← Mole Valley (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Mole Valley 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 9,164 | 37.5% | 6 | 42.9% | 6 | 42.9% | 0 |
| Conservative Party | 9,038 | 37.0% | 5 | 35.7% | 6 | 42.9% | -1 |
| Ashtead | 2,943 | 12.1% | 3 | 21.4% | 1 | 7.1% | +2 |
| Labour Party | 1,598 | 6.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 7.1% | -1 |
| Green Party | 1,094 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 314 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 243 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| DVP | 26 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 24,420 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Leatherhead North · 1 seat · won at 41.9% · −8.1 pts below quota
- Capel, Leigh and Newdigate · 1 seat · won at 46.6% · −3.4 pts below quota
- Holmwoods · 1 seat · won at 49.1% · −0.9 pts below quota
- Bookham North · 1 seat · won at 50.4% · above quota
- Bookham South · 1 seat · won at 54.5% · above quota
- Brockham, Betchworth and Buckland · 1 seat · won at 55.9% · above quota
- Dorking South · 1 seat · won at 57.1% · above quota
- Ashtead Common · 1 seat · won at 59.7% · above quota
- Ashtead Park · 1 seat · won at 61.1% · above quota
- Leatherhead South · 1 seat · won at 61.4% · above quota
- Ashtead Village · 1 seat · won at 62.9% · above quota
- Fetcham East · 1 seat · won at 63.0% · above quota
- Fetcham West · 1 seat · won at 64.4% · above quota
- Dorking North · 1 seat · won at 66.6% · above quota
Race results
Leatherhead North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,741
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emma Cussell | Liberal Democrats | 729 | 41.9% | −8.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Simon Moss | Conservative Party | 598 | 34.3% | — | |
| 3 | Marc Green | Labour Party | 275 | 15.8% | — | |
| 4 | Bob Cane | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 74 | 4.3% | — | |
| 5 | Vicki Elcoate | Green Party | 65 | 3.7% | — |
Capel, Leigh and Newdigate · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 46.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,579
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mary Huggins | Conservative Party | 736 | 46.6% | −3.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lesley Bushnell | Liberal Democrats | 685 | 43.4% | — | |
| 3 | Geoff Cox | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 65 | 4.1% | — | |
| 4 | Charlotte Dix | Labour Party | 48 | 3.0% | — | |
| 5 | Muriel Passmore | Green Party | 45 | 2.8% | — |
Holmwoods · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,775
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clayton Wellman | Liberal Democrats | 871 | 49.1% | −0.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Fiona Meadows | Conservative Party | 595 | 33.5% | — | |
| 3 | Laurence Nasskau | Labour Party | 133 | 7.5% | — | |
| 4 | Jeff Zie | Green Party | 93 | 5.2% | — | |
| 5 | Margaret Curran | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 83 | 4.7% | — |
Bookham North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,199
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Richard Moyse | Conservative Party | 1,108 | 50.4% | +0.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Fran Pyatt | Liberal Democrats | 868 | 39.5% | — | |
| 3 | Ann James | Green Party | 118 | 5.4% | — | |
| 4 | Bert Jones | Labour Party | 105 | 4.8% | — |
Bookham South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,163
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizabeth Daly | Liberal Democrats | 1,179 | 54.5% | +4.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jatin Patel | Conservative Party | 835 | 38.6% | — | |
| 3 | Damian McDevitt | Green Party | 80 | 3.7% | — | |
| 4 | Colin Edgley | Labour Party | 69 | 3.2% | — |
Brockham, Betchworth and Buckland · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,902
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simon Budd | Conservative Party | 1,063 | 55.9% | +5.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Roger Abbott | Liberal Democrats | 661 | 34.8% | — | |
| 3 | Rosemary Buckle | Labour Party | 79 | 4.2% | — | |
| 4 | Julian Everett | Green Party | 73 | 3.8% | — | |
| 5 | Harry Edwards | DVP | 26 | 1.4% | — |
Dorking South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,425
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Margaret Cooksey | Liberal Democrats | 1,385 | 57.1% | +7.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Roger Jones | Conservative Party | 634 | 26.1% | — | |
| 3 | Frank Pemberton | Labour Party | 203 | 8.4% | — | |
| 4 | Chris Crook | Green Party | 142 | 5.9% | — | |
| 5 | Marjorie Dixon | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 61 | 2.5% | — |
Ashtead Common · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 59.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +9.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,400
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patricia Wiltshire | Ashtead | 836 | 59.7% | +9.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Marion Bridgen | Conservative Party | 244 | 17.4% | — | |
| 3 | Keira Vyvyan-Robinson | Liberal Democrats | 172 | 12.3% | — | |
| 4 | Caroline Gilchrist | Labour Party | 117 | 8.4% | — | |
| 5 | Steve McDonald | Green Party | 31 | 2.2% | — |
Ashtead Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,432
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garry Stansfield | Ashtead | 875 | 61.1% | +11.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Linda St John | Conservative Party | 391 | 27.3% | — | |
| 3 | Hector Keun | Liberal Democrats | 70 | 4.9% | — | |
| 4 | Susan McGrath | Green Party | 49 | 3.4% | — | |
| 5 | Susan Gilchrist | Labour Party | 47 | 3.3% | — |
Leatherhead South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 61.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,376
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tim Ashton | Conservative Party | 845 | 61.4% | +11.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Gareth Hartwell | Independent | 243 | 17.7% | — | |
| 3 | Kim Coote | Labour Party | 162 | 11.8% | — | |
| 4 | David Scoffield | Green Party | 126 | 9.2% | — |
Ashtead Village · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 62.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,960
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alan Reilly | Ashtead | 1,232 | 62.9% | +12.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Fiona Reynolds | Conservative Party | 413 | 21.1% | — | |
| 3 | Rita Antonelli | Liberal Democrats | 141 | 7.2% | — | |
| 4 | Clive Scott | Labour Party | 115 | 5.9% | — | |
| 5 | Lucy Barford | Green Party | 59 | 3.0% | — |
Fetcham East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,405
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tracy Keeley | Conservative Party | 885 | 63.0% | +13.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ian Anderson | Liberal Democrats | 398 | 28.3% | — | |
| 3 | Ann Clark | Labour Party | 81 | 5.8% | — | |
| 4 | Eugene Suggett | Green Party | 41 | 2.9% | — |
Fetcham West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 64.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +14.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,577
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raj Harque | Liberal Democrats | 1,016 | 64.4% | +14.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hugh Broom | Conservative Party | 444 | 28.2% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Coote | Labour Party | 59 | 3.7% | — | |
| 4 | Richard Essex | Green Party | 58 | 3.7% | — |
Dorking North · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 66.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,486
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Draper | Liberal Democrats | 989 | 66.6% | +16.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dean Beasley | Conservative Party | 247 | 16.6% | — | |
| 3 | Jacquetta Fewster | Green Party | 114 | 7.7% | — | |
| 4 | James Stringer | Labour Party | 105 | 7.1% | — | |
| 5 | David Payne | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 31 | 2.1% | — |