← South Ayrshire (all cycles) · 5 May 2022 cohort
South Ayrshire 2022
Local elections held 5 May 2022.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 8 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 28 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottish National Party | 14,849 | 33.0% | 9 | 32.1% | 10 | 35.7% | -1 |
| Conservative Party | 14,520 | 32.3% | 10 | 35.7% | 9 | 32.1% | +1 |
| Labour Party | 7,276 | 16.2% | 5 | 17.9% | 5 | 17.9% | 0 |
| Independent | 6,820 | 15.2% | 4 | 14.3% | 4 | 14.3% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 1,158 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Alba Party | 275 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Scottish Family Party | 108 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 45,006 | 100.0% | 28 | 100.0% | 28 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2022 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2022 election (current) and on the eve of it (2021), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Ayr North · 4 seats · won at 7.0% · −13.0 pts below quota
- Ayr West · 4 seats · won at 8.4% · −11.6 pts below quota
- Girvan and South Carrick · 3 seats · won at 14.1% · −10.9 pts below quota
- Ayr East · 3 seats · won at 16.5% · −8.5 pts below quota
- Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton · 3 seats · won at 17.7% · −7.3 pts below quota
- Troon · 4 seats · won at 14.5% · −5.5 pts below quota
- Kyle · 3 seats · won at 19.8% · −5.2 pts below quota
- Prestwick · 4 seats · won at 15.4% · −4.6 pts below quota
Race results
Ayr North · 4-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 7.0% Proportional quota 20.0% Below quota −13.0 pts Valid ballots 4,922
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laura Brennan-Whitefield | Scottish National Party | 1,914 | 38.9% | +18.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Ian Cavana | Labour Party | 1,185 | 24.1% | +4.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ian Davis | Conservative Party | 675 | 13.7% | −6.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Mark Dixon | Scottish National Party | 344 | 7.0% | −13.0 pts | Elected |
| 5 | David Paterson | Conservative Party | 336 | 6.8% | — | |
| 6 | Andrew Russell | Independent | 309 | 6.3% | — | |
| 7 | Mason Graham | Liberal Democrats | 80 | 1.6% | — | |
| 8 | Denise Sommerville | Alba Party | 79 | 1.6% | — |
Ayr West · 4-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 8.4% Proportional quota 20.0% Below quota −11.6 pts Valid ballots 8,369
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Dowey | Conservative Party | 2,271 | 27.1% | +7.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Bob Shields | Independent | 1,909 | 22.8% | +2.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | George Weir | Scottish National Party | 1,217 | 14.5% | −5.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | John Duncan | Labour Party | 915 | 10.9% | — | |
| 5 | Lee Lyons | Conservative Party | 699 | 8.4% | −11.6 pts | Elected |
| 6 | Margaret Weir | Scottish National Party | 614 | 7.3% | — | |
| 7 | Derek McCabe | Conservative Party | 341 | 4.1% | — | |
| 8 | Jamie Ross | Liberal Democrats | 295 | 3.5% | — | |
| 9 | Gordon Hawley Bryce | Scottish Family Party | 108 | 1.3% | — |
Girvan and South Carrick · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 14.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota −10.9 pts Valid ballots 4,056
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alec Clark | Independent | 1,277 | 31.5% | +6.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Henderson | Scottish National Party | 1,008 | 24.9% | −0.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Gavin Scott | Conservative Party | 573 | 14.1% | −10.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Linda Kane | Conservative Party | 563 | 13.9% | — | |
| 5 | Aaron Gilpin | Labour Party | 358 | 8.8% | — | |
| 6 | Todor Joseph Radic | Independent | 230 | 5.7% | — | |
| 7 | Eileen Spence | Alba Party | 47 | 1.2% | — |
Ayr East · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 16.5% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota −8.5 pts Valid ballots 4,936
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Cullen | Scottish National Party | 1,377 | 27.9% | +2.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Mary Kilpatrick | Conservative Party | 959 | 19.4% | −5.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Brian McGinley | Labour Party | 814 | 16.5% | −8.5 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Ian Douglas | Scottish National Party | 556 | 11.3% | — | |
| 5 | Alan Lamont | Conservative Party | 520 | 10.5% | — | |
| 6 | Chic Brodie | Independent | 232 | 4.7% | — | |
| 7 | Andrew Bryden | Independent | 185 | 3.7% | — | |
| 8 | David John Ramsay | Independent | 180 | 3.6% | — | |
| 9 | Deirdre Kennedy | Liberal Democrats | 113 | 2.3% | — |
Maybole, North Carrick and Coylton · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 17.7% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota −7.3 pts Valid ballots 4,282
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | William Grant | Scottish National Party | 1,370 | 32.0% | +7.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Iain Campbell | Conservative Party | 895 | 20.9% | −4.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Brian Connolly | Independent | 756 | 17.7% | −7.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Laura McEwan | Conservative Party | 623 | 14.5% | — | |
| 5 | Nicola Saxton | Labour Party | 532 | 12.4% | — | |
| 6 | Stephen Ralph | Liberal Democrats | 106 | 2.5% | — |
Troon · 4-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 14.5% Proportional quota 20.0% Below quota −5.5 pts Valid ballots 6,979
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Craig Mackay | Scottish National Party | 1,607 | 23.0% | +3.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Philip Saxton | Labour Party | 1,342 | 19.2% | −0.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Bob Pollock | Conservative Party | 1,131 | 16.2% | −3.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Kenneth Bell | Conservative Party | 1,015 | 14.5% | −5.5 pts | Elected |
| 5 | Annie McIndoe | Scottish National Party | 898 | 12.9% | — | |
| 6 | Rose Hall | Conservative Party | 459 | 6.6% | — | |
| 7 | Judith Godden | Liberal Democrats | 329 | 4.7% | — | |
| 8 | Linda Lunan | Independent | 198 | 2.8% | — |
Kyle · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 19.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota −5.2 pts Valid ballots 4,820
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julie Dettbarn | Scottish National Party | 1,635 | 33.9% | +8.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Duncan Christopher Townson | Labour Party | 1,110 | 23.0% | −2.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Stephen Ferry | Conservative Party | 955 | 19.8% | −5.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Arthur Spurling | Conservative Party | 814 | 16.9% | — | |
| 5 | John Aitken | Liberal Democrats | 235 | 4.9% | — | |
| 6 | Geoff Bush | Alba Party | 71 | 1.5% | — |
Prestwick · 4-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner 15.4% Proportional quota 20.0% Below quota −4.6 pts Valid ballots 6,642
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Below quota | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ian Cochrane | Scottish National Party | 1,695 | 25.5% | +5.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Hugh Hunter | Independent | 1,544 | 23.2% | +3.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Martin Kilbride | Conservative Party | 1,132 | 17.0% | −3.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Cameron Ramsay | Labour Party | 1,020 | 15.4% | −4.6 pts | Elected |
| 5 | Norrie Smith | Scottish National Party | 614 | 9.2% | — | |
| 6 | Derek Stillie | Conservative Party | 488 | 7.3% | — | |
| 7 | John Caddis | Alba Party | 78 | 1.2% | — | |
| 8 | Owen Daniel North | Conservative Party | 71 | 1.1% | — |