← Milton Keynes (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Milton Keynes 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 19 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 20 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 25,925 | 38.6% | 6 | 30.0% | 8 | 40.0% | -2 |
| Labour Party | 24,625 | 36.7% | 8 | 40.0% | 7 | 35.0% | +1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 12,886 | 19.2% | 6 | 30.0% | 4 | 20.0% | +2 |
| Green Party | 3,284 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 5.0% | -1 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 394 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 69 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 67,183 | 100.0% | 20 | 100.0% | 20 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Shenley Brook End · 1 seat · won at 36.3% · −13.7 pts below quota
- Campbell Park and Old Woughton · 1 seat · won at 37.2% · −12.8 pts below quota
- Broughton · 1 seat · won at 41.2% · −8.8 pts below quota
- Bletchley Park · 1 seat · won at 46.0% · −4.0 pts below quota
- Tattenhoe · 1 seat · won at 47.3% · −2.7 pts below quota
- Loughton and Shenley · 1 seat · won at 47.3% · −2.7 pts below quota
- Stantonbury · 1 seat · won at 47.5% · −2.5 pts below quota
- Bradwell · 1 seat · won at 47.5% · −2.5 pts below quota
- Bletchley East · 1 seat · won at 47.8% · −2.2 pts below quota
- Bletchley West · 1 seat · won at 49.2% · −0.8 pts below quota
- Monkston · 1 seat · won at 51.6% · above quota
- Stony Stratford · 1 seat · won at 52.0% · above quota
- Central Milton Keynes · 1 seat · won at 53.2% · above quota
- Wolverton · 1 seat · won at 54.2% · above quota
- Newport Pagnell North and Hanslope · 1 seat · won at 58.9% · above quota
- Danesborough and Walton · 1 seat · won at 61.4% · above quota
- Woughton and Fishermead · 1 seat · won at 63.1% · above quota
- Newport Pagnell South · 2 seats · won at 47.1% · above quota
- Olney · 1 seat · won at 64.0% · above quota
Race results
Shenley Brook End · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 36.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −13.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,074
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andy Reilly | Liberal Democrats | 1,116 | 36.3% | −13.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Knowledge Mpofu | Conservative Party | 1,079 | 35.1% | — | |
| 3 | Kashif Raza | Labour Party | 705 | 22.9% | — | |
| 4 | Helen den Dulk | Green Party | 174 | 5.7% | — |
Campbell Park and Old Woughton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 37.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −12.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,901
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Terry Baines | Conservative Party | 1,453 | 37.2% | −12.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Edward Morello | Liberal Democrats | 1,278 | 32.8% | — | |
| 3 | George Arnold | Labour Party | 1,000 | 25.6% | — | |
| 4 | Carol Barac | Green Party | 170 | 4.4% | — |
Broughton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,391
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Crooks | Liberal Democrats | 1,398 | 41.2% | −8.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Baker | Conservative Party | 1,202 | 35.4% | — | |
| 3 | Ola Oladoye | Labour Party | 620 | 18.3% | — | |
| 4 | Alexander Price | Green Party | 171 | 5.0% | — |
Bletchley Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,223
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Allan Rankine | Conservative Party | 1,943 | 46.0% | −4.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gladstone McKenzie | Labour Party | 1,888 | 44.7% | — | |
| 3 | Joe French | Green Party | 210 | 5.0% | — | |
| 4 | Kerrie Bradburn | Liberal Democrats | 182 | 4.3% | — |
Tattenhoe · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,729
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthony Brown | Labour Party | 1,290 | 47.3% | −2.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jenny Richards | Conservative Party | 1,249 | 45.8% | — | |
| 3 | Kathleen Greenwood | Liberal Democrats | 114 | 4.2% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Hughes | Green Party | 76 | 2.8% | — |
Loughton and Shenley · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,989
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dan Gilbert | Conservative Party | 1,887 | 47.3% | −2.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Carole Baume | Labour Party | 1,683 | 42.2% | — | |
| 3 | Lisa French | Liberal Democrats | 240 | 6.0% | — | |
| 4 | Gill Kirkup | Green Party | 179 | 4.5% | — |
Stantonbury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 4,218
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hannah Minns | Labour Party | 2,003 | 47.5% | −2.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stuart Tomlin | Conservative Party | 1,659 | 39.3% | — | |
| 3 | Alan Mallyon | Liberal Democrats | 384 | 9.1% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Edwards | Green Party | 172 | 4.1% | — |
Bradwell · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,506
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rex Exon | Liberal Democrats | 1,666 | 47.5% | −2.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stephen Brown | Labour Party | 1,214 | 34.6% | — | |
| 3 | Krishna Panthula | Conservative Party | 529 | 15.1% | — | |
| 4 | Brent Johnston | Green Party | 97 | 2.8% | — |
Bletchley East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,104
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammed Dilawar Khan | Labour Party | 1,483 | 47.8% | −2.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Angela Kennedy | Conservative Party | 1,218 | 39.2% | — | |
| 3 | Jo Breen | Green Party | 249 | 8.0% | — | |
| 4 | Stephen Clark | Liberal Democrats | 154 | 5.0% | — |
Bletchley West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,649
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mick Legg | Labour Party | 1,797 | 49.2% | −0.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Kevin Geaney | Conservative Party | 1,482 | 40.6% | — | |
| 3 | Matthew Drewett | Liberal Democrats | 203 | 5.6% | — | |
| 4 | Michael Sheppard | Green Party | 167 | 4.6% | — |
Monkston · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,745
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jenni Ferrans | Liberal Democrats | 1,416 | 51.6% | +1.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jaime Tamagnini | Conservative Party | 651 | 23.7% | — | |
| 3 | Vikas Chandra | Labour Party | 584 | 21.3% | — | |
| 4 | Lawrence Morgan | Green Party | 94 | 3.4% | — |
Stony Stratford · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,733
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennifer Marklew | Labour Party | 1,940 | 52.0% | +2.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Graham Russell | Conservative Party | 1,378 | 36.9% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Greenwood | Liberal Democrats | 154 | 4.1% | — | |
| 4 | Lucy Bjorck | Green Party | 140 | 3.8% | — | |
| 5 | David Tavener | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 121 | 3.2% | — |
Central Milton Keynes · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 53.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +3.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,666
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moriah Priestley | Labour Party | 1,419 | 53.2% | +3.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tubo Uranta | Conservative Party | 704 | 26.4% | — | |
| 3 | Leo Montague | Liberal Democrats | 288 | 10.8% | — | |
| 4 | Ken Baker | Green Party | 186 | 7.0% | — | |
| 5 | Darron Kendrick | Independent | 69 | 2.6% | — |
Wolverton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,515
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Middleton | Labour Party | 1,906 | 54.2% | +4.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Qasim Awan | Conservative Party | 1,055 | 30.0% | — | |
| 3 | Alan Francis | Green Party | 314 | 8.9% | — | |
| 4 | Thais Portilho | Liberal Democrats | 240 | 6.8% | — |
Newport Pagnell North and Hanslope · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,532
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Geary | Conservative Party | 2,081 | 58.9% | +8.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Nick Phillips | Labour Party | 739 | 20.9% | — | |
| 3 | Eva Griffin | Liberal Democrats | 499 | 14.1% | — | |
| 4 | Hilarie Bowman | Green Party | 112 | 3.2% | — | |
| 5 | Ruth Birrell | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 101 | 2.9% | — |
Danesborough and Walton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,068
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Hopkins | Conservative Party | 1,883 | 61.4% | +11.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Cockfield | Labour Party | 667 | 21.7% | — | |
| 3 | Peter Skelton | Green Party | 266 | 8.7% | — | |
| 4 | Florence Montague | Liberal Democrats | 252 | 8.2% | — |
Woughton and Fishermead · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,604
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shammi Akter | Labour Party | 1,643 | 63.1% | +13.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Priest | Conservative Party | 652 | 25.0% | — | |
| 3 | Simon Jackson | Green Party | 178 | 6.8% | — | |
| 4 | Rebecca Verkade-Cave | Liberal Democrats | 131 | 5.0% | — |
Newport Pagnell South · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 47.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,042
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Alexander | Liberal Democrats | 1,533 | 25.2% | 50.4% | +17.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jane Carr | Liberal Democrats | 1,433 | 23.6% | 47.1% | +13.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | David Edwards | Conservative Party | 858 | 14.1% | 28.2% | — | |
| 4 | Philip Wharton | Conservative Party | 753 | 12.4% | 24.8% | — | |
| 5 | Paul Day | Labour Party | 637 | 10.5% | 20.9% | — | |
| 6 | Natasha Huckle | Labour Party | 628 | 10.3% | 20.6% | — | |
| 7 | Keri Edmonds | Green Party | 151 | 2.5% | 5.0% | — | |
| 8 | Nigel Birrell | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 91 | 1.5% | 3.0% | — |
Olney · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 64.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,452
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peter Geary | Conservative Party | 2,209 | 64.0% | +14.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dee Bethune | Labour Party | 779 | 22.6% | — | |
| 3 | Tony Oyakhire | Liberal Democrats | 205 | 5.9% | — | |
| 4 | Catherine Rose | Green Party | 178 | 5.2% | — | |
| 5 | Dana Green | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 81 | 2.3% | — |