← Portsmouth (all cycles) · 6 May 2021 cohort

Portsmouth 2021

Local elections held 6 May 2021.

14 ward races

14 seats

11 elected below the proportional quota

78.6% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Conservative and Unionist Party	17,240	35.9%	5	35.7%	6	42.9%	-1
Labour Party	13,392	27.9%	2	14.3%	4	28.6%	-2
Liberal Democrats	13,013	27.1%	6	42.9%	4	28.6%	+2
Green Party	2,369	4.9%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Independent	1,787	3.7%	1	7.1%	0	0.0%	+1
NHA	100	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	97	0.2%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Workers Party of Britain	49	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	48,047	100.0%	14	100.0%	14	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Fratton · 1 seat · won at 35.2% · +14.8 pts below quota
St. Jude · 1 seat · won at 35.6% · +14.4 pts below quota
Milton · 1 seat · won at 37.7% · +12.3 pts below quota
Eastney & Craneswater · 1 seat · won at 37.8% · +12.2 pts below quota
Central Southsea · 1 seat · won at 42.3% · +7.7 pts below quota
St. Thomas · 1 seat · won at 42.4% · +7.6 pts below quota
Nelson · 1 seat · won at 43.4% · +6.6 pts below quota
Charles Dickens · 1 seat · won at 45.6% · +4.4 pts below quota
Baffins · 1 seat · won at 47.1% · +2.9 pts below quota
Cosham · 1 seat · won at 48.3% · +1.7 pts below quota
Paulsgrove · 1 seat · won at 49.1% · +0.9 pts below quota
Copnor · 1 seat · won at 53.2% · above quota
Hilsea · 1 seat · won at 58.2% · above quota
Drayton & Farlington · 1 seat · won at 68.4% · above quota

Race results

Fratton · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,921

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brown S.W.	Liberal Democrats	1,029	35.2%	Elected
2	Coles N.	Labour Party	977	33.4%
3	Sweeney P.M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	712	24.4%
4	Hawkins K.	Green Party	154	5.3%
5	Smith J.	Workers Party of Britain	49	1.7%

Electorate 10,626 · Ballots cast 2,921 · EC ward code E05002448 · Back to ward index

St. Jude · single-seat

Marginal winner 35.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +14.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,611

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mason H.L.	Liberal Democrats	1,287	35.6%	Elected
2	Ghosh R.	Labour Party	1,194	33.1%
3	Gorys S.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	847	23.5%
4	McCulloch I.D.	Green Party	283	7.8%

Electorate 9,422 · Ballots cast 3,611 · EC ward code E05002453 · Back to ward index

Milton · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,906

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Barrett K.E.	Liberal Democrats	1,471	37.7%	Elected
2	Savage P.A.	Labour Party	1,251	32.0%
3	Smith J.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	901	23.1%
4	Gilbert S.L.S.	Green Party	283	7.2%

Electorate 10,632 · Ballots cast 3,906 · EC ward code E05002450 · Back to ward index

Eastney & Craneswater · single-seat

Marginal winner 37.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +12.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,374

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Smith J.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,654	37.8%	Elected
2	Winnington M.R.	Liberal Democrats	1,292	29.5%
3	Withey C.	Labour Party	1,139	26.0%
4	Groen M.	Green Party	289	6.6%

Electorate 9,802 · Ballots cast 4,374 · EC ward code E05002447 · Back to ward index

Central Southsea · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,112

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gerada C.R.	Labour Party	1,740	42.3%	Elected
2	Pitt S.	Liberal Democrats	1,611	39.2%
3	Dougla C.P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	570	13.9%
4	Groen T.L.B.	Green Party	191	4.6%

Electorate 12,072 · Ballots cast 4,112 · EC ward code E05002442 · Back to ward index

St. Thomas · single-seat

Marginal winner 42.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,368

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Holder I.D.	Liberal Democrats	1,428	42.4%	Elected
2	Denny A.R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	943	28.0%
3	Ozaniec R.C.	Labour Party	760	22.6%
4	Lee E.	Green Party	237	7.0%

Electorate 11,172 · Ballots cast 3,368 · EC ward code E05002454 · Back to ward index

Nelson · single-seat

Marginal winner 43.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +6.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,526

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Madden L.	Liberal Democrats	1,097	43.4%	Elected
2	Cairns D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	791	31.3%
3	Hancock G.J.	Labour Party	495	19.6%
4	Robinson D.S.	Green Party	143	5.7%

Electorate 10,431 · Ballots cast 2,526 · EC ward code E05002451 · Back to ward index

Charles Dickens · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,593

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mellor K.	Labour Party	1,183	45.6%	Elected
2	Raj R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	713	27.5%
3	Chowdhury Y.	Liberal Democrats	600	23.1%
4	Pickett C.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	97	3.7%

Electorate 13,550 · Ballots cast 2,593 · EC ward code E05002443 · Back to ward index

Baffins · single-seat

Marginal winner 47.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +2.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,689

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sanders D.	Liberal Democrats	1,737	47.1%	Elected
2	Collins T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,066	28.9%
3	Christopher J.	Labour Party	640	17.3%
4	Simmonds B.	Green Party	246	6.7%

Electorate 11,197 · Ballots cast 3,689 · EC ward code E05002441 · Back to ward index

Cosham · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,456

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Atkins M.J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,668	48.3%	Elected
2	Shah A.	Labour Party	1,252	36.2%
3	Fuller D.E.C.	Liberal Democrats	333	9.6%
4	Jerome M.	Independent	103	3.0%
5	Wagner V.G.	NHA	100	2.9%

Electorate 10,290 · Ballots cast 3,456 · EC ward code E05002445 · Back to ward index

Paulsgrove · single-seat

Marginal winner 49.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +0.9 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,431

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Madgwick G.D.	Independent	1,684	49.1%	Elected
2	Hewitt T.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,269	37.0%
3	Farwell M.	Labour Party	397	11.6%
4	Brown G.M.F.	Liberal Democrats	81	2.4%

Electorate 10,229 · Ballots cast 3,431 · EC ward code E05002452 · Back to ward index

Copnor · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.2 pts Valid ballots 3,074

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gosling L.M.D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,636	53.2%	Elected
2	Vallely M.	Labour Party	805	26.2%
3	Sheerman-Chase T.	Green Party	326	10.6%
4	Tera B.	Liberal Democrats	307	10.0%

Electorate 9,801 · Ballots cast 3,074 · EC ward code E05002444 · Back to ward index

Hilsea · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.2 pts Valid ballots 3,028

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wemyss D.A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	1,763	58.2%	Elected
2	Lewis J.T.	Labour Party	783	25.9%
3	Williams P.J.	Liberal Democrats	265	8.8%
4	Murphy E.L.K.	Green Party	217	7.2%

Electorate 10,271 · Ballots cast 3,028 · EC ward code E05002449 · Back to ward index

Drayton & Farlington · single-seat

Marginal winner 68.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −18.4 pts Valid ballots 3,958

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Brent R.W.	Conservative and Unionist Party	2,707	68.4%	Elected
2	Simpson D.A.	Labour Party	776	19.6%
3	Garland D.M.	Liberal Democrats	475	12.0%

Electorate 10,453 · Ballots cast 3,958 · EC ward code E05002446 · Back to ward index