← South Kesteven (all cycles) · 4 May 2023 cohort

South Kesteven 2023

Local elections held 4 May 2023.

26 ward races

52 seats

35 elected below the proportional quota

67.3% of seats below quota

How to read this page

Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share that would be needed to be guaranteed that seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.

Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the gap as points under par — the editorial indictment. Above-par results are just majority mandates and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.

If votes were counted by party

Across the 26 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 52 seats had been allocated to those vote totals in proportion (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented in this council, negative are parties it under-represented.

Party	Votes	Vote %	Seats won	% of seats	Proportional seats	Proportional %	Δ
Independent	22,681	42.8%	22	42.3%	23	44.2%	-1
Conservative and Unionist Party	16,602	31.3%	20	38.5%	17	32.7%	+3
Green Party	5,183	9.8%	4	7.7%	5	9.6%	-1
Labour Party	5,111	9.6%	2	3.8%	5	9.6%	-3
Liberal Democrats	2,844	5.4%	4	7.7%	2	3.8%	+2
Reform UK	371	0.7%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
LINCS IND	192	0.4%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Social Democratic Party	17	0.0%	0	0.0%	0	0.0%	0
Total	53,001	100.0%	52	100.0%	52	100.0%	0

Vote share vs seats won

The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.

Vote share

Actual seats

Proportional seats

Wards in this council

Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.

Grantham St Vincent's · 3 seats · won at 10.2% · +14.8 pts below quota
Toller · 1 seat · won at 36.5% · +13.5 pts below quota
Grantham Barrowby Gate · 2 seats · won at 20.7% · +12.6 pts below quota
Grantham Arnoldfield · 2 seats · won at 20.7% · +12.6 pts below quota
Grantham Springfield · 2 seats · won at 20.8% · +12.5 pts below quota
Bourne East · 2 seats · won at 21.0% · +12.3 pts below quota
Stamford St John's · 2 seats · won at 21.2% · +12.1 pts below quota
Grantham St Wulfram's · 2 seats · won at 22.8% · +10.5 pts below quota
Stamford St. Marys · 2 seats · won at 23.1% · +10.2 pts below quota
Peascliffe & Ridgeway · 2 seats · won at 24.0% · +9.3 pts below quota
Belmont · 2 seats · won at 25.2% · +8.1 pts below quota
Bourne Austerby · 3 seats · won at 16.9% · +8.1 pts below quota
Market & West Deeping · 3 seats · won at 17.6% · +7.4 pts below quota
Stamford All Saints · 2 seats · won at 27.0% · +6.3 pts below quota
Deeping St. James · 3 seats · won at 20.4% · +4.6 pts below quota
Casewick · 2 seats · won at 28.9% · +4.4 pts below quota
Grantham Earlesfield · 2 seats · won at 29.0% · +4.3 pts below quota
Bourne West · 2 seats · won at 30.0% · +3.4 pts below quota
Isaac Newton · 2 seats · won at 31.1% · +2.2 pts below quota
Grantham Harrowby · 2 seats · won at 32.5% · +0.8 pts below quota
Belvoir · 2 seats · won at 36.0% · above quota
Stamford St George's · 2 seats · won at 36.1% · above quota
Viking · 2 seats · won at 36.4% · above quota
Dole Wood · 1 seat · won at 53.7% · above quota
Aveland · 1 seat · won at 58.6% · above quota
Loveden Heath · 1 seat · won at 63.6% · above quota

Race results

Grantham St Vincent's · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 10.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +14.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,938

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Ellis, P.	Green Party	520	13.2%	Elected
2	Morgan, C.	Independent	517	13.1%	Elected
3	Jeal, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	400	10.2%	Elected
4	Forman, T.	Labour Party	393	10.0%
5	Gayfer, A.	Green Party	375	9.5%
6	Ferguson, A.	Green Party	372	9.4%
7	Eardley, J.	Labour Party	365	9.3%
8	Monro, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	344	8.7%
9	Morgan, J.	Independent	328	8.3%
10	Rudd, G.	Independent	324	8.2%

Electorate 5,194 · Ballots cast 3,938 · Back to ward index

Toller · single-seat

Marginal winner 36.5% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference +13.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 702

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Turner, M.	Liberal Democrats	256	36.5%	Elected
2	Clark, C.	LINCS IND	192	27.4%
3	Vaughan, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	181	25.8%
4	Gackowska, A.	Reform UK	56	8.0%
5	Mitchell, A.	Social Democratic Party	17	2.4%

Electorate 2,082 · Ballots cast 702 · Back to ward index

Grantham Barrowby Gate · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,148

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Knight, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	467	21.7%	Elected
2	Whittington, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	445	20.7%	Elected
3	Cook, J.	Labour Party	430	20.0%
4	Smith, A.	Independent	343	16.0%
5	Shrouder, R.	Green Party	257	12.0%
6	Parkhill, J.	Independent	206	9.6%

Electorate 3,872 · Ballots cast 2,148 · Back to ward index

Grantham Arnoldfield · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.7% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,167

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Stokes, P.	Independent	529	24.4%	Elected
2	Martin, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	449	20.7%	Elected
3	Oxley, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	420	19.4%
4	Greenwood, T.	Labour Party	412	19.0%
5	Beckett, M.	Independent	357	16.5%

Electorate 4,232 · Ballots cast 2,167 · Back to ward index

Grantham Springfield · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,447

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Shorrock, R.	Labour Party	364	25.2%	Elected
2	Manterfield, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	301	20.8%	Elected
3	Stokes, A.	Conservative and Unionist Party	295	20.4%
4	Ash, M.	Independent	277	19.1%
5	Chadwick, J.	Green Party	210	14.5%

Electorate 3,799 · Ballots cast 1,447 · Back to ward index

Bourne East · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,691

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Knowles, P.	Independent	417	24.7%	Elected
2	Lane, Z.	Conservative and Unionist Party	355	21.0%	Elected
3	Reid, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	353	20.9%
4	Johnson, B.	Independent	352	20.8%
5	Hughes, B.	Labour Party	214	12.7%

Electorate 3,470 · Ballots cast 1,691 · Back to ward index

Stamford St John's · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 21.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +12.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,769

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Cleaver, R.	Independent	1,041	58.8%	Elected
2	Sandall, S.	Conservative and Unionist Party	375	21.2%	Elected
3	Sandall, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	353	20.0%

Electorate 4,287 · Ballots cast 1,769 · Back to ward index

Grantham St Wulfram's · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 22.8% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.5 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,293

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Harrison, T.	Independent	588	25.6%	Elected
2	Wootten, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	523	22.8%	Elected
3	Swinburn, S.	Independent	471	20.5%
4	Whittington, M.	Conservative and Unionist Party	390	17.0%
5	Jones, B.	Labour Party	321	14.0%

Electorate 4,053 · Ballots cast 2,293 · Back to ward index

Stamford St. Marys · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 23.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +10.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,906

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bisnauthsing, D.	Liberal Democrats	701	36.8%	Elected
2	Kingman, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	441	23.1%	Elected
3	Clarke, J.	Independent	414	21.7%
4	Clarke, J.	Green Party	350	18.4%

Electorate 3,679 · Ballots cast 1,906 · Back to ward index

Peascliffe & Ridgeway · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 24.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +9.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,069

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Stokes, I.	Conservative and Unionist Party	561	27.1%	Elected
2	Stephens, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	497	24.0%	Elected
3	Johnson, N.	Independent	306	14.8%
4	White, K.	Labour Party	276	13.3%
5	Millar, J.	Green Party	254	12.3%
6	Ridgley, V.	Independent	175	8.5%

Electorate 4,010 · Ballots cast 2,069 · Back to ward index

Belmont · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 25.2% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +8.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,770

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Gadd, P.	Independent	514	29.0%	Elected
2	Stooke, E.	Independent	446	25.2%	Elected
3	Wootten, L.	Conservative and Unionist Party	332	18.8%
4	Ward, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	275	15.5%
5	Sadler, M.	Labour Party	203	11.5%

Electorate 3,505 · Ballots cast 1,770 · Back to ward index

Bourne Austerby · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 16.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +8.1 pts below quota Valid ballots 3,133

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Fellows, P.	Independent	664	21.2%	Elected
2	Baker, E.	Green Party	587	18.7%	Elected
3	Baker, R.	Green Party	530	16.9%	Elected
4	Reid, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	504	16.1%
5	Neal, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	454	14.5%
6	Simmons, I.	Green Party	394	12.6%

Electorate 6,154 · Ballots cast 3,133 · Back to ward index

Market & West Deeping · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 17.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +7.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,550

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Baxter, A.	Independent	1,255	27.6%	Elected
2	Morgan, V.	Independent	934	20.5%	Elected
3	Byrd, P.	Independent	803	17.6%	Elected
4	Broughton, R.	Independent	751	16.5%
5	Reilly, M.	Independent	563	12.4%
6	Collins, X.	Independent	244	5.4%

Electorate 5,468 · Ballots cast 4,550 · Back to ward index

Stamford All Saints · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 27.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +6.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,727

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rahman, H.	Liberal Democrats	550	31.8%	Elected
2	Sawyer, M.	Independent	467	27.0%	Elected
3	Griffin, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	375	21.7%
4	Sandall, N.	Conservative and Unionist Party	335	19.4%

Electorate 3,814 · Ballots cast 1,727 · Back to ward index

Deeping St. James · 3-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 20.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Difference +4.6 pts below quota Valid ballots 4,774

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dilks, P.	Independent	1,470	30.8%	Elected
2	Ley, B.	Independent	1,224	25.6%	Elected
3	Denniston, J.	Independent	973	20.4%	Elected
4	Stevens, J.	Independent	736	15.4%
5	Horder, M.	Labour Party	371	7.8%

Electorate 5,703 · Ballots cast 4,774 · Back to ward index

Casewick · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 28.9% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,454

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Smith, V.	Green Party	1,057	43.1%	Elected
2	Trollope-Bellew, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	709	28.9%	Elected
3	Cooke, K.	Conservative and Unionist Party	688	28.0%

Electorate 4,502 · Ballots cast 2,454 · Back to ward index

Grantham Earlesfield · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 29.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +4.3 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,038

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Steptoe, L.	Labour Party	305	29.4%	Elected
2	Cunnington, S.	Independent	301	29.0%	Elected
3	Thomson, C.	Labour Party	218	21.0%
4	Wells, B.	Independent	214	20.6%

Electorate 3,959 · Ballots cast 1,038 · Back to ward index

Bourne West · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 30.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +3.4 pts below quota Valid ballots 2,002

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Crawford, H.	Conservative and Unionist Party	629	31.4%	Elected
2	Kelly, A.	Independent	600	30.0%	Elected
3	Ireland, J.	Liberal Democrats	579	28.9%
4	Riley, J.	Labour Party	194	9.7%

Electorate 3,903 · Ballots cast 2,002 · Back to ward index

Isaac Newton · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 31.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +2.2 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,646

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bellamy, D.	Conservative and Unionist Party	576	35.0%	Elected
2	Green, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	512	31.1%	Elected
3	Hine, A.	Labour Party	281	17.1%
4	Turner, M.	Green Party	277	16.8%

Electorate 3,721 · Ballots cast 1,646 · Back to ward index

Grantham Harrowby · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 32.5% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference +0.8 pts below quota Valid ballots 1,440

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Selby, I.	Independent	526	36.5%	Elected
2	Noon, C.	Independent	468	32.5%	Elected
3	Burling, D.	Labour Party	259	18.0%
4	Perraton-Williams, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	187	13.0%

Electorate 3,620 · Ballots cast 1,440 · Back to ward index

Belvoir · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 36.0% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −2.7 pts Valid ballots 2,197

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Bosworth, P.	Conservative and Unionist Party	901	41.0%	Elected
2	Leadenham, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	791	36.0%	Elected
3	Simpson, D.	Labour Party	505	23.0%

Electorate 4,123 · Ballots cast 2,197 · Back to ward index

Stamford St George's · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 36.1% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −2.8 pts Valid ballots 1,174

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Rayside, R.	Liberal Democrats	548	46.7%	Elected
2	Johnson, G.	Conservative and Unionist Party	424	36.1%	Elected
3	Carter-Begbie, A.	Reform UK	202	17.2%

Electorate 3,729 · Ballots cast 1,174 · Back to ward index

Viking · 2-seat (bloc vote)

Marginal winner 36.4% Proportional quota 33.3% Difference −3.0 pts Valid ballots 2,577

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Wood, P.	Independent	1,055	40.9%	Elected
2	Wood, J.	Independent	937	36.4%	Elected
3	Storer, C.	Conservative and Unionist Party	585	22.7%

Electorate 4,073 · Ballots cast 2,577 · Back to ward index

Dole Wood · single-seat

Marginal winner 53.7% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −3.7 pts Valid ballots 761

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dobson, B.	Conservative and Unionist Party	409	53.7%	Elected
2	Eveleigh, N.	Independent	352	46.3%

Electorate 1,970 · Ballots cast 761 · Back to ward index

Aveland · single-seat

Marginal winner 58.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −8.6 pts Valid ballots 780

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Dixon-Warren, R.	Conservative and Unionist Party	457	58.6%	Elected
2	Brown, J.	Liberal Democrats	210	26.9%
3	Rudkin, M.	Reform UK	113	14.5%

Electorate 2,009 · Ballots cast 780 · Back to ward index

Loveden Heath · single-seat

Marginal winner 63.6% Proportional quota 50.0% Difference −13.6 pts Valid ballots 848

Rank	Candidate	Party	Votes	Share	Elected
1	Milnes, P.	Independent	539	63.6%	Elected
2	Sharman, J.	Conservative and Unionist Party	309	36.4%

Electorate 2,099 · Ballots cast 848 · Back to ward index