← Malvern Hills (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Malvern Hills 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

18 ward races

31 seats

14 elected below the proportional quota

45.2% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 18 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 31 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	11,538	28.3%	7	22.6%	9	29.0%	-2
Independent	10,469	25.7%	11	35.5%	8	25.8%	+3
Green Party	7,394	18.2%	7	22.6%	6	19.4%	+1
Liberal Democrats	6,635	16.3%	3	9.7%	5	16.1%	-2
MH IND	2,759	6.8%	3	9.7%	2	6.5%	+1
Labour Party	1,717	4.2%	0	0.0%	1	3.2%	-1
Reform UK	202	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	40,714	100.0%	31	100.0%	31	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Link · 3 seats · won at 10.7% · +14.3 pts below quota
Upton & Ripple · 2 seats · won at 20.9% · +12.4 pts below quota
Barnards Green · 3 seats · won at 13.3% · +11.7 pts below quota
Castlemorton, Welland & Wells · 2 seats · won at 22.6% · +10.7 pts below quota
Great Malvern · 2 seats · won at 25.1% · +8.3 pts below quota
Kempsey · 2 seats · won at 28.3% · +5.0 pts below quota
Pickersleigh · 1 seat · won at 45.5% · +4.5 pts below quota
Tenbury · 2 seats · won at 30.4% · +2.9 pts below quota
Baldwin · 2 seats · won at 34.4% · above quota
Powick & the Hanleys · 2 seats · won at 36.5% · above quota
Upper Howsell · 1 seat · won at 54.8% · above quota
Alfrick, Leigh & Rushwick · 2 seats · won at 38.7% · above quota
West · 2 seats · won at 40.1% · above quota
Martley · 1 seat · won at 58.7% · above quota
Hallow & Holt · 1 seat · won at 59.4% · above quota
Longdon · 1 seat · won at 60.3% · above quota
Lindridge · 1 seat · won at 64.9% · above quota
Broadheath · 1 seat · won at 76.8% · above quota

Race results

Link · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 10.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +14.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,257

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chan, K.	Independent	589	11.2%	Elected
2	Mills, N.	Liberal Democrats	568	10.8%	Elected
3	Victory, F.	Green Party	563	10.7%	Elected
4	Bennett, D.	Liberal Democrats	527	10.0%
5	Watkins, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	504	9.6%
6	Hobbs, C.	Liberal Democrats	467	8.9%
7	Hanks, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	442	8.4%
8	Dalley, S.	Labour Party	437	8.3%
9	Burrows, C.	Labour Party	429	8.2%
10	Hooper, C.	Independent	305	5.8%
11	Cherry, A.	Independent	285	5.4%
12	Case, R.	Reform UK	141	2.7%

Electorate 5,701 · Ballots cast 5,257 · Back to ward index

Upton & Ripple · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,906

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Allen, M.	Green Party	1,172	40.3%	Elected
2	Owenson, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	608	20.9%	Elected
3	Waddell, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	463	15.9%
4	Rollinson, R.	Green Party	459	15.8%
5	Mills, L.	Liberal Democrats	143	4.9%
6	Guest, D.	Reform UK	61	2.1%

Electorate 3,912 · Ballots cast 2,906 · Back to ward index

Barnards Green · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 13.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +11.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 5,664

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Driscoll, M.	Green Party	786	13.9%	Elected
2	Victory, M.	Green Party	772	13.6%	Elected
3	Mead, D.	Liberal Democrats	755	13.3%	Elected
4	Fletcher, C.	Liberal Democrats	596	10.5%
5	Benkwitz, P.	Liberal Democrats	521	9.2%
6	Hopwood, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	463	8.2%
7	MacLusky, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	423	7.5%
8	Vines, A.	Independent	376	6.6%
9	Lowton, L.	Labour Party	369	6.5%
10	Dawson, I.	Labour Party	307	5.4%
11	Houghton, N.	Independent	296	5.2%

Electorate 6,488 · Ballots cast 5,664 · Back to ward index

Castlemorton, Welland & Wells · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,217

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gallagher, J.	Independent	864	26.9%	Elected
2	Wild, C.	Independent	727	22.6%	Elected
3	Campbell, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	587	18.2%
4	Fielding, E.	Liberal Democrats	550	17.1%
5	Bayliss, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	489	15.2%

Electorate 4,230 · Ballots cast 3,217 · Back to ward index

Great Malvern · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,898

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Nielsen, B.	Independent	798	27.5%	Elected
2	Palmer, C.	Independent	726	25.1%	Elected
3	Campbell, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	491	16.9%
4	Marson, J.	Liberal Democrats	458	15.8%
5	Jarvis, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	425	14.7%

Electorate 3,915 · Ballots cast 2,898 · Back to ward index

Kempsey · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +5.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,348

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harrison, D.	Independent	917	39.1%	Elected
2	Michael, J.	Independent	665	28.3%	Elected
3	Daly, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	548	23.3%
4	Drage, J.	Liberal Democrats	218	9.3%

Electorate 3,946 · Ballots cast 2,348 · Back to ward index

Pickersleigh · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 466

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bennett, P.	Liberal Democrats	212	45.5%	Elected
2	Chambers, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	104	22.3%
3	Walters, O.	Labour Party	84	18.0%
4	Bovey, C.	Independent	66	14.2%

Electorate 2,011 · Ballots cast 466 · Back to ward index

Tenbury · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,987

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bruton, L.	MH IND	684	34.4%	Elected
2	Willmott, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	605	30.4%	Elected
3	Owen, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	367	18.5%
4	Jones, P.	Green Party	331	16.7%

Electorate 3,626 · Ballots cast 1,987 · Back to ward index

Baldwin · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 34.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −1.0 pts Valid ballots 2,625

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cumming, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	905	34.5%	Elected
2	Cumming, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	902	34.4%	Elected
3	Cramp, J.	Liberal Democrats	436	16.6%
4	Latunde-Dada, S.	Green Party	382	14.6%

Electorate 3,833 · Ballots cast 2,625 · Back to ward index

Powick & the Hanleys · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 36.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −3.1 pts Valid ballots 3,517

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wells, T.	Independent	1,461	41.5%	Elected
2	Wells, K.	Independent	1,283	36.5%	Elected
3	Barbour, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	365	10.4%
4	Watkins, O.	Conservative and Unionist Party	250	7.1%
5	Aksar, R.	Liberal Democrats	158	4.5%

Electorate 4,303 · Ballots cast 3,517 · Back to ward index

Upper Howsell · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.8 pts Valid ballots 611

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wood, J.	Green Party	335	54.8%	Elected
2	Brierley, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	146	23.9%
3	Blazak, J.	Labour Party	91	14.9%
4	Chaundy, W.	Liberal Democrats	39	6.4%

Electorate 2,176 · Ballots cast 611 · Back to ward index

Alfrick, Leigh & Rushwick · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 38.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −5.4 pts Valid ballots 2,561

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rouse, S.	MH IND	1,030	40.2%	Elected
2	Whatley, P.	MH IND	992	38.7%	Elected
3	Selway-Swift, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	300	11.7%
4	Hardwick, L.	Liberal Democrats	239	9.3%

Electorate 3,902 · Ballots cast 2,561 · Back to ward index

West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 40.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −6.8 pts Valid ballots 2,797

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	McVey, N.	Green Party	1,152	41.2%	Elected
2	Raine, J.	Green Party	1,122	40.1%	Elected
3	Kelly, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	312	11.2%
4	Whitehead, R.	Liberal Democrats	211	7.5%

Electorate 4,128 · Ballots cast 2,797 · Back to ward index

Martley · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.7 pts Valid ballots 859

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Jones-Williams, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	504	58.7%	Elected
2	Bateman, J.	Liberal Democrats	197	22.9%
3	Wilesmith, G.	Independent	105	12.2%
4	Oliver, M.	MH IND	53	6.2%

Electorate 2,327 · Ballots cast 859 · Back to ward index

Hallow & Holt · single-seat

Marginal winner 59.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −9.4 pts Valid ballots 833

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Clarke, D.	Independent	495	59.4%	Elected
2	Fordington, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	264	31.7%
3	Drage, E.	Liberal Democrats	74	8.9%

Electorate 2,221 · Ballots cast 833 · Back to ward index

Longdon · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.3 pts Valid ballots 765

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Watkins, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	461	60.3%	Elected
2	Kershaw, T.	Green Party	161	21.0%
3	Smith, L.	Liberal Democrats	143	18.7%

Electorate 1,938 · Ballots cast 765 · Back to ward index

Lindridge · single-seat

Marginal winner 64.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −14.9 pts Valid ballots 738

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Godwin, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	479	64.9%	Elected
2	Thompson, M.	Green Party	159	21.5%
3	O'Loghlen, J.	Liberal Democrats	100	13.6%

Electorate 2,103 · Ballots cast 738 · Back to ward index

Broadheath · single-seat

Marginal winner 76.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −26.8 pts Valid ballots 665

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Walton, D.	Independent	511	76.8%	Elected
2	Fordington, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	131	19.7%
3	Sandys, C.	Liberal Democrats	23	3.5%

Electorate 1,539 · Ballots cast 665 · Back to ward index