← North East Lincolnshire (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
North East Lincolnshire 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 15 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 16 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 18,012 | 49.5% | 10 | 62.5% | 9 | 56.3% | +1 |
| Labour Party | 11,775 | 32.4% | 5 | 31.3% | 6 | 37.5% | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 2,267 | 6.2% | 1 | 6.3% | 1 | 6.3% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 1,897 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Independent | 1,153 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 973 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 285 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 36,362 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 16 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Park · 1 seat · won at 34.9% · −15.1 pts below quota
- South · 1 seat · won at 39.7% · −10.3 pts below quota
- Freshney · 1 seat · won at 45.0% · −5.0 pts below quota
- Yarborough · 1 seat · won at 47.3% · −2.7 pts below quota
- Croft Baker · 1 seat · won at 47.3% · −2.7 pts below quota
- Heneage · 1 seat · won at 48.7% · −1.3 pts below quota
- West Marsh · 1 seat · won at 49.6% · −0.4 pts below quota
- Sidney Sussex · 1 seat · won at 52.6% · above quota
- Scartho · 1 seat · won at 54.9% · above quota
- Immingham · 2 seats · won at 41.4% · above quota
- East Marsh · 1 seat · won at 68.2% · above quota
- Haverstoe · 1 seat · won at 71.1% · above quota
- Wolds · 1 seat · won at 75.1% · above quota
- Humberston and New Waltham · 1 seat · won at 81.1% · above quota
- Waltham · 1 seat · won at 83.3% · above quota
Race results
Park · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 34.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −15.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,901
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Silvester | Conservative Party | 1,012 | 34.9% | −15.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sheldon Mill | Labour Party | 814 | 28.1% | — | |
| 3 | Christina McGilligan-Fell | Liberal Democrats | 788 | 27.2% | — | |
| 4 | Tony Blake | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 146 | 5.0% | — | |
| 5 | Jacqueline Vessey | Green Party | 108 | 3.7% | — | |
| 6 | Julian Best | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 33 | 1.1% | — |
South · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,779
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tim Mickleburgh | Labour Party | 706 | 39.7% | −10.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Batson | Conservative Party | 409 | 23.0% | — | |
| 3 | Jane Bramley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 318 | 17.9% | — | |
| 4 | Deborah Hill | Independent | 239 | 13.4% | — | |
| 5 | Loyd Emmerson | Green Party | 107 | 6.0% | — |
Freshney · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,951
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Callum Procter | Conservative Party | 878 | 45.0% | −5.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Stefan Allan | Labour Party | 793 | 40.6% | — | |
| 3 | Barry Fisher | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 180 | 9.2% | — | |
| 4 | Andrew Lingwood | Green Party | 83 | 4.3% | — | |
| 5 | Val Pow | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 17 | 0.9% | — |
Yarborough · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,021
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | James Cairns | Conservative Party | 956 | 47.3% | −2.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Matthew Brown | Labour Party | 690 | 34.1% | — | |
| 3 | Liudmila Berezina | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 207 | 10.2% | — | |
| 4 | Kieran Barlow | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 168 | 8.3% | — |
Croft Baker · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,830
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oliver Freeston | Conservative Party | 1,340 | 47.3% | −2.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Carole Doherty | Labour Party | 1,184 | 41.8% | — | |
| 3 | Clive Colam | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 163 | 5.8% | — | |
| 4 | James Barker | Green Party | 143 | 5.1% | — |
Heneage · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,045
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Nichols | Labour Party | 996 | 48.7% | −1.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Smith | Conservative Party | 681 | 33.3% | — | |
| 3 | John Stockton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 322 | 15.7% | — | |
| 4 | Val O'Flynn | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 46 | 2.2% | — |
West Marsh · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 49.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −0.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,028
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gemma Sheridan | Labour Party | 510 | 49.6% | −0.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Keith Watkin | Independent | 210 | 20.4% | — | |
| 3 | David Townend | Conservative Party | 165 | 16.1% | — | |
| 4 | Anna-Karina Gregersen | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 122 | 11.9% | — | |
| 5 | David Mitchell | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 21 | 2.0% | — |
Sidney Sussex · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,020
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Debbie Rodwell | Labour Party | 1,062 | 52.6% | +2.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steve Holland | Conservative Party | 666 | 33.0% | — | |
| 3 | Tanya Brasted | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 205 | 10.1% | — | |
| 4 | Andy Dickson | Green Party | 87 | 4.3% | — |
Scartho · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,050
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lia Nici | Conservative Party | 1,674 | 54.9% | +4.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Bailey | Labour Party | 839 | 27.5% | — | |
| 3 | David de Freitas | Liberal Democrats | 362 | 11.9% | — | |
| 4 | Beckey Brumpton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 175 | 5.7% | — |
Immingham · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 41.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,426
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stewart Swinburn | Conservative Party | 1,227 | 25.3% | 50.6% | +17.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | David Bolton | Labour Party | 1,005 | 20.7% | 41.4% | +8.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Karen Swinburn | Conservative Party | 1,002 | 20.7% | 41.3% | — | |
| 4 | Marian Jervis | Labour Party | 737 | 15.2% | 30.4% | — | |
| 5 | Willie Weir | Independent | 654 | 13.5% | 27.0% | — | |
| 6 | Charlotte Emmerson | Green Party | 227 | 4.7% | 9.4% | — |
East Marsh · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 68.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,639
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Beasant | Liberal Democrats | 1,117 | 68.2% | +18.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Gee | Labour Party | 331 | 20.2% | — | |
| 3 | James Chaudry | Conservative Party | 67 | 4.1% | — | |
| 4 | Phillip Moulson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 59 | 3.6% | — | |
| 5 | Ronal Bull | Independent | 50 | 3.1% | — | |
| 6 | Catherine Harper | Green Party | 15 | 0.9% | — |
Haverstoe · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 71.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,108
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Margaret Cracknell | Conservative Party | 2,211 | 71.1% | +21.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jack Rodwell | Labour Party | 694 | 22.3% | — | |
| 3 | Steven Roper | Green Party | 203 | 6.5% | — |
Wolds · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 75.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,866
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Hasthorpe | Conservative Party | 1,401 | 75.1% | +25.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ian Rodwell | Labour Party | 465 | 24.9% | — |
Humberston and New Waltham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 81.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +31.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,152
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephen Harness | Conservative Party | 2,557 | 81.1% | +31.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sean Willis | Labour Party | 595 | 18.9% | — |
Waltham · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 83.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +33.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,120
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Pettigrew | Conservative Party | 1,766 | 83.3% | +33.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Karl Quibell | Labour Party | 354 | 16.7% | — |