← Lincoln (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort
Lincoln 2023
Local elections held 4 May 2023.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 11 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 11 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour Party | 9,020 | 49.2% | 8 | 72.7% | 6 | 54.5% | +2 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 4,732 | 25.8% | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 27.3% | -2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 3,053 | 16.7% | 2 | 18.2% | 2 | 18.2% | 0 |
| Green Party | 815 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Reform UK | 420 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 204 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 64 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| The Liberal Party | 18 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 18,326 | 100.0% | 11 | 100.0% | 11 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Birchwood · 1 seat · won at 45.1% · +4.9 pts below quota
- Witham · 1 seat · won at 48.5% · +1.5 pts below quota
- Minster · 1 seat · won at 51.0% · above quota
- Moorland · 1 seat · won at 53.3% · above quota
- Abbey · 1 seat · won at 56.4% · above quota
- Glebe · 1 seat · won at 57.6% · above quota
- Boultham · 1 seat · won at 59.0% · above quota
- Carholme · 1 seat · won at 59.1% · above quota
- Hartsholme · 1 seat · won at 61.8% · above quota
- Castle · 1 seat · won at 62.4% · above quota
- Park · 1 seat · won at 63.4% · above quota
Race results
Birchwood · single-seat
Marginal winner 45.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,515
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stothard, D. | Labour Party | 683 | 45.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Cave, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 603 | 39.8% | |
| 3 | Chapman, S. | Liberal Democrats | 118 | 7.8% | |
| 4 | Todd, T. | Reform UK | 111 | 7.3% |
Witham · single-seat
Marginal winner 48.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,849
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dyer, T. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 896 | 48.5% | Elected |
| 2 | Bissitt, C. | Labour Party | 727 | 39.3% | |
| 3 | Christopher, F. | Liberal Democrats | 139 | 7.5% | |
| 4 | Smith, N. | Reform UK | 87 | 4.7% |
Minster · single-seat
Marginal winner 51.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.0 pts Valid ballots 1,777
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tweddle, N. | Labour Party | 906 | 51.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Brooks, V. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 632 | 35.6% | |
| 3 | Wilkinson, V. | Green Party | 97 | 5.5% | |
| 4 | Morris, E. | Liberal Democrats | 80 | 4.5% | |
| 5 | Cambo, A. | Reform UK | 62 | 3.5% |
Moorland · single-seat
Marginal winner 53.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.3 pts Valid ballots 1,441
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bushell, B. | Labour Party | 768 | 53.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Edwards, P. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 535 | 37.1% | |
| 3 | Pepper, R. | Liberal Democrats | 138 | 9.6% |
Abbey · single-seat
Marginal winner 56.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.4 pts Valid ballots 1,824
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapman, N. | Liberal Democrats | 1,028 | 56.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Loffhagen, J. | Labour Party | 493 | 27.0% | |
| 3 | Hansard, R. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 154 | 8.4% | |
| 4 | Murray, S. | Green Party | 92 | 5.0% | |
| 5 | Jackson, B. | Reform UK | 57 | 3.1% |
Glebe · single-seat
Marginal winner 57.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.6 pts Valid ballots 1,770
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wells, A. | Liberal Democrats | 1,020 | 57.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Kirk, J. | Labour Party | 464 | 26.2% | |
| 3 | Pavey, J. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 223 | 12.6% | |
| 4 | Carter-Tijmstra, T. | Green Party | 63 | 3.6% |
Boultham · single-seat
Marginal winner 59.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.0 pts Valid ballots 1,364
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bushell, L. | Labour Party | 805 | 59.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Carvalho, D. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 348 | 25.5% | |
| 3 | Kenyon, D. | Green Party | 111 | 8.1% | |
| 4 | Uldall, S. | Liberal Democrats | 100 | 7.3% |
Carholme · single-seat
Marginal winner 59.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.1 pts Valid ballots 1,804
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murray, N. | Labour Party | 1,066 | 59.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Hulme, T. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 216 | 12.0% | |
| 3 | Bustin, J. | Independent | 204 | 11.3% | |
| 4 | Watson, N. | Green Party | 152 | 8.4% | |
| 5 | Morris, C. | Liberal Democrats | 84 | 4.7% | |
| 6 | Parker, N. | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 64 | 3.5% | |
| 7 | Shaw, C. | The Liberal Party | 18 | 1.0% |
Hartsholme · single-seat
Marginal winner 61.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.8 pts Valid ballots 2,223
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bean, B. | Labour Party | 1,374 | 61.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Bell, B. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 612 | 27.5% | |
| 3 | Charters, J. | Liberal Democrats | 134 | 6.0% | |
| 4 | Smith, J. | Reform UK | 103 | 4.6% |
Castle · single-seat
Marginal winner 62.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −12.4 pts Valid ballots 1,561
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Longbottom, R. | Labour Party | 974 | 62.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Osbourne, H. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 304 | 19.5% | |
| 3 | Ross, L. | Green Party | 157 | 10.1% | |
| 4 | Turner, A. | Liberal Democrats | 126 | 8.1% |
Park · single-seat
Marginal winner 63.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.4 pts Valid ballots 1,198
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burke, S. | Labour Party | 760 | 63.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Clark, G. | Conservative and Unionist Party | 209 | 17.4% | |
| 3 | Horscroft, S. | Green Party | 143 | 11.9% | |
| 4 | Craven, O. | Liberal Democrats | 86 | 7.2% |