← North Hertfordshire (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
North Hertfordshire 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 18 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 19 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 13,137 | 39.7% | 8 | 42.1% | 8 | 42.1% | 0 |
| Labour Party | 10,595 | 32.0% | 8 | 42.1% | 6 | 31.6% | +2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 6,643 | 20.1% | 3 | 15.8% | 4 | 21.1% | -1 |
| Green Party | 2,293 | 6.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 5.3% | -1 |
| Independent | 332 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 109 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 33,109 | 100.0% | 19 | 100.0% | 19 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Letchworth South East · 1 seat · won at 39.1% · −10.9 pts below quota
- Hitchin Priory · 1 seat · won at 41.2% · −8.8 pts below quota
- Royston Palace · 1 seat · won at 43.4% · −6.6 pts below quota
- Letchworth South West · 1 seat · won at 43.8% · −6.2 pts below quota
- Royston Heath · 1 seat · won at 45.0% · −5.0 pts below quota
- Hitchin Highbury · 1 seat · won at 47.6% · −2.4 pts below quota
- Hitchin Walsworth · 1 seat · won at 48.2% · −1.8 pts below quota
- Baldock Town · 1 seat · won at 50.8% · above quota
- Knebworth · 1 seat · won at 51.2% · above quota
- Letchworth East · 1 seat · won at 51.7% · above quota
- Hitchin Oughton · 1 seat · won at 54.4% · above quota
- Royston Meridian · 1 seat · won at 55.4% · above quota
- Hitchin Bearton · 1 seat · won at 56.6% · above quota
- Codicote · 1 seat · won at 57.0% · above quota
- Letchworth Wilbury · 1 seat · won at 58.3% · above quota
- Letchworth Grange · 2 seats · won at 45.9% · above quota
- Hitchwood, Offa and Hoo · 1 seat · won at 63.0% · above quota
- Kimpton · 1 seat · won at 63.2% · above quota
Race results
Letchworth South East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 39.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −10.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,937
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kate Aspinwall | Labour Party | 758 | 39.1% | −10.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Booth | Conservative Party | 750 | 38.7% | — | |
| 3 | Barry Neale | Liberal Democrats | 229 | 11.8% | — | |
| 4 | Sidney Start | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 109 | 5.6% | — | |
| 5 | Tim Lee | Green Party | 91 | 4.7% | — |
Hitchin Priory · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 41.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −8.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,603
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simon Harwood | Conservative Party | 660 | 41.2% | −8.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | George Osborn | Liberal Democrats | 512 | 31.9% | — | |
| 3 | Dave Winstanley | Labour Party | 308 | 19.2% | — | |
| 4 | Des Stephens | Green Party | 123 | 7.7% | — |
Royston Palace · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,349
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ben Lewis | Conservative Party | 585 | 43.4% | −6.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rob Inwood | Labour Party | 454 | 33.7% | — | |
| 3 | Peter Rice | Liberal Democrats | 214 | 15.9% | — | |
| 4 | Angela Clark | Green Party | 96 | 7.1% | — |
Letchworth South West · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,385
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Rice | Conservative Party | 1,045 | 43.8% | −6.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sean Prendergast | Liberal Democrats | 642 | 26.9% | — | |
| 3 | Jean Andrews | Labour Party | 516 | 21.6% | — | |
| 4 | Maryla Hart | Green Party | 182 | 7.6% | — |
Royston Heath · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −5.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,922
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ruth Brown | Liberal Democrats | 864 | 45.0% | −5.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Fiona Hill | Conservative Party | 786 | 40.9% | — | |
| 3 | Kenneth Garland | Labour Party | 198 | 10.3% | — | |
| 4 | Katherine Shann | Green Party | 74 | 3.9% | — |
Hitchin Highbury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,658
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sam Collins | Liberal Democrats | 1,266 | 47.6% | −2.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Dominic Griffiths | Conservative Party | 801 | 30.1% | — | |
| 3 | Conor Brogan | Labour Party | 443 | 16.7% | — | |
| 4 | Diana Newson | Green Party | 148 | 5.6% | — |
Hitchin Walsworth · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 48.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −1.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,309
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Hughson | Labour Party | 1,114 | 48.2% | −1.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alan Millard | Conservative Party | 693 | 30.0% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Cano | Green Party | 272 | 11.8% | — | |
| 4 | Andrew Ircha | Liberal Democrats | 230 | 10.0% | — |
Baldock Town · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,908
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim McNally | Conservative Party | 970 | 50.8% | +0.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Alec Maguire | Labour Party | 579 | 30.3% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Winter | Liberal Democrats | 253 | 13.3% | — | |
| 4 | Heidi Mollart-Griffin | Green Party | 106 | 5.6% | — |
Knebworth · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,869
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lisa Nash | Liberal Democrats | 957 | 51.2% | +1.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Steve Hemingway | Conservative Party | 742 | 39.7% | — | |
| 3 | Klazina Hofmann | Labour Party | 141 | 7.5% | — | |
| 4 | Nick Newson | Green Party | 29 | 1.6% | — |
Letchworth East · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 51.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,477
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sue Ngwala | Labour Party | 763 | 51.7% | +1.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Andrew Clare | Conservative Party | 369 | 25.0% | — | |
| 3 | Paul Ross | Independent | 160 | 10.8% | — | |
| 4 | Liam McKenna | Liberal Democrats | 114 | 7.7% | — | |
| 5 | Bernard Lee | Green Party | 71 | 4.8% | — |
Hitchin Oughton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 54.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +4.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,086
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clare Billing | Labour Party | 591 | 54.4% | +4.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rebecca Reidy | Conservative Party | 312 | 28.7% | — | |
| 3 | Louise Peace | Liberal Democrats | 100 | 9.2% | — | |
| 4 | Mary Marshall | Green Party | 83 | 7.6% | — |
Royston Meridian · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 55.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +5.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,423
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Davidson | Conservative Party | 789 | 55.4% | +5.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Karen Harmel | Green Party | 253 | 17.8% | — | |
| 3 | Jess Finn | Labour Party | 246 | 17.3% | — | |
| 4 | David Lambert | Liberal Democrats | 135 | 9.5% | — |
Hitchin Bearton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 56.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +6.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,141
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Val Bryant | Labour Party | 1,212 | 56.6% | +6.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Skeeles | Conservative Party | 474 | 22.1% | — | |
| 3 | Jonathan Clayden | Liberal Democrats | 287 | 13.4% | — | |
| 4 | William Lavin | Green Party | 168 | 7.8% | — |
Codicote · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 919
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Moody | Conservative Party | 524 | 57.0% | +7.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tom Brindley | Independent | 172 | 18.7% | — | |
| 3 | Richard Downey | Labour Party | 136 | 14.8% | — | |
| 4 | Luke Devenish | Liberal Democrats | 49 | 5.3% | — | |
| 5 | Rosemary Bland | Green Party | 38 | 4.1% | — |
Letchworth Wilbury · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,442
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gary Grindal | Labour Party | 841 | 58.3% | +8.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Merry | Conservative Party | 387 | 26.8% | — | |
| 3 | Ian Clayfield | Green Party | 141 | 9.8% | — | |
| 4 | Brian Evans | Liberal Democrats | 73 | 5.1% | — |
Letchworth Grange · 2-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~2× smaller. 45.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +12.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 2 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,989
This is a 2-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~2×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 2, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 2 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 2. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Allen | Labour Party | 917 | 23.1% | 46.1% | +12.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Helen Oliver | Labour Party | 912 | 22.9% | 45.9% | +12.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Morgan Derbyshire | Conservative Party | 798 | 20.1% | 40.1% | — | |
| 4 | Matthew Berman | Conservative Party | 747 | 18.8% | 37.6% | — | |
| 5 | Amy Finch | Liberal Democrats | 240 | 6.0% | 12.1% | — | |
| 6 | Aidan Sparrowhawk | Liberal Democrats | 198 | 5.0% | 10.0% | — | |
| 7 | Elizabeth Hancock | Green Party | 166 | 4.2% | 8.3% | — |
Hitchwood, Offa and Hoo · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,029
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Faye Frost | Conservative Party | 1,279 | 63.0% | +13.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Anton Jungreuthmayer | Labour Party | 369 | 18.2% | — | |
| 3 | David Ashton | Green Party | 200 | 9.9% | — | |
| 4 | Marilyn Parkin | Liberal Democrats | 181 | 8.9% | — |
Kimpton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 63.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 674
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Bishop | Conservative Party | 426 | 63.2% | +13.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mike Lott | Liberal Democrats | 99 | 14.7% | — | |
| 3 | Tom Hogan | Labour Party | 97 | 14.4% | — | |
| 4 | Simon Wightman | Green Party | 52 | 7.7% | — |