← Monmouthshire (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort

Monmouthshire 2022

Local elections held 5 May 2022.

39 ward races
46 seats
32 elected below the proportional quota
69.6% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 39 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 46 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party15,94738.0%1839.1%1839.1%0
Labour Party15,15736.1%2247.8%1737.0%+5
Independent5,26212.5%510.9%613.0%-1
Liberal Democrats3,4178.1%00.0%36.5%-3
Green Party2,0634.9%12.2%24.3%-1
ND1630.4%00.0%00.0%0
Total42,009100.0%46100.0%46100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Rogiet · single-seat

Marginal winner 31.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +18.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 590

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Strong P.Labour Party18731.7%Elected
2Cromwell P.Independent16828.5%
3McVicker-Orringe S.Independent14123.9%
4Milmine P.Liberal Democrats478.0%
5Davies E.Conservative and Unionist Party478.0%

Electorate 1,448 · Ballots cast 590 · EC ward code W05001793 · Back to ward index

Llanelly · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +17.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,234

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Howarth S.Independent61919.1%Elected
2Brocklesby M.Labour Party51816.0%Elected
3Pratt J.Conservative and Unionist Party50915.7%
4Howard G.Independent43613.5%
5Wilde G.Labour Party40712.6%
6Dixon R.Conservative and Unionist Party36811.4%
7Carrington T.ND1604.9%
8Barney M.Green Party1574.9%
9Redhead T.Liberal Democrats601.9%

Electorate 3,303 · Ballots cast 3,234 · EC ward code W05001778 · Back to ward index

Drybridge · single-seat

Marginal winner 36.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +13.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 727

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Maby C.Labour Party26336.2%Elected
2Feakins M.Conservative and Unionist Party21329.3%
3Ford M.Independent17824.5%
4Chandler K.Green Party7310.0%

Electorate 1,815 · Ballots cast 727 · EC ward code W05001772 · Back to ward index

Chepstow Castle & Larkfield · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 19.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +13.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,920

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Griffiths P.Labour Party43222.5%Elected
2Rooke D.Labour Party38119.8%Elected
3Becker J.Liberal Democrats31316.3%
4Le Peltier M.Conservative and Unionist Party29515.4%
5Coombs G.Conservative and Unionist Party28915.1%
6Power D.Liberal Democrats21010.9%

Electorate 2,546 · Ballots cast 1,920 · EC ward code W05001767 · Back to ward index

Llanbadoc & Usk · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,274

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Howells M.Independent84725.9%Elected
2Kear T.Conservative and Unionist Party75523.1%Elected
3Smith V.Independent52316.0%
4Morgan A.Conservative and Unionist Party49315.1%
5Bowyer P.Labour Party2106.4%
6Goring C.Green Party1855.7%
7Harris R.Labour Party1835.6%
8Hepburn-John E.Liberal Democrats782.4%

Electorate 3,097 · Ballots cast 3,274 · EC ward code W05001777 · Back to ward index

Mitchel Troy & Trellech United · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.3% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,002

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1John R.Conservative and Unionist Party75325.1%Elected
2McKenna J.Conservative and Unionist Party73024.3%Elected
3Blakebrough M.Liberal Democrats62620.9%
4Atkinson J.Green Party36512.2%
5Denton A.Labour Party30410.1%
6McConnel L.Labour Party2247.5%

Electorate 3,098 · Ballots cast 3,002 · EC ward code W05001785 · Back to ward index

Llanfoist Fawr & Govilon · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.6% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,762

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Callard B.Labour Party72726.3%Elected
2Davies T.Conservative and Unionist Party68024.6%Elected
3Nicholson B.Labour Party67924.6%
4Jarvis H.Conservative and Unionist Party67624.5%

Electorate 3,022 · Ballots cast 2,762 · EC ward code W05001779 · Back to ward index

Mardy · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 609

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Lane M.Conservative and Unionist Party25642.0%Elected
2Jones G.Labour Party17829.2%
3Chapman R.Independent12320.2%
4Prince I.Liberal Democrats528.5%

Electorate 1,468 · Ballots cast 609 · EC ward code W05001784 · Back to ward index

Caldicot Castle · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 720

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Garrick R.Labour Party30542.4%Elected
2Harris B.Conservative and Unionist Party23332.4%
3Watkins J.Liberal Democrats18225.3%

Electorate 1,378 · Ballots cast 720 · EC ward code W05001764 · Back to ward index

Mount Pleasant · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 781

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Pavia P.Conservative and Unionist Party33342.6%Elected
2Becker E.Liberal Democrats30438.9%
3Marsh-Jenks P.Labour Party14418.4%

Electorate 1,564 · Ballots cast 781 · EC ward code W05001786 · Back to ward index

Magor East with Undy · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +7.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,481

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Crook J.Labour Party76030.6%Elected
2Sandles A.Labour Party65126.2%Elected
3Raggett S.Conservative and Unionist Party50720.4%
4Hughes G.Conservative and Unionist Party44517.9%
5Hitchins M.Liberal Democrats1184.8%

Electorate 3,244 · Ballots cast 2,481 · EC ward code W05001782 · Back to ward index

Severn · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 591

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Stevens M.Labour Party25643.3%Elected
2Watkins C.Liberal Democrats15426.1%
3Standing S.Conservative and Unionist Party12621.3%
4Harris K.Independent559.3%

Electorate 1,721 · Ballots cast 591 · EC ward code W05001794 · Back to ward index

St. Arvans · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 781

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Webb A.Conservative and Unionist Party34143.7%Elected
2Dodd V.Labour Party21727.8%
3Blakebrough R.Liberal Democrats8911.4%
4Rollings P.Green Party7810.0%
5Pocock S.Independent567.2%

Electorate 1,552 · Ballots cast 781 · EC ward code W05001796 · Back to ward index

Overmonnow · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 578

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Garratt S.Labour Party26245.3%Elected
2Treharne J.Conservative and Unionist Party20034.6%
3Jackson-Graham K.Independent8915.4%
4Were A.Green Party274.7%

Electorate 1,611 · Ballots cast 578 · EC ward code W05001788 · Back to ward index

Pen Y Fal · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 855

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Powell M.Conservative and Unionist Party38945.5%Elected
2Strong M.Labour Party37644.0%
3Jones T.Liberal Democrats9010.5%

Electorate 1,596 · Ballots cast 855 · EC ward code W05001790 · Back to ward index

Wyesham · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 662

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bryn E.Independent30546.1%Elected
2Hatton R.Conservative and Unionist Party20731.3%
3Fletcher A.Labour Party15022.7%

Electorate 1,702 · Ballots cast 662 · EC ward code W05001800 · Back to ward index

Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 732

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Fookes C.Labour Party33946.3%Elected
2Katsande A.Conservative and Unionist Party21229.0%
3Cummings D.Independent14219.4%
4Were A.Green Party395.3%

Electorate 1,734 · Ballots cast 732 · EC ward code W05001798 · Back to ward index

Raglan · single-seat

Marginal winner 46.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 906

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Jones P.Conservative and Unionist Party42246.6%Elected
2Ramsay N.Liberal Democrats29432.5%
3Harris M.Labour Party19021.0%

Electorate 1,718 · Ballots cast 906 · EC ward code W05001792 · Back to ward index

Caldicot Cross · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 703

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Strong J.Labour Party33147.1%Elected
2Davies A.Independent17424.8%
3Saville E.Conservative and Unionist Party13218.8%
4Wreford-Bush K.Liberal Democrats669.4%

Electorate 1,558 · Ballots cast 703 · EC ward code W05001765 · Back to ward index

Llangybi Fawr · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 756

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bromfield F.Conservative and Unionist Party35747.2%Elected
2Hunt A.Independent25734.0%
3Ashby S.Labour Party9112.0%
4Windrum S.Green Party486.3%
5Marshall P.ND30.4%

Electorate 1,479 · Ballots cast 756 · EC ward code W05001780 · Back to ward index

Crucorney · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 869

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Jones D.Independent41647.9%Elected
2Buckler R.Conservative and Unionist Party25128.9%
3Baillie G.Green Party10812.4%
4Eldridge K.Labour Party9410.8%

Electorate 1,629 · Ballots cast 869 · EC ward code W05001769 · Back to ward index

Osbaston · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 855

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Lucas J.Conservative and Unionist Party41648.7%Elected
2Simcock D.Labour Party24028.1%
3Cantor J.Green Party10211.9%
4Roberts E.Liberal Democrats9711.3%

Electorate 1,702 · Ballots cast 855 · EC ward code W05001787 · Back to ward index

Bulwark & Thornwell · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 32.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +1.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,962

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Watts A.Labour Party69335.3%Elected
2Riley S.Labour Party63532.4%Elected
3Rooke K.Conservative and Unionist Party26813.7%
4Dunn L.Conservative and Unionist Party23211.8%
5Dewhurst A.Liberal Democrats1346.8%

Electorate 3,753 · Ballots cast 1,962 · EC ward code W05001762 · Back to ward index

Cantref · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 966

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Burch S.Labour Party47649.3%Elected
2Jordan P.Conservative and Unionist Party37138.4%
3Callard J.Green Party676.9%
4Hepburn-John V.Liberal Democrats525.4%

Electorate 1,680 · Ballots cast 966 · EC ward code W05001766 · Back to ward index

Devauden · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 645

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Greenland B.Conservative and Unionist Party31849.3%Elected
2Griffiths M.Labour Party19830.7%
3Fairman E.Green Party6610.2%
4Coleman M.Liberal Democrats639.8%

Electorate 1,295 · Ballots cast 645 · EC ward code W05001770 · Back to ward index

Goytre Fawr · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 828

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Butler J.Conservative and Unionist Party41249.8%Elected
2Robins J.Labour Party31337.8%
3Williams A.Green Party10312.4%

Electorate 1,813 · Ballots cast 828 · EC ward code W05001774 · Back to ward index

Gobion Fawr · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.0 pts Valid ballots 768

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Neill A.Conservative and Unionist Party39952.0%Elected
2Riley J.Labour Party18824.5%
3Pritchard S.Liberal Democrats9512.4%
4Pritchard A.Green Party8611.2%

Electorate 1,668 · Ballots cast 768 · EC ward code W05001773 · Back to ward index

Llantilio Crossenny · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.7 pts Valid ballots 900

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Chandler I.Green Party47452.7%Elected
2Edwards R.Conservative and Unionist Party32936.6%
3Eggleton A.Labour Party9710.8%

Electorate 1,683 · Ballots cast 900 · EC ward code W05001781 · Back to ward index

St Kingsmark · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.7 pts Valid ballots 716

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Edwards C.Conservative and Unionist Party39955.7%Elected
2Beach H.Labour Party21229.6%
3Brews J.Liberal Democrats10514.7%

Electorate 1,565 · Ballots cast 716 · EC ward code W05001797 · Back to ward index

Grofield · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.7 pts Valid ballots 861

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Wright L.Labour Party52360.7%Elected
2Woodhouse S.Conservative and Unionist Party33839.3%

Electorate 1,875 · Ballots cast 861 · EC ward code W05001775 · Back to ward index

Caerwent · single-seat

Marginal winner 60.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −10.8 pts Valid ballots 752

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Murphy P.Conservative and Unionist Party45760.8%Elected
2Hoselitz S.Labour Party16822.3%
3Howley B.Green Party699.2%
4Hobson P.Liberal Democrats587.7%

Electorate 1,735 · Ballots cast 752 · EC ward code W05001763 · Back to ward index

Portskewett · single-seat

Marginal winner 61.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −11.3 pts Valid ballots 911

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Dymock L.Conservative and Unionist Party55861.3%Elected
2Kirton T.Labour Party29131.9%
3Wreford-Bush T.Liberal Democrats626.8%

Electorate 2,047 · Ballots cast 911 · EC ward code W05001791 · Back to ward index

Lansdown · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.3 pts Valid ballots 498

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Groucutt M.Labour Party31563.3%Elected
2Camp V.Conservative and Unionist Party10420.9%
3Williams K.Independent7915.9%

Electorate 1,759 · Ballots cast 498 · EC ward code W05001776 · Back to ward index

Shirenewton · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.8 pts Valid ballots 901

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Brown L.Conservative and Unionist Party59365.8%Elected
2Perks H.Labour Party30834.2%

Electorate 1,760 · Ballots cast 901 · EC ward code W05001795 · Back to ward index

West End · single-seat

Marginal winner 65.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −15.8 pts Valid ballots 480

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Bond J.Labour Party31665.8%Elected
2Harris J.Independent10121.0%
3Fox J.Conservative and Unionist Party6313.1%

Electorate 1,413 · Ballots cast 480 · EC ward code W05001799 · Back to ward index

Croesonen · single-seat

Marginal winner 66.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −16.2 pts Valid ballots 556

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1McConnel S.Labour Party36866.2%Elected
2Muftuoglu M.Conservative and Unionist Party14726.4%
3Duchet D.Liberal Democrats417.4%

Electorate 1,526 · Ballots cast 556 · EC ward code W05001768 · Back to ward index

Dewstow · single-seat

Marginal winner 71.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −21.5 pts Valid ballots 424

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Easson T.Labour Party30371.5%Elected
2Carne C.Conservative and Unionist Party7818.4%
3Duchet C.Liberal Democrats276.4%
4Shakesheff C.Green Party163.8%

Electorate 1,471 · Ballots cast 424 · EC ward code W05001771 · Back to ward index

Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 75.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −25.3 pts Valid ballots 734

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Thomas T.Labour Party55375.3%Elected
2Morgan F.Conservative and Unionist Party18124.7%

Electorate 1,560 · Ballots cast 734 · EC ward code W05001789 · Back to ward index

Magor West · single-seat

Marginal winner 76.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −26.9 pts Valid ballots 719

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareElected
1Taylor F.Independent55376.9%Elected
2Simcock P.Labour Party10114.0%
3Morgan O.Conservative and Unionist Party659.0%

Electorate 1,612 · Ballots cast 719 · EC ward code W05001783 · Back to ward index