← South Holland (all cycles) · 1 May 2025 cohort
South Holland 2025
Local elections held 1 May 2025.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 9 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 9 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reform UK | 10,326 | 47.1% | 8 | 88.9% | 5 | 55.6% | +3 |
| Conservative and Unionist Party | 7,107 | 32.4% | 1 | 11.1% | 4 | 44.4% | -3 |
| South Holland Independents | 1,453 | 6.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Labour Party | 1,224 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 955 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Green Party | 850 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 21,915 | 100.0% | 9 | 100.0% | 9 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Spalding South · 1 seat · won at 33.4% · +16.6 pts below quota
- The Suttons · 1 seat · won at 40.0% · +10.0 pts below quota
- Spalding West · 1 seat · won at 42.9% · +7.1 pts below quota
- Holbeach Rural · 1 seat · won at 45.6% · +4.4 pts below quota
- Crowland · 1 seat · won at 51.2% · above quota
- Spalding East · 1 seat · won at 51.3% · above quota
- Spalding Elloe · 1 seat · won at 53.6% · above quota
- Donington Rural · 1 seat · won at 53.9% · above quota
- Holbeach · 1 seat · won at 56.0% · above quota
Race results
Spalding South · single-seat
Marginal winner 33.4% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +16.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,012
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gary John Taylor | Conservative and Unionist Party | 673 | 33.4% | Elected |
| 2 | Phil Webb | Reform UK | 639 | 31.8% | |
| 3 | James Anthony Le Sage | South Holland Independents | 434 | 21.6% | |
| 4 | Lesley Joan Allinson | Labour Party | 155 | 7.7% | |
| 5 | Stephen Welton | Green Party | 69 | 3.4% | |
| 6 | Karen Carless | Liberal Democrats | 54 | 2.7% |
The Suttons · single-seat
Marginal winner 40.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +10.0 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,214
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robbie Woods | Reform UK | 886 | 40.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Jack Tyrrell | Conservative and Unionist Party | 617 | 27.9% | |
| 3 | Chris Brewis | South Holland Independents | 605 | 27.3% | |
| 4 | Ray Southam | Liberal Democrats | 106 | 4.8% |
Spalding West · single-seat
Marginal winner 42.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +7.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,012
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manzur Hasan | Reform UK | 863 | 42.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Janet Brenda Whitbourn | Conservative and Unionist Party | 774 | 38.5% | |
| 3 | Stephen George Follett | Labour Party | 159 | 7.9% | |
| 4 | Heather Julie Irene Violett | Green Party | 131 | 6.5% | |
| 5 | Neil Taylor | Liberal Democrats | 85 | 4.2% |
Holbeach Rural · single-seat
Marginal winner 45.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +4.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,951
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neil Carey | Reform UK | 1,347 | 45.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Ephraim Coupland | Conservative and Unionist Party | 976 | 33.1% | |
| 3 | Paul Stephen Barnes | South Holland Independents | 414 | 14.0% | |
| 4 | Safir Hussain | Labour Party | 136 | 4.6% | |
| 5 | Stephen David Blogg | Liberal Democrats | 78 | 2.6% |
Crowland · single-seat
Marginal winner 51.2% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.2 pts Valid ballots 3,055
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raymond Balfor Condell | Reform UK | 1,563 | 51.2% | Elected |
| 2 | Andrew Robert Woolf | Conservative and Unionist Party | 972 | 31.8% | |
| 3 | Patrick Joseph Vaughan | Labour Party | 184 | 6.0% | |
| 4 | Lisa Collier Brewin | Liberal Democrats | 171 | 5.6% | |
| 5 | Charlie Alexander Poulter | Green Party | 164 | 5.4% |
Spalding East · single-seat
Marginal winner 51.3% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −1.3 pts Valid ballots 2,415
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rob Gibson | Reform UK | 1,238 | 51.3% | Elected |
| 2 | Anthony Casson | Conservative and Unionist Party | 846 | 35.0% | |
| 3 | James David Thomas | Labour Party | 176 | 7.3% | |
| 4 | Liz Clews | Liberal Democrats | 155 | 6.4% |
Spalding Elloe · single-seat
Marginal winner 53.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.6 pts Valid ballots 2,024
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ingrid Helen Sheard | Reform UK | 1,084 | 53.6% | Elected |
| 2 | Elizabeth Jane Sneath | Conservative and Unionist Party | 853 | 42.1% | |
| 3 | Martin Christopher Blake | Green Party | 172 | 8.5% | |
| 4 | Rebecca Longbottom | Labour Party | 146 | 7.2% | |
| 5 | Jim Snee | Liberal Democrats | 61 | 3.0% |
Donington Rural · single-seat
Marginal winner 53.9% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.9 pts Valid ballots 2,540
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jane Lesley King | Reform UK | 1,368 | 53.9% | Elected |
| 2 | Henry John William Bingham | Conservative and Unionist Party | 770 | 30.3% | |
| 3 | Wendy Blackman | Green Party | 147 | 5.8% | |
| 4 | Neil Andrew Oakman | Liberal Democrats | 145 | 5.7% | |
| 5 | Leslie Christopher Burke | Labour Party | 110 | 4.3% |
Holbeach · single-seat
Marginal winner 56.0% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −6.0 pts Valid ballots 2,389
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thomas Edmund Sneath | Reform UK | 1,338 | 56.0% | Elected |
| 2 | Clive Turner | Conservative and Unionist Party | 626 | 26.2% | |
| 3 | Janet Siobhan Nevin Dutton | Green Party | 167 | 7.0% | |
| 4 | Mike Horder | Labour Party | 158 | 6.6% | |
| 5 | Seb Hague | Liberal Democrats | 100 | 4.2% |