← Rugby (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Rugby 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 14 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 14 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 12,096 | 46.9% | 8 | 57.1% | 7 | 50.0% | +1 |
| Labour Party | 8,397 | 32.6% | 3 | 21.4% | 5 | 35.7% | -2 |
| Liberal Democrats | 3,947 | 15.3% | 3 | 21.4% | 2 | 14.3% | +1 |
| Green Party | 1,178 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 155 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 25,773 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 14 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
Two opencouncildata snapshots: the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and immediately before it (2017). Only ~⅓ of seats were contested in 2018 — most of the bench is unchanged, and the cycle's effect on the overall composition is what shifts.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Eastlands · 1 seat · won at 43.1% · −6.9 pts below quota
- Admirals and Cawston · 1 seat · won at 45.4% · −4.6 pts below quota
- Paddox · 1 seat · won at 47.0% · −3.0 pts below quota
- Newbold and Brownsover · 1 seat · won at 47.5% · −2.5 pts below quota
- Hillmorton · 1 seat · won at 50.1% · above quota
- New Bilton · 1 seat · won at 50.6% · above quota
- Rokeby and Overslade · 1 seat · won at 52.5% · above quota
- Benn · 1 seat · won at 57.7% · above quota
- Bilton · 1 seat · won at 58.3% · above quota
- Coton and Boughton · 1 seat · won at 58.4% · above quota
- Wolston and the Lawfords · 1 seat · won at 58.5% · above quota
- Revel and Binley Woods · 1 seat · won at 73.5% · above quota
- Wolvey and Shilton · 1 seat · won at 75.0% · above quota
- Dunsmore · 1 seat · won at 76.4% · above quota
Race results
Eastlands · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 43.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −6.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,954
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Craig McQueen | Liberal Democrats | 843 | 43.1% | −6.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Zoe Feeney | Conservative Party | 511 | 26.2% | — | |
| 3 | Matthew Weston | Labour Party | 505 | 25.8% | — | |
| 4 | Patrick Steel | Green Party | 95 | 4.9% | — |
Admirals and Cawston · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 45.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −4.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,982
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dale Keeling | Conservative Party | 900 | 45.4% | −4.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Will Pimlett | Labour Party | 706 | 35.6% | — | |
| 3 | Lee Chase | Liberal Democrats | 280 | 14.1% | — | |
| 4 | Jenny Farley | Green Party | 96 | 4.8% | — |
Paddox · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −3.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,277
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noreen New | Liberal Democrats | 1,070 | 47.0% | −3.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tony Meeson | Conservative Party | 668 | 29.3% | — | |
| 3 | Jonathan Vickers | Labour Party | 469 | 20.6% | — | |
| 4 | Maralyn Pickup | Green Party | 70 | 3.1% | — |
Newbold and Brownsover · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 47.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. −2.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,507
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ram Srivastava | Labour Party | 716 | 47.5% | −2.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Eve Hassell | Conservative Party | 624 | 41.4% | — | |
| 3 | Mark Summers | Green Party | 167 | 11.1% | — |
Hillmorton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.1% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,771
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Picker | Conservative Party | 888 | 50.1% | +0.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jim Ellis | Labour Party | 711 | 40.1% | — | |
| 3 | Laura Slinn | Liberal Democrats | 112 | 6.3% | — | |
| 4 | Peter Reynolds | Green Party | 60 | 3.4% | — |
New Bilton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 50.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +0.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,476
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mike Brader | Labour Party | 747 | 50.6% | +0.6 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Adam Daly | Conservative Party | 494 | 33.5% | — | |
| 3 | Bob Beggs | Green Party | 198 | 13.4% | — | |
| 4 | Hossain Tafazzal | Liberal Democrats | 37 | 2.5% | — |
Rokeby and Overslade · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 52.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +2.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,409
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bill Lewis | Liberal Democrats | 1,265 | 52.5% | +2.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Paul Wesson | Conservative Party | 552 | 22.9% | — | |
| 3 | Ian Black | Labour Party | 512 | 21.3% | — | |
| 4 | Kate Crowley | Green Party | 80 | 3.3% | — |
Benn · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 57.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +7.7 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,675
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jim Shera | Labour Party | 966 | 57.7% | +7.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | John Keeling | Conservative Party | 366 | 21.9% | — | |
| 3 | Hugh Trimble | Liberal Democrats | 150 | 9.0% | — | |
| 4 | Roy Sandison | Green Party | 117 | 7.0% | — | |
| 5 | Marian Wakelin | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 76 | 4.5% | — |
Bilton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,192
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Cade | Conservative Party | 1,277 | 58.3% | +8.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Phil Hemsley | Labour Party | 631 | 28.8% | — | |
| 3 | Lesley Kennedy George | Liberal Democrats | 190 | 8.7% | — | |
| 4 | Ian Wright | Green Party | 94 | 4.3% | — |
Coton and Boughton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,540
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jill Simpson-Vince | Conservative Party | 900 | 58.4% | +8.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mark Brassey | Labour Party | 640 | 41.6% | — |
Wolston and the Lawfords · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 58.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +8.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,007
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Bearne | Conservative Party | 1,174 | 58.5% | +8.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lauren Kennedy | Labour Party | 553 | 27.6% | — | |
| 3 | Lesley Summers | Green Party | 201 | 10.0% | — | |
| 4 | Pete McLaren | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 79 | 3.9% | — |
Revel and Binley Woods · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 73.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +23.5 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 1,913
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belinda Garcia | Conservative Party | 1,406 | 73.5% | +23.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Anna Coupe | Labour Party | 507 | 26.5% | — |
Wolvey and Shilton · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 75.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 748
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Pacey-Day | Conservative Party | 561 | 75.0% | +25.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ben Law | Labour Party | 187 | 25.0% | — |
Dunsmore · single-seat
Marginal winner Winning candidate's share of valid ballots. 76.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +26.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 1 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,322
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deepah Roberts | Conservative Party | 1,775 | 76.4% | +26.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Beck Hemsley | Labour Party | 547 | 23.6% | — |