← Oldham (all cycles) · 2 May 2024 cohort

Oldham 2024

Local elections held 2 May 2024.

20 ward races

20 seats

13 elected below the proportional quota

65.0% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 20 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 20 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Independent	22,698	38.4%	8	40.0%	8	40.0%	0
Labour Party	17,178	29.1%	7	35.0%	6	30.0%	+1
Liberal Democrats	8,401	14.2%	3	15.0%	3	15.0%	0
Conservative and Unionist Party	7,731	13.1%	2	10.0%	3	15.0%	-1
Green Party	1,024	1.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
FAIL IND	1,005	1.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	639	1.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
NORTHERN HEART	212	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
HSG	173	0.3%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	59,061	100.0%	20	100.0%	20	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Saddleworth South · 1 seat · won at 31.7% · +18.3 pts below quota
Failsworth East · 1 seat · won at 33.1% · +16.9 pts below quota
Hollinwood · 1 seat · won at 33.4% · +16.6 pts below quota
Chadderton Central · 1 seat · won at 33.6% · +16.4 pts below quota
St James' · 1 seat · won at 36.3% · +13.7 pts below quota
Waterhead · 1 seat · won at 38.9% · +11.1 pts below quota
Saddleworth North · 1 seat · won at 41.7% · +8.3 pts below quota
Shaw · 1 seat · won at 42.1% · +7.9 pts below quota
Crompton · 1 seat · won at 44.0% · +6.0 pts below quota
Medlock Vale · 1 seat · won at 44.9% · +5.1 pts below quota
Chadderton South · 1 seat · won at 45.3% · +4.7 pts below quota
Failsworth West · 1 seat · won at 47.9% · +2.1 pts below quota
Chadderton North · 1 seat · won at 48.9% · +1.1 pts below quota
Royton North · 1 seat · won at 50.3% · above quota
Royton South · 1 seat · won at 50.4% · above quota
Alexandra · 1 seat · won at 50.5% · above quota
Coldhurst · 1 seat · won at 54.7% · above quota
Saddleworth West and Lees · 1 seat · won at 55.5% · above quota
Werneth · 1 seat · won at 55.8% · above quota
St Mary's · 1 seat · won at 63.5% · above quota

Race results

Saddleworth South · single-seat

Marginal winner 31.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +18.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,495

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Woodvine, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,107	31.7%	Elected
2	Wrigley, A.	Liberal Democrats	821	23.5%
3	Wall, D.	Labour Party	809	23.1%
4	Errock, P.	Independent	642	18.4%
5	Reza-Khan, F.	Green Party	116	3.3%

Electorate 7,911 · Ballots cast 3,495 · EC ward code E05014659 · Back to ward index

Failsworth East · single-seat

Marginal winner 33.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,209

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rustidge, K.	Labour Party	731	33.1%	Elected
2	Rea, L.	FAIL IND	712	32.2%
3	Charnock, C.	Independent	620	28.1%
4	Chowdhury, F.	Conservative and Unionist Party	104	4.7%
5	Beeley, B.	Liberal Democrats	42	1.9%

Electorate 7,905 · Ballots cast 2,209 · EC ward code E05014652 · Back to ward index

Hollinwood · single-seat

Marginal winner 33.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,533

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Aslam, N.	Labour Party	846	33.4%	Elected
2	Irfan, M.	Independent	812	32.1%
3	Lawrence, J.	HSG	173	6.8%
4	Alom, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	172	6.8%
5	Edge, E.	Independent	146	5.8%
6	Whitehead, I.	Independent	139	5.5%
7	Bromley, J.	Green Party	132	5.2%
8	Blackmore, R.	Liberal Democrats	113	4.5%

Electorate 8,687 · Ballots cast 2,533 · EC ward code E05014654 · Back to ward index

Chadderton Central · single-seat

Marginal winner 33.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,837

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Taylor, E.	Labour Party	954	33.6%	Elected
2	Razon, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	935	33.0%
3	Roddy, L.	Independent	243	8.6%
4	Shajahan, I.	Independent	221	7.8%
5	Brown, P.	Independent	213	7.5%
6	Clayton, D.	Green Party	165	5.8%
7	Abdul, M.	Liberal Democrats	81	2.9%
8	Vance, R.	NORTHERN HEART	25	0.9%

Electorate 8,031 · Ballots cast 2,837 · EC ward code E05014647 · Back to ward index

St James' · single-seat

Marginal winner 36.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +13.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,088

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Charters, J.	Labour Party	757	36.3%	Elected
2	McManus, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	628	30.1%
3	Lindo, A.	Independent	554	26.5%
4	Hindle, R.	Liberal Democrats	149	7.1%

Electorate 7,769 · Ballots cast 2,088 · EC ward code E05014662 · Back to ward index

Waterhead · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,137

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Chowhan, N.	Independent	1,221	38.9%	Elected
2	Birch, R.	Labour Party	876	27.9%
3	Beeston, J.	Liberal Democrats	298	9.5%
4	Davies, J.	Reform UK	280	8.9%
5	Allsopp, S.	Independent	201	6.4%
6	Chowdhury, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	168	5.4%
7	Taylor, P.	NORTHERN HEART	93	3.0%

Electorate 8,228 · Ballots cast 3,137 · EC ward code E05014664 · Back to ward index

Saddleworth North · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,064

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harkness, G.	Liberal Democrats	1,279	41.7%	Elected
2	Roberts, H.	Labour Party	779	25.4%
3	Pyefinch, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	630	20.6%
4	Marshall, C.	Independent	376	12.3%

Electorate 7,612 · Ballots cast 3,064 · EC ward code E05014658 · Back to ward index

Shaw · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,404

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Navesey, L.	Independent	1,011	42.1%	Elected
2	Gloster, H.	Liberal Democrats	961	40.0%
3	Hewitt, S.	Labour Party	356	14.8%
4	Qurashi, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	76	3.2%

Electorate 7,948 · Ballots cast 2,404 · EC ward code E05014661 · Back to ward index

Crompton · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,679

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Williamson, D.	Liberal Democrats	1,180	44.0%	Elected
2	Navesey, L.	Independent	895	33.4%
3	Barker, D.	Labour Party	431	16.1%
4	Stockton, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	173	6.5%

Electorate 7,815 · Ballots cast 2,679 · EC ward code E05014651 · Back to ward index

Medlock Vale · single-seat

Marginal winner 44.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +5.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,059

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Nasheen, U.	Labour Party	1,374	44.9%	Elected
2	Altaf, S.	Independent	987	32.3%
3	Farnworth, S.	Liberal Democrats	300	9.8%
4	Yasir, M.	Independent	226	7.4%
5	Hussain, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	172	5.6%

Electorate 8,695 · Ballots cast 3,059 · EC ward code E05014655 · Back to ward index

Chadderton South · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,487

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harrison, H.	Labour Party	1,127	45.3%	Elected
2	Bardsley, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	597	24.0%
3	Clare, A.	Reform UK	359	14.4%
4	Ali, M.	Independent	272	10.9%
5	Scholes, M.	Liberal Democrats	132	5.3%

Electorate 8,925 · Ballots cast 2,487 · EC ward code E05014649 · Back to ward index

Failsworth West · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,304

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wilkinson, M.	Independent	1,104	47.9%	Elected
2	Phythian, K.	Labour Party	774	33.6%
3	Cashinella-Vaughan, J.	FAIL IND	293	12.7%
4	Chaudhary, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	70	3.0%
5	Thompson, L.	Liberal Democrats	37	1.6%
6	Khan, M.	Independent	26	1.1%

Electorate 7,854 · Ballots cast 2,304 · EC ward code E05014653 · Back to ward index

Chadderton North · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,826

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Moores, E.	Labour Party	1,383	48.9%	Elected
2	Ahmed, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	824	29.2%
3	Cadman, D.	Liberal Democrats	401	14.2%
4	Alam, M.	Independent	218	7.7%

Electorate 8,510 · Ballots cast 2,826 · EC ward code E05014648 · Back to ward index

Royton North · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.3 pts Valid ballots 2,900

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Quigg, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,458	50.3%	Elected
2	Phythian, C.	Labour Party	1,037	35.8%
3	Meadowcroft, M.	Green Party	231	8.0%
4	Garner, J.	Liberal Democrats	174	6.0%

Electorate 8,555 · Ballots cast 2,900 · EC ward code E05014656 · Back to ward index

Royton South · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.4 pts Valid ballots 2,383

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Hughes, J.	Independent	1,200	50.4%	Elected
2	Bashforth, S.	Labour Party	877	36.8%
3	Penketh, T.	Liberal Democrats	155	6.5%
4	Stidworthy, J.	Green Party	151	6.3%

Electorate 7,655 · Ballots cast 2,383 · EC ward code E05014657 · Back to ward index

Alexandra · single-seat

Marginal winner 50.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −0.5 pts Valid ballots 2,960

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ali, Z.	Independent	1,494	50.5%	Elected
2	Rana, G.	Labour Party	903	30.5%
3	Hardie, C.	Independent	157	5.3%
4	Dinoff, M.	Liberal Democrats	135	4.6%
5	Taylor, A.	NORTHERN HEART	94	3.2%
6	Chaverra Valencia, A.	Green Party	93	3.1%
7	Chowdhury, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	84	2.8%

Electorate 7,654 · Ballots cast 2,960 · EC ward code E05014646 · Back to ward index

Coldhurst · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.7 pts Valid ballots 4,214

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Azad, M.	Independent	2,304	54.7%	Elected
2	Surjan, R.	Labour Party	1,329	31.5%
3	Pendlebury, R.	Liberal Democrats	193	4.6%
4	Mustak, M.	Independent	139	3.3%
5	Gondal, S.	Green Party	136	3.2%
6	Dara, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	113	2.7%

Electorate 9,841 · Ballots cast 4,214 · EC ward code E05014650 · Back to ward index

Saddleworth West and Lees · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.5 pts Valid ballots 2,887

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kenyon, M.	Liberal Democrats	1,603	55.5%	Elected
2	Shilton, P.	Independent	675	23.4%
3	Barter, D.	Labour Party	468	16.2%
4	Rahman, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	141	4.9%

Electorate 8,411 · Ballots cast 2,887 · EC ward code E05014660 · Back to ward index

Werneth · single-seat

Marginal winner 55.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −5.8 pts Valid ballots 4,235

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ibrahim, N.	Independent	2,362	55.8%	Elected
2	Ali, A.	Independent	1,471	34.7%
3	Uddin, H.	Liberal Democrats	227	5.4%
4	Miah, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	175	4.1%

Electorate 7,646 · Ballots cast 4,235 · EC ward code E05014665 · Back to ward index

St Mary's · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.5 pts Valid ballots 4,360

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Kouser, A.	Independent	2,769	63.5%	Elected
2	Salamat, A.	Labour Party	1,367	31.4%
3	Hussain, M.	Liberal Democrats	120	2.8%
4	Ahmed, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	104	2.4%

Electorate 8,643 · Ballots cast 4,360 · EC ward code E05014663 · Back to ward index