← Moray (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort

Moray 2022

Local elections held 5 May 2022.

7 ward races
23 seats
9 elected below the proportional quota
39.1% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 7 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 23 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.

PartyVotesVote %Seats won% of seatsProportional seatsProportional %Δ
Conservative Party10,69836.3%1043.5%939.1%+1
Scottish National Party10,61336.0%730.4%939.1%-2
Labour Party3,61612.3%313.0%313.0%0
Independent2,3277.9%28.7%28.7%0
Liberal Democrats1,1213.8%00.0%00.0%0
Green Party1,0013.4%14.3%00.0%+1
Scottish Family Party990.3%00.0%00.0%0
Sovereignty230.1%00.0%00.0%0
Total29,498100.0%23100.0%23100.0%0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share
Actual seats
Proportional seats

Council composition: what this election replaced

Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2022 election (current) and immediately before it (2021). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2022 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.

Current (2022)
Previous (2021)

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Race results

Fochabers Lhanbryde · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 10.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota −14.9 pts Valid ballots 3,996

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareBelow quotaElected
1Marc MacraeConservative Party1,59039.8%+14.8 ptsElected
2Shona MorrisonScottish National Party94023.5%−1.5 ptsElected
3Dave BremnerScottish National Party77819.5%—
4Ben WilliamsLabour Party40410.1%−14.9 ptsElected
5Donald CameronLiberal Democrats2847.1%—

Electorate 8,253 · Ballots cast 4,064 · Invalid 68 · EC ward code gss-S13003027 · Back to ward index

Forres · 4-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 9.1% Proportional quota 20.0% Below quota −10.9 pts Valid ballots 6,057

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareBelow quotaElected
1Scott LawrenceScottish National Party2,07734.3%+14.3 ptsElected
2Kathleen RobertsonConservative Party1,51625.0%+5.0 ptsElected
3Paul McbainConservative Party96215.9%−4.1 ptsElected
4James HynamLabour Party64310.6%—
5Draeyk Van Der HornGreen Party5509.1%−10.9 ptsElected
6Shaun MoatIndependent3095.1%—

Electorate 12,511 · Ballots cast 6,128 · Invalid 71 · EC ward code gss-S13003031 · Back to ward index

Heldon and Laich · 4-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 12.7% Proportional quota 20.0% Below quota −7.3 pts Valid ballots 4,936

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareBelow quotaElected
1Neil CameronScottish National Party1,45529.5%+9.5 ptsElected
2James AllanConservative Party1,33127.0%+7.0 ptsElected
3John CoweIndependent91418.5%−1.5 ptsElected
4Bridget MustardConservative Party62912.7%−7.3 ptsElected
5Andrew O'NeillLabour Party3797.7%—
6Calum CameronLiberal Democrats2284.6%—

Electorate 10,794 · Ballots cast 4,996 · Invalid 60 · EC ward code gss-S13003028 · Back to ward index

Keith and Cullen · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 18.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota −6.1 pts Valid ballots 3,432

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareBelow quotaElected
1Theresa Ann CoullScottish National Party1,49343.5%+18.5 ptsElected
2Donald GattConservative Party84924.7%−0.3 ptsElected
3Tracy ColyerConservative Party65018.9%−6.1 ptsElected
4Les TarrLiberal Democrats3419.9%—
5William Keith BarclayScottish Family Party992.9%—

Electorate 8,102 · Ballots cast 3,490 · Invalid 58 · EC ward code gss-S13003025 · Back to ward index

Speyside Glenlivet · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota −4.9 pts Valid ballots 3,337

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareBelow quotaElected
1Juli HarrisScottish National Party1,22736.8%+11.8 ptsElected
2David GordonConservative Party1,12933.8%+8.8 ptsElected
3Derek RossIndependent67220.1%−4.9 ptsElected
4Elidh Myrvang BrownGreen Party2868.6%—
5David McHutchonSovereignty230.7%—

Electorate 7,382 · Ballots cast 3,374 · Invalid 37 · EC ward code gss-S13003024 · Back to ward index

Elgin City North · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota +0.9 pts Valid ballots 3,678

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareBelow quotaElected
1Jérémie FernandesScottish National Party1,19932.6%+7.6 ptsElected
2Sandy KeithLabour Party1,04828.5%+3.5 ptsElected
3Amber DunbarConservative Party95225.9%+0.9 ptsElected
4Graham JarvisIndependent1704.6%—
5Rebecca Jane KailGreen Party1654.5%—
6Neil AlexanderLiberal Democrats1443.9%—

Electorate 9,228 · Ballots cast 3,710 · Invalid 32 · EC ward code gss-S13003029 · Back to ward index

Elgin City South · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 26.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota +1.8 pts Valid ballots 4,062

RankCandidatePartyVotesShareBelow quotaElected
1Graham LeadbitterScottish National Party1,44435.5%+10.5 ptsElected
2John DiversLabour Party1,14228.1%+3.1 ptsElected
3Peter BloomfieldConservative Party1,09026.8%+1.8 ptsElected
4Michaela FrenchIndependent1614.0%—
5Bernard Matthew SalmonLiberal Democrats1243.1%—
6Paul BriggsIndependent1012.5%—

Electorate 10,149 · Ballots cast 4,113 · Invalid 51 · EC ward code gss-S13003030 · Back to ward index