← Rushmoor (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

Rushmoor 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

13 ward races

13 seats

7 elected below the proportional quota

53.8% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 13 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 13 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Labour Party	9,886	46.8%	8	61.5%	6	46.2%	+2
Conservative and Unionist Party	7,832	37.1%	4	30.8%	5	38.5%	-1
Liberal Democrats	2,997	14.2%	1	7.7%	2	15.4%	-1
Green Party	194	0.9%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Heritage Party	115	0.5%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Reform UK	82	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	22	0.1%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	21,128	100.0%	13	100.0%	13	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Knellwood · 1 seat · won at 38.6% · +11.4 pts below quota
Empress · 1 seat · won at 40.3% · +9.7 pts below quota
West Heath · 1 seat · won at 41.9% · +8.1 pts below quota
St. John's · 1 seat · won at 45.4% · +4.6 pts below quota
Cove & Southwood · 1 seat · won at 48.2% · +1.8 pts below quota
St. Mark's · 1 seat · won at 48.5% · +1.5 pts below quota
Rowhill · 1 seat · won at 48.7% · +1.3 pts below quota
Fernhill · 1 seat · won at 52.8% · above quota
Manor Park · 1 seat · won at 54.5% · above quota
Wellington · 1 seat · won at 56.5% · above quota
Cherrywood · 1 seat · won at 67.9% · above quota
Aldershot Park · 1 seat · won at 72.0% · above quota
North Town · 1 seat · won at 73.5% · above quota

Race results

Knellwood · single-seat

Marginal winner 38.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +11.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,237

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Stewart, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	863	38.6%	Elected
2	Cragg, T.	Labour Party	636	28.4%
3	Trotter, M.	Liberal Democrats	623	27.8%
4	Joyce, K.	Heritage Party	115	5.1%

Electorate 5,600 · Ballots cast 2,237 · Back to ward index

Empress · single-seat

Marginal winner 40.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +9.7 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,754

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Williams, G.	Labour Party	707	40.3%	Elected
2	Dale, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	593	33.8%
3	Card, L.	Liberal Democrats	372	21.2%
4	Simpson, I.	Reform UK	82	4.7%

Electorate 4,663 · Ballots cast 1,754 · Back to ward index

West Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 41.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +8.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,512

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Lyon, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	634	41.9%	Elected
2	Francis, G.	Labour Party	607	40.1%
3	Fraser-Fleming, C.	Liberal Democrats	194	12.8%
4	Neville, E.	Green Party	77	5.1%

Electorate 4,767 · Ballots cast 1,512 · Back to ward index

St. John's · single-seat

Marginal winner 45.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,645

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cullum, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	747	45.4%	Elected
2	Warner, J.	Labour Party	733	44.6%
3	O'Dowd-Booth, O.	Liberal Democrats	165	10.0%

Electorate 4,966 · Ballots cast 1,645 · Back to ward index

Cove & Southwood · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,646

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Masterson, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	794	48.2%	Elected
2	Grinter, K.	Labour Party	489	29.7%
3	Mitchell, E.	Liberal Democrats	246	14.9%
4	Cawsey, P.	Green Party	117	7.1%

Electorate 5,436 · Ballots cast 1,646 · Back to ward index

St. Mark's · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,596

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Mitchell, T.	Liberal Democrats	774	48.5%	Elected
2	Chowdhury, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	554	34.7%
3	Jones, B.	Labour Party	268	16.8%

Electorate 5,277 · Ballots cast 1,596 · Back to ward index

Rowhill · single-seat

Marginal winner 48.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +1.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,780

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Koohestani, H.	Labour Party	866	48.7%	Elected
2	Newell, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	660	37.1%
3	Hilliar, A.	Liberal Democrats	254	14.3%

Electorate 4,981 · Ballots cast 1,780 · Back to ward index

Fernhill · single-seat

Marginal winner 52.8% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −2.8 pts Valid ballots 1,556

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Allen, A.	Labour Party	822	52.8%	Elected
2	Amos, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	583	37.5%
3	Whyman, J.	Liberal Democrats	151	9.7%

Electorate 5,112 · Ballots cast 1,556 · Back to ward index

Manor Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 54.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −4.5 pts Valid ballots 2,024

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Williams, B.	Labour Party	1,103	54.5%	Elected
2	Crerar, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	921	45.5%

Electorate 5,488 · Ballots cast 2,024 · Back to ward index

Wellington · single-seat

Marginal winner 56.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.5 pts Valid ballots 1,154

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Sarki, D.	Labour Party	652	56.5%	Elected
2	Hartley, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	414	35.9%
3	Lunn, A.	Liberal Democrats	66	5.7%
4	Lyddall, R.	Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition	22	1.9%

Electorate 4,533 · Ballots cast 1,154 · Back to ward index

Cherrywood · single-seat

Marginal winner 67.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −17.9 pts Valid ballots 1,464

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Guinness, C.	Labour Party	994	67.9%	Elected
2	Pun, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	470	32.1%

Electorate 5,095 · Ballots cast 1,464 · Back to ward index

Aldershot Park · single-seat

Marginal winner 72.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −22.0 pts Valid ballots 1,370

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Porter, S.	Labour Party	987	72.0%	Elected
2	Armitage, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	298	21.8%
3	Morrell, S.	Liberal Democrats	85	6.2%

Electorate 5,067 · Ballots cast 1,370 · Back to ward index

North Town · single-seat

Marginal winner 73.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −23.5 pts Valid ballots 1,390

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Austin, G.	Labour Party	1,022	73.5%	Elected
2	Brown, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	301	21.7%
3	Christodoulou, G.	Liberal Democrats	67	4.8%

Electorate 5,006 · Ballots cast 1,390 · Back to ward index