← Lincoln (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Lincoln 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

11 ward races

11 seats

6 elected below the proportional quota

54.5% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 11 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 11 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Labour Party	8,196	45.0%	8	72.7%	6	54.5%	+2
Conservative and Unionist Party	3,853	21.1%	1	9.1%	2	18.2%	-1
Liberal Democrats	3,314	18.2%	2	18.2%	2	18.2%	0
Reform UK	1,470	8.1%	0	0.0%	1	9.1%	-1
Green Party	985	5.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Party Of Women	167	0.9%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
LINCS IND	140	0.8%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	73	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
The Liberal Party	26	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	18,224	100.0%	11	100.0%	11	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Witham · 1 seat · won at 39.6% · +10.4 pts below quota
Hartsholme · 1 seat · won at 43.3% · +6.7 pts below quota
Birchwood · 1 seat · won at 43.8% · +6.2 pts below quota
Moorland · 1 seat · won at 45.5% · +4.5 pts below quota
Park · 1 seat · won at 47.2% · +2.8 pts below quota
Minster · 1 seat · won at 49.2% · +0.8 pts below quota
Glebe · 1 seat · won at 51.7% · above quota
Abbey · 1 seat · won at 52.5% · above quota
Boultham · 1 seat · won at 55.4% · above quota
Carholme · 1 seat · won at 56.3% · above quota
Castle · 1 seat · won at 59.9% · above quota

Race results

Witham · single-seat

Marginal winner 39.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,668

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mara, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	660	39.6%	Elected
2	Loffhagen, J.	Labour Party	645	38.7%
3	Smith, N.	Reform UK	179	10.7%
4	Osborne, S.	Liberal Democrats	100	6.0%
5	Skipper, L.	Green Party	84	5.0%

Electorate 5,909 · Ballots cast 1,668 · EC ward code E05010794 · Back to ward index

Hartsholme · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,959

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Currier, A.	Labour Party	849	43.3%	Elected
2	Clarkson, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	692	35.3%
3	Smith, J.	Reform UK	190	9.7%
4	Charters, J.	Liberal Democrats	129	6.6%
5	Rodgers, C.	Green Party	99	5.1%

Electorate 6,238 · Ballots cast 1,959 · EC ward code E05010790 · Back to ward index

Birchwood · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,515

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Danese, L.	Labour Party	663	43.8%	Elected
2	Strengiel, E.	Conservative and Unionist Party	573	37.8%
3	Todd, T.	Reform UK	175	11.6%
4	Christopher, F.	Liberal Democrats	104	6.9%

Electorate 5,893 · Ballots cast 1,515 · EC ward code E05010785 · Back to ward index

Moorland · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,465

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Roper, C.	Labour Party	667	45.5%	Elected
2	Fido, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	479	32.7%
3	Benson, D.	Reform UK	155	10.6%
4	Driscoll, P.	Green Party	100	6.8%
5	Craven, O.	Liberal Democrats	64	4.4%

Electorate 5,566 · Ballots cast 1,465 · EC ward code E05010792 · Back to ward index

Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,476

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Burke, C.	Labour Party	696	47.2%	Elected
2	Uldall, S.	Liberal Democrats	346	23.4%
3	Horscroft, S.	Green Party	152	10.3%
4	Rogers, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	107	7.2%
5	Jackson, B.	Reform UK	92	6.2%
6	Freeman, S.	Party Of Women	83	5.6%

Electorate 6,361 · Ballots cast 1,476 · EC ward code E05010793 · Back to ward index

Minster · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,660

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Pritchard, A.	Labour Party	816	49.2%	Elected
2	Storer, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	457	27.5%
3	Cambo, A.	Reform UK	129	7.8%
4	Wilkinson, V.	Green Party	89	5.4%
5	Turner, A.	Liberal Democrats	85	5.1%
6	Knight, E.	Party Of Women	84	5.1%

Electorate 5,298 · Ballots cast 1,660 · EC ward code E05010791 · Back to ward index

Glebe · single-seat

Marginal winner 51.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.7 pts Valid ballots 1,659

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brown, J.	Liberal Democrats	857	51.7%	Elected
2	Spencer, D.	Labour Party	473	28.5%
3	Brooks, V.	Conservative and Unionist Party	173	10.4%
4	McCauley, A.	Reform UK	156	9.4%

Electorate 5,730 · Ballots cast 1,659 · EC ward code E05010789 · Back to ward index

Abbey · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.5 pts Valid ballots 1,999

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Smalley, C.	Liberal Democrats	1,050	52.5%	Elected
2	Bissitt, C.	Labour Party	630	31.5%
3	Penman, D.	Reform UK	109	5.5%
4	Hansard, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	109	5.5%
5	Whitwell, B.	Green Party	101	5.1%

Electorate 6,273 · Ballots cast 1,999 · EC ward code E05010784 · Back to ward index

Boultham · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.4 pts Valid ballots 1,445

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Watt, C.	Labour Party	801	55.4%	Elected
2	Clark, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	250	17.3%
3	Bailey, M.	Reform UK	155	10.7%
4	Grant, D.	Liberal Democrats	123	8.5%
5	Kenyon, D.	Green Party	116	8.0%

Electorate 5,136 · Ballots cast 1,445 · EC ward code E05010786 · Back to ward index

Carholme · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.3 pts Valid ballots 1,885

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Preston, L.	Labour Party	1,062	56.3%	Elected
2	Easters, F.	Liberal Democrats	366	19.4%
3	Hulme, T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	141	7.5%
4	Delaney, A.	LINCS IND	140	7.4%
5	Murray, S.	Green Party	103	5.5%
6	Parker, N.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	73	3.9%

Electorate 5,506 · Ballots cast 1,885 · EC ward code E05010787 · Back to ward index

Castle · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.9 pts Valid ballots 1,493

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Nannestad, D.	Labour Party	894	59.9%	Elected
2	Gwinn, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	212	14.2%
3	Ross, L.	Green Party	141	9.4%
4	Ochoa Avalos, C.	Reform UK	130	8.7%
5	Ballinger, K.	Liberal Democrats	90	6.0%
6	Shaw, C.	The Liberal Party	26	1.7%

Electorate 5,362 · Ballots cast 1,493 · EC ward code E05010788 · Back to ward index