← Newcastle-under-Lyme (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort
Newcastle-under-Lyme 2025
Local elections held 1 May 2025.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 9 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 9 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 13,053 | 44.7% | 8 | 88.9% | 5 | 55.6% | +3 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 7,316 | 25.1% | 1 | 11.1% | 2 | 22.2% | -1 |
| Labour and Co-operative Party | 3,530 | 12.1% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 11.1% | -1 |
| Labour Party | 2,889 | 9.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 11.1% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1,978 | 6.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 195 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 133 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 99 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 29,193 | 100.0% | 9 | 100.0% | 9 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- May Bank & Wolstanton · 1 seat · won at 35.5% · +14.5 pts below quota
- Newcastle South · 1 seat · won at 38.8% · +11.2 pts below quota
- Newcastle Rural · 1 seat · won at 40.0% · +10.0 pts below quota
- Westlands, Thistleberry & Keele · 1 seat · won at 50.1% · above quota
- Silverdale & Knutton · 1 seat · won at 51.0% · above quota
- Audley & Chesterton · 1 seat · won at 52.0% · above quota
- Bradwell & Porthill · 1 seat · won at 52.6% · above quota
- Kidsgrove · 1 seat · won at 53.8% · above quota
- Talke & Red Street · 1 seat · won at 57.7% · above quota
Race results
May Bank & Wolstanton · single-seat
Marginal winner 35.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,220
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lynn Dean | Reform UK | 1,142 | 35.5% | Elected |
| 2 | David Hutchison | Conservative and Unionist Party | 966 | 30.0% | |
| 3 | Mark Joseph Olszewski | Labour Party | 797 | 24.8% | |
| 4 | Hilary Ann Jones | Liberal Democrats | 187 | 5.8% | |
| 5 | Duncan Greenwood | Independent | 133 | 4.1% |
Newcastle South · single-seat
Marginal winner 38.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,194
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Brent Griffiths | Reform UK | 1,238 | 38.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Gill Heesom | Conservative and Unionist Party | 924 | 28.9% | |
| 3 | Jacqueline Anne Brown | Labour and Co-operative Party | 810 | 25.4% | |
| 4 | Nigel Jones | Liberal Democrats | 236 | 7.4% |
Newcastle Rural · single-seat
Marginal winner 40.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,745
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Helen Elizabeth Arnold | Reform UK | 1,497 | 40.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Andrew William Turnock | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,217 | 32.5% | |
| 3 | Jeff Love | Labour and Co-operative Party | 564 | 15.1% | |
| 4 | Anne Becket | Liberal Democrats | 284 | 7.6% | |
| 5 | Steven Allen Jones | Green Party | 195 | 5.2% |
Westlands, Thistleberry & Keele · single-seat
Marginal winner 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.1 pts Valid ballots 3,510
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simon John Tagg | Conservative and Unionist Party | 1,757 | 50.1% | Elected |
| 2 | Keith Parker | Reform UK | 907 | 25.8% | |
| 3 | Joel Sean George Edgington-Plunkett | Labour Party | 571 | 16.3% | |
| 4 | Robin Studd | Liberal Democrats | 284 | 8.1% |
Silverdale & Knutton · single-seat
Marginal winner 51.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.0 pts Valid ballots 2,637
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mark Nixon | Reform UK | 1,344 | 51.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Dave Jones | Labour and Co-operative Party | 720 | 27.3% | |
| 3 | Finn Swain | Conservative and Unionist Party | 368 | 14.0% | |
| 4 | James Martin Borg | Liberal Democrats | 218 | 8.3% |
Audley & Chesterton · single-seat
Marginal winner 52.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.0 pts Valid ballots 3,087
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rhys James Machin | Reform UK | 1,605 | 52.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Rebekah Sioban Lewis | Labour and Co-operative Party | 660 | 21.4% | |
| 3 | Jeremy John Elton Lefroy | Conservative and Unionist Party | 503 | 16.3% | |
| 4 | Andrew Robert Wemyss | Liberal Democrats | 331 | 10.7% |
Bradwell & Porthill · single-seat
Marginal winner 52.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.6 pts Valid ballots 2,794
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicholas Ronald Lakin | Reform UK | 1,471 | 52.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Andrew Fox-Hewitt | Labour Party | 734 | 26.3% | |
| 3 | Qamar Khan | Conservative and Unionist Party | 378 | 13.5% | |
| 4 | Eric Geoffrey Durber | Liberal Democrats | 223 | 8.0% |
Kidsgrove · single-seat
Marginal winner 53.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.8 pts Valid ballots 3,491
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Screen | Reform UK | 1,878 | 53.8% | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Stuart Porter | Labour Party | 787 | 22.5% | |
| 3 | Conna Douglas Eynon | Conservative and Unionist Party | 739 | 21.2% | |
| 4 | Rebecca Anne Carter | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 99 | 2.8% |
Talke & Red Street · single-seat
Marginal winner 57.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −7.7 pts Valid ballots 3,414
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Gavin Rogerson | Reform UK | 1,971 | 57.7% | Elected |
| 2 | Sarah Elizabeth Pickup | Labour and Co-operative Party | 776 | 22.7% | |
| 3 | Ray Tait | Conservative and Unionist Party | 464 | 13.6% | |
| 4 | Steven Maddox | Liberal Democrats | 215 | 6.3% |