← Isles of Scilly (all cycles) · 4 May 2017 cohort
Isles of Scilly 2017
Local elections held 4 May 2017.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Not enough party-aligned candidates stood in this cycle to compare vote share against seat share. Most candidates ran as independents or were grouped under a single label, so the proportional check doesn't have anything to redistribute.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2017 election (current) and immediately before it (2016). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2017 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- St Mary's · 12 seats · won at 63.2% · above quota
Race results
St Mary's · 12-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~12× smaller. 63.2% Proportional quota 7.7% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +55.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 12 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 595
This is a 12-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 12 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~12×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 12, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 12 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 12. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Francis | Independent | 576 | 8.1% | 96.8% | +89.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Frances Grottick | Independent | 538 | 7.5% | 90.4% | +82.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Adrian Davis | Independent | 520 | 7.3% | 87.4% | +79.7 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Joel Williams | Independent | 514 | 7.2% | 86.4% | +78.7 pts | Elected |
| 5 | Avril Mumford | Independent | 493 | 6.9% | 82.8% | +75.1 pts | Elected |
| 6 | Edward Moulson | Independent | 481 | 6.7% | 80.8% | +73.1 pts | Elected |
| 7 | Stephen Watt | Independent | 436 | 6.1% | 73.2% | +65.6 pts | Elected |
| 8 | Euan Rodger | Independent | 430 | 6.0% | 72.2% | +64.5 pts | Elected |
| 9 | Dan Marcus | Independent | 428 | 6.0% | 71.9% | +64.2 pts | Elected |
| 10 | Andrew Guy | Independent | 420 | 5.9% | 70.6% | +62.9 pts | Elected |
| 11 | Michael Nelhams | Independent | 408 | 5.7% | 68.5% | +60.9 pts | Elected |
| 12 | Stephen Sims | Independent | 376 | 5.3% | 63.2% | +55.5 pts | Elected |
| 13 | Amanda Martin | Independent | 321 | 4.5% | 53.9% | — | |
| 14 | Nicola Guthrie | Independent | 319 | 4.5% | 53.6% | — | |
| 15 | Bethany Hilton | Independent | 311 | 4.4% | 52.2% | — | |
| 16 | Fraser Hicks | Independent | 297 | 4.2% | 49.9% | — | |
| 17 | Andrew Combes | Independent | 250 | 3.5% | 42.0% | — | |
| 18 | Thomas Mitchell | Independent | 25 | 0.3% | 4.2% | — |