7%	Elected
2	Milne, J.	Liberal Democrats	1,204	15.9%	Elected
3	Trott, C.	Liberal Democrats	1,153	15.3%	Elected
4	Dye, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	790	10.5%
5	Walbank, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	780	10.3%
6	Williams, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	752	10.0%
7	Key, H.	Labour Party	327	4.3%
8	O'Sullivan, K.	Labour Party	287	3.8%
9	Verrall, M.	Labour Party	253	3.4%
10	Sharp, J.	Green Party	237	3.1%
11	Johnson, V.	Green Party	219	2.9%
12	Johnson, R.	Green Party	210	2.8%

Electorate 7,605 · Ballots cast 7,549 · Back to ward index

Roffey North · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,217

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bevis, A.	Liberal Democrats	845	26.3%	Elected
2	Walters, B.	Liberal Democrats	771	24.0%	Elected
3	Dancer, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	480	14.9%
4	Grabowski, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	431	13.4%
5	Everett, D.	Labour Party	218	6.8%
6	Wickens, K.	Labour Party	201	6.2%
7	Nicol, I.	Green Party	146	4.5%
8	Linfield, N.	Green Party	125	3.9%

Electorate 4,805 · Ballots cast 3,217 · Back to ward index

Colgate & Rusper · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,645

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kitchen, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	681	25.7%	Elected
2	Hogben, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	639	24.2%	Elected
3	Dinis, J.	Liberal Democrats	485	18.3%
4	James, S.	Liberal Democrats	297	11.2%
5	Mahon, D.	Labour Party	221	8.4%
6	Finnegan, F.	Green Party	198	7.5%
7	Finnegan, Y.	Green Party	124	4.7%

Electorate 4,876 · Ballots cast 2,645 · Back to ward index

Roffey South · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,948

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Raby, S.	Liberal Democrats	746	25.3%	Elected
2	Mercer, J.	Liberal Democrats	715	24.3%	Elected
3	Britten, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	448	15.2%
4	Nagel, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	418	14.2%
5	Adcock, C.	Green Party	175	5.9%
6	Gardner, N.	Labour Party	171	5.8%
7	Loewenthal, S.	Labour Party	170	5.8%
8	Cook, T.	Green Party	105	3.6%

Electorate 4,917 · Ballots cast 2,948 · Back to ward index

Storrington & Washington · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 8,796

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Grech, J.	Green Party	1,588	18.1%	Elected
2	Beard, E.	Green Party	1,579	18.0%	Elected
3	Fisher, C.	Green Party	1,452	16.5%	Elected
4	Hall, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,206	13.7%
5	Williams, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,099	12.5%
6	Markwell, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	903	10.3%
7	Milne, J.	Liberal Democrats	411	4.7%
8	Beveridge, A.	Liberal Democrats	294	3.3%
9	Worth, T.	Liberal Democrats	264	3.0%

Electorate 7,487 · Ballots cast 8,796 · Back to ward index

Forest · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 7,813

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Skipp, D.	Liberal Democrats	1,382	17.7%	Elected
2	Minto, C.	Liberal Democrats	1,362	17.4%	Elected
3	Olson, J.	Liberal Democrats	1,316	16.8%	Elected
4	Hayton, C.	Labour Party	695	8.9%
5	Hide, D.	Labour Party	662	8.5%
6	Kavanagh, G.	Labour Party	560	7.2%
7	Revell, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	385	4.9%
8	Eglinton, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	379	4.9%
9	Walden, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	361	4.6%
10	Moor, H.	Green Party	220	2.8%
11	Baker, T.	Green Party	200	2.6%
12	Leather, L.	Green Party	148	1.9%
13	Duggan, J.	PEACE	143	1.8%

Electorate 6,857 · Ballots cast 7,813 · Back to ward index

Nuthurst & Lower Beeding · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,040

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Livingstone, D.	Liberal Democrats	464	44.6%	Elected
2	Bryant, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	397	38.2%
3	Lamb, H.	Labour Party	94	9.0%
4	Barnes, N.	Green Party	85	8.2%

Electorate 2,446 · Ballots cast 1,040 · Back to ward index

Trafalgar · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 31.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,913

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Boffey, M.	Liberal Democrats	1,287	32.9%	Elected
2	Frankland, A.	Liberal Democrats	1,212	31.0%	Elected
3	Nagel, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	374	9.6%
4	Thompson, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	364	9.3%
5	Kavanagh, J.	Labour Party	236	6.0%
6	Key, A.	Labour Party	161	4.1%
7	Breese, W.	Green Party	141	3.6%
8	Hope, K.	Green Party	138	3.5%

Electorate 4,783 · Ballots cast 3,913 · Back to ward index

Bramber Upper Beeding & Woodmancote · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 32.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +0.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,465

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Croker, M.	Green Party	940	38.1%	Elected
2	Noel, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	800	32.5%	Elected
3	Allen, R.	Liberal Democrats	577	23.4%
4	Mantell, A.	Liberal Democrats	148	6.0%

Electorate 4,258 · Ballots cast 2,465 · Back to ward index

Rudgwick · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.5 pts Valid ballots 896

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Landeryou, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	497	55.5%	Elected
2	Mason, P.	Liberal Democrats	254	28.3%
3	Tilney, H.	Green Party	79	8.8%
4	Bainbridge, R.	Labour Party	66	7.4%

Electorate 2,323 · Ballots cast 896 · Back to ward index