← Sutton (all cycles) · 3 May 2018 cohort
Sutton 2018
Local elections held 3 May 2018.
How to read this page
Each race below shows the share of valid ballots the marginal elected candidate actually won, and compares it to the proportional quota: the share they'd need to clinch the seat under any proportional voting method (1 seats + 1). For a 1-seat ward the quota is 50%; for 2 seats, 33.3%; for 3 seats, 25%.
Where the actual winning share fell below the quota, we show the signed gap as points below quota (a negative number) — the editorial indictment. Above-quota results clear the bar and pass without comment. The voting method is the subject of every observation here. Named candidates appear as the public election record requires; the cause being audited is the voting method, not the individuals. See the methodology page for derivations.
If votes were counted by party
Across the 18 wards in this cycle, parties received the vote totals below. The proportional column shows what each party would have won if the 54 seats had been shared out in proportion to votes received (how, with caveats). The Δ column is the actual seat count minus the proportional seat count — positive numbers are parties First-Past-the-Post over-represented; negative are parties it under-represented.
| Party | Votes | Vote % | Seats won | % of seats | Proportional seats | Proportional % | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal Democrats | 69,320 | 38.8% | 33 | 61.1% | 21 | 38.9% | +12 |
| Conservative Party | 64,945 | 36.3% | 18 | 33.3% | 20 | 37.0% | -2 |
| Labour Party | 31,753 | 17.8% | 0 | 0.0% | 10 | 18.5% | -10 |
| Green Party | 4,478 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9% | -1 |
| Independent | 4,128 | 2.3% | 3 | 5.6% | 1 | 1.9% | +2 |
| UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 4,083 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0% | 1 | 1.9% | -1 |
| Christian Peoples Alliance | 69 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| NF | 49 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0% | 0 |
| Total | 178,825 | 100.0% | 54 | 100.0% | 54 | 100.0% | 0 |
Vote share vs seats won
The top bar is each party's share of votes cast in this council. Below, one square per seat, coloured by the party that won it — first the actual First-Past-the-Post result, then what a proportional method would have produced from the same vote totals. Divergence between the bar and the actual grid is the indictment of the method.
Council composition: what this election replaced
The 2018 cycle was an all-out election — every seat was contested. The two opencouncildata snapshots below show the council immediately after the 2018 election (current) and on the eve of it (2017), so you can see what the result replaced.
Wards in this council
Sorted with the largest gap below the quota first. Click any ward to jump to its full result.
- Beddington North · 3 seats · won at 26.8% · above quota
- Wandle Valley · 3 seats · won at 35.0% · above quota
- Sutton Central · 3 seats · won at 35.6% · above quota
- St Helier · 3 seats · won at 36.2% · above quota
- Sutton North · 3 seats · won at 38.1% · above quota
- Nonsuch · 3 seats · won at 38.2% · above quota
- Sutton West · 3 seats · won at 38.4% · above quota
- Worcester Park · 3 seats · won at 40.2% · above quota
- Stonecot · 3 seats · won at 40.9% · above quota
- Sutton South · 3 seats · won at 41.6% · above quota
- Carshalton Central · 3 seats · won at 42.6% · above quota
- Beddington South · 3 seats · won at 43.2% · above quota
- The Wrythe · 3 seats · won at 43.3% · above quota
- Wallington North · 3 seats · won at 46.0% · above quota
- Carshalton South and Clockhouse · 3 seats · won at 46.2% · above quota
- Wallington South · 3 seats · won at 47.3% · above quota
- Cheam · 3 seats · won at 50.4% · above quota
- Belmont · 3 seats · won at 55.9% · above quota
Race results
Beddington North · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 26.8% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +1.8 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,542
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Mattey | Independent | 1,285 | 12.1% | 36.3% | +11.3 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tim Foster | Independent | 1,047 | 9.9% | 29.6% | +4.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jillian Green | Independent | 948 | 8.9% | 26.8% | +1.8 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Malcolm Brown | Conservative Party | 911 | 8.6% | 25.7% | — | |
| 5 | Pat Ali | Liberal Democrats | 837 | 7.9% | 23.6% | — | |
| 6 | Sarah Gwynn | Labour Party | 829 | 7.8% | 23.4% | — | |
| 7 | Alison Huneke | Conservative Party | 815 | 7.7% | 23.0% | — | |
| 8 | Andy Williams | Conservative Party | 784 | 7.4% | 22.1% | — | |
| 9 | John Keys | Labour Party | 725 | 6.8% | 20.5% | — | |
| 10 | Brendan Hudson | Liberal Democrats | 713 | 6.7% | 20.1% | — | |
| 11 | Charlie Mansell | Labour Party | 663 | 6.2% | 18.7% | — | |
| 12 | Nighat Piracha | Liberal Democrats | 660 | 6.2% | 18.6% | — | |
| 13 | Shasha Khan | Green Party | 208 | 2.0% | 5.9% | — | |
| 14 | Hannah Hamilton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 106 | 1.0% | 3.0% | — | |
| 15 | Kingsley Hamilton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 94 | 0.9% | 2.7% | — |
Wandle Valley · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 35.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,718
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benjamin Andrew | Liberal Democrats | 1,128 | 13.8% | 41.5% | +16.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Vincent Galligan | Liberal Democrats | 1,057 | 13.0% | 38.9% | +13.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Hanna Zuchowska | Liberal Democrats | 950 | 11.7% | 35.0% | +10.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | David Grant | Labour Party | 883 | 10.8% | 32.5% | — | |
| 5 | Margaret Thomas | Labour Party | 826 | 10.1% | 30.4% | — | |
| 6 | Ahmad Wattoo | Labour Party | 723 | 8.9% | 26.6% | — | |
| 7 | David Jeffreys | Conservative Party | 475 | 5.8% | 17.5% | — | |
| 8 | Ross Taylor | Conservative Party | 461 | 5.7% | 17.0% | — | |
| 9 | Julia Russell | Conservative Party | 451 | 5.5% | 16.6% | — | |
| 10 | Barry Greening | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 245 | 3.0% | 9.0% | — | |
| 11 | Peter Alfrey | Green Party | 229 | 2.8% | 8.4% | — | |
| 12 | Helen Heathfield | Green Party | 206 | 2.5% | 7.6% | — | |
| 13 | Mark Nicholson | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 180 | 2.2% | 6.6% | — | |
| 14 | Stewart Wood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 174 | 2.1% | 6.4% | — | |
| 15 | Gina Mudge | Green Party | 166 | 2.0% | 6.1% | — |
Sutton Central · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 35.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +10.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,129
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Bartolucci | Liberal Democrats | 1,259 | 13.4% | 40.2% | +15.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Rich Clare | Liberal Democrats | 1,236 | 13.2% | 39.5% | +14.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ali Mirhashem | Liberal Democrats | 1,114 | 11.9% | 35.6% | +10.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Steve Adams | Labour Party | 1,082 | 11.5% | 34.6% | — | |
| 5 | Bonnie Craven | Labour Party | 961 | 10.2% | 30.7% | — | |
| 6 | Vic Paulino | Labour Party | 905 | 9.6% | 28.9% | — | |
| 7 | Nigel Cornwell | Conservative Party | 789 | 8.4% | 25.2% | — | |
| 8 | Marie Grant | Conservative Party | 756 | 8.1% | 24.2% | — | |
| 9 | Alan Plant | Conservative Party | 727 | 7.7% | 23.2% | — | |
| 10 | Peter Friel | Green Party | 293 | 3.1% | 9.4% | — | |
| 11 | Jess Beadle | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 154 | 1.6% | 4.9% | — | |
| 12 | Charlie Wood | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 112 | 1.2% | 3.6% | — |
St Helier · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 36.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +11.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,546
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jean Crossby | Liberal Democrats | 1,063 | 13.9% | 41.8% | +16.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Martin Gonzalez | Liberal Democrats | 977 | 12.8% | 38.4% | +13.4 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Annie Moral | Liberal Democrats | 922 | 12.1% | 36.2% | +11.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Nick Diamantis | Labour Party | 876 | 11.5% | 34.4% | — | |
| 5 | Maggie Hughes | Labour Party | 800 | 10.5% | 31.4% | — | |
| 6 | Patrick Sim | Labour Party | 745 | 9.8% | 29.3% | — | |
| 7 | Steven Ayres | Conservative Party | 583 | 7.6% | 22.9% | — | |
| 8 | Simon Densley | Conservative Party | 513 | 6.7% | 20.1% | — | |
| 9 | Simon Higgs | Conservative Party | 497 | 6.5% | 19.5% | — | |
| 10 | John Brereton | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 255 | 3.3% | 10.0% | — | |
| 11 | Eleanor Smith | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 180 | 2.4% | 7.1% | — | |
| 12 | Ian Rawat | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 178 | 2.3% | 7.0% | — | |
| 13 | Richard Edmonds | NF | 49 | 0.6% | 1.9% | — |
Sutton North · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 38.1% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.1 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,211
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ruth Dombey | Liberal Democrats | 1,350 | 14.0% | 42.0% | +17.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Marlene Heron | Liberal Democrats | 1,263 | 13.1% | 39.3% | +14.3 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Stephen Penneck | Liberal Democrats | 1,222 | 12.7% | 38.1% | +13.1 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Emma Scully | Conservative Party | 1,134 | 11.8% | 35.3% | — | |
| 5 | Vikki Shields | Conservative Party | 1,032 | 10.7% | 32.1% | — | |
| 6 | Terry Woods | Conservative Party | 1,021 | 10.6% | 31.8% | — | |
| 7 | Teresa O'Brien | Labour Party | 754 | 7.8% | 23.5% | — | |
| 8 | Emily Brothers | Labour Party | 742 | 7.7% | 23.1% | — | |
| 9 | Victoria Richer | Labour Party | 681 | 7.1% | 21.2% | — | |
| 10 | Andrew Beadle | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 155 | 1.6% | 4.8% | — | |
| 11 | Julie Beach | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 140 | 1.5% | 4.4% | — | |
| 12 | Ernest Ford | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 140 | 1.5% | 4.4% | — |
Nonsuch · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 38.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,678
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martina Allen | Conservative Party | 1,681 | 15.2% | 45.7% | +20.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Peter Geiringer | Conservative Party | 1,466 | 13.3% | 39.9% | +14.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | James McDermott-Hill (Elected) | Conservative Party | 1,405 | 12.7% | 38.2% | +13.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Samantha Bourne (Not elected) | Liberal Democrats | 1,405 | 12.7% | 38.2% | — | |
| 5 | Richard Broadbent | Liberal Democrats | 1,287 | 11.7% | 35.0% | — | |
| 6 | Cliff Mason | Liberal Democrats | 1,243 | 11.3% | 33.8% | — | |
| 7 | Richard Johnson | Independent | 848 | 7.7% | 23.1% | — | |
| 8 | Kirsty Archer | Labour Party | 542 | 4.9% | 14.7% | — | |
| 9 | Kerrie Peek | Labour Party | 370 | 3.4% | 10.1% | — | |
| 10 | Karon Whitham | Labour Party | 334 | 3.0% | 9.1% | — | |
| 11 | Howard Cowley | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 189 | 1.7% | 5.1% | — | |
| 12 | Bill Goddard | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 138 | 1.3% | 3.8% | — | |
| 13 | David Taffurelli | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 126 | 1.1% | 3.4% | — |
Sutton West · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 38.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +13.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,354
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Catherine Gray | Conservative Party | 1,334 | 13.3% | 39.8% | +14.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Lily Bande | Conservative Party | 1,326 | 13.2% | 39.5% | +14.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Kevin Burke | Liberal Democrats | 1,288 | 12.8% | 38.4% | +13.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Mukesh Rao | Conservative Party | 1,227 | 12.2% | 36.6% | — | |
| 5 | Wendy Mathys | Liberal Democrats | 1,206 | 12.0% | 36.0% | — | |
| 6 | Simon Wales | Liberal Democrats | 1,190 | 11.8% | 35.5% | — | |
| 7 | Andy Cook | Labour Party | 806 | 8.0% | 24.0% | — | |
| 8 | Laura Mullaney | Labour Party | 713 | 7.1% | 21.3% | — | |
| 9 | Christopher Woolmer | Labour Party | 672 | 6.7% | 20.0% | — | |
| 10 | Peter Hickson | Green Party | 300 | 3.0% | 8.9% | — |
Worcester Park · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 40.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,702
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jenny Batt | Liberal Democrats | 1,759 | 15.8% | 47.5% | +22.5 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Tom Drummond | Conservative Party | 1,539 | 13.9% | 41.6% | +16.6 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Drew Heffernan | Liberal Democrats | 1,489 | 13.4% | 40.2% | +15.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Sam Martin | Liberal Democrats | 1,461 | 13.2% | 39.5% | — | |
| 5 | Bob Miah | Conservative Party | 1,459 | 13.1% | 39.4% | — | |
| 6 | Paul Newman | Conservative Party | 1,421 | 12.8% | 38.4% | — | |
| 7 | Liz Martin | Labour Party | 714 | 6.4% | 19.3% | — | |
| 8 | John Evers | Labour Party | 711 | 6.4% | 19.2% | — | |
| 9 | Ann Morrison | Labour Party | 552 | 5.0% | 14.9% | — |
Stonecot · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 40.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +15.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,360
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jed Dwight | Conservative Party | 1,505 | 14.9% | 44.8% | +19.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Param Nandha | Conservative Party | 1,414 | 14.0% | 42.1% | +17.1 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Ryan Stoneman | Conservative Party | 1,374 | 13.6% | 40.9% | +15.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Nick Emmerson | Liberal Democrats | 1,087 | 10.8% | 32.4% | — | |
| 5 | Miguel Javelot | Liberal Democrats | 969 | 9.6% | 28.8% | — | |
| 6 | Peter Okenla | Liberal Democrats | 921 | 9.1% | 27.4% | — | |
| 7 | Ray Eveleigh | Labour Party | 699 | 6.9% | 20.8% | — | |
| 8 | Paul Prior | Labour Party | 663 | 6.6% | 19.7% | — | |
| 9 | Gerry Tasker | Labour Party | 558 | 5.5% | 16.6% | — | |
| 10 | Claire Jackson-Prior | Green Party | 262 | 2.6% | 7.8% | — | |
| 11 | Cumar Saha | Green Party | 254 | 2.5% | 7.6% | — | |
| 12 | Glen Roberts | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 147 | 1.5% | 4.4% | — | |
| 13 | Simon Stuart | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 121 | 1.2% | 3.6% | — | |
| 14 | Nicholas Smith | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 106 | 1.1% | 3.2% | — |
Sutton South · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 41.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +16.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,132
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tony Shields | Conservative Party | 1,383 | 14.7% | 44.2% | +19.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Richard Clifton | Liberal Democrats | 1,347 | 14.3% | 43.0% | +18.0 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Trish Fivey | Liberal Democrats | 1,303 | 13.9% | 41.6% | +16.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Vanessa Udall | Conservative Party | 1,295 | 13.8% | 41.4% | — | |
| 5 | David Slaughter | Conservative Party | 1,285 | 13.7% | 41.0% | — | |
| 6 | Ed Parsley | Liberal Democrats | 1,187 | 12.6% | 37.9% | — | |
| 7 | Tessa Cornell | Labour Party | 566 | 6.0% | 18.1% | — | |
| 8 | Kathryn Brennan | Labour Party | 554 | 5.9% | 17.7% | — | |
| 9 | Ronald Phillips | Labour Party | 475 | 5.1% | 15.2% | — |
Carshalton Central · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 42.6% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +17.6 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,699
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jill Whitehead | Liberal Democrats | 1,673 | 15.1% | 45.2% | +20.2 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Chris Williams | Liberal Democrats | 1,646 | 14.8% | 44.5% | +19.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jake Short | Liberal Democrats | 1,576 | 14.2% | 42.6% | +17.6 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Lynne Fletcher | Conservative Party | 1,384 | 12.5% | 37.4% | — | |
| 5 | Matthew Drew | Conservative Party | 1,302 | 11.7% | 35.2% | — | |
| 6 | Ethan Smith | Conservative Party | 1,289 | 11.6% | 34.9% | — | |
| 7 | Marilynne Burbage | Labour Party | 459 | 4.1% | 12.4% | — | |
| 8 | Margaret Onians | Labour Party | 441 | 4.0% | 11.9% | — | |
| 9 | Tony Thorpe | Labour Party | 430 | 3.9% | 11.6% | — | |
| 10 | Karin Andrews | Green Party | 334 | 3.0% | 9.0% | — | |
| 11 | Bob Steel | Green Party | 255 | 2.3% | 6.9% | — | |
| 12 | Gay McDonagh | Green Party | 238 | 2.1% | 6.4% | — | |
| 13 | Ashley Dickenson | Christian Peoples Alliance | 69 | 0.6% | 1.9% | — |
Beddington South · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 43.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,245
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Edward Joyce | Liberal Democrats | 1,450 | 14.9% | 44.7% | +19.7 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Manuel Abellan | Liberal Democrats | 1,445 | 14.8% | 44.5% | +19.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Mo Saqib | Liberal Democrats | 1,403 | 14.4% | 43.2% | +18.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Neil Garratt | Conservative Party | 1,334 | 13.7% | 41.1% | — | |
| 5 | Ann Page | Conservative Party | 1,239 | 12.7% | 38.2% | — | |
| 6 | Jim Simms | Conservative Party | 1,226 | 12.6% | 37.8% | — | |
| 7 | Christine Cullen | Labour Party | 492 | 5.1% | 15.2% | — | |
| 8 | Arnaldo Savignani | Labour Party | 421 | 4.3% | 13.0% | — | |
| 9 | Alan Tate | Labour Party | 380 | 3.9% | 11.7% | — | |
| 10 | Peter Smith | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 134 | 1.4% | 4.1% | — | |
| 11 | David Usher | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 107 | 1.1% | 3.3% | — | |
| 12 | Terence Smith | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 105 | 1.1% | 3.2% | — |
The Wrythe · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 43.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +18.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 2,828
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colin Stears | Liberal Democrats | 1,324 | 15.6% | 46.8% | +21.8 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Sam Weatherlake | Liberal Democrats | 1,249 | 14.7% | 44.2% | +19.2 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Nali Patel | Liberal Democrats | 1,224 | 14.4% | 43.3% | +18.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Will Curley | Conservative Party | 760 | 9.0% | 26.9% | — | |
| 5 | Millie Shields | Conservative Party | 747 | 8.8% | 26.4% | — | |
| 6 | Sebastian Wopinski | Conservative Party | 659 | 7.8% | 23.3% | — | |
| 7 | Sheila Berry | Labour Party | 533 | 6.3% | 18.8% | — | |
| 8 | Carlos de Sousa | Labour Party | 498 | 5.9% | 17.6% | — | |
| 9 | Paul McCarthy | Labour Party | 476 | 5.6% | 16.8% | — | |
| 10 | Penelope Mouncey | Green Party | 204 | 2.4% | 7.2% | — | |
| 11 | John Bannon | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 196 | 2.3% | 6.9% | — | |
| 12 | Michael Boulton | Green Party | 187 | 2.2% | 6.6% | — | |
| 13 | Bill Main-Ian | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 177 | 2.1% | 6.3% | — | |
| 14 | Gino Marotta | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 129 | 1.5% | 4.6% | — | |
| 15 | Phillip Mouncey | Green Party | 121 | 1.4% | 4.3% | — |
Wallington North · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.0% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.0 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,270
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sunita Gordon | Liberal Democrats | 1,637 | 16.7% | 50.1% | +25.1 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Marian James | Liberal Democrats | 1,587 | 16.2% | 48.5% | +23.5 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Joyce Melican | Liberal Democrats | 1,505 | 15.3% | 46.0% | +21.0 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Charlotte Leonard | Conservative Party | 912 | 9.3% | 27.9% | — | |
| 5 | Lynn Robertson | Conservative Party | 888 | 9.1% | 27.2% | — | |
| 6 | Christopher Wortley | Conservative Party | 827 | 8.4% | 25.3% | — | |
| 7 | Michael McLoughlin | Labour Party | 594 | 6.1% | 18.2% | — | |
| 8 | Mary Towler | Labour Party | 526 | 5.4% | 16.1% | — | |
| 9 | David Towler | Labour Party | 516 | 5.3% | 15.8% | — | |
| 10 | Verity Thomson | Green Party | 300 | 3.1% | 9.2% | — | |
| 11 | Mark Webb | Green Party | 222 | 2.3% | 6.8% | — | |
| 12 | Malcolm Horne | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 119 | 1.2% | 3.6% | — | |
| 13 | Angela North | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 104 | 1.1% | 3.2% | — | |
| 14 | Vivien Worsfold | UK Independence Party (UKIP) | 72 | 0.7% | 2.2% | — |
Carshalton South and Clockhouse · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 46.2% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +21.2 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,780
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amy Haldane | Liberal Democrats | 1,809 | 16.0% | 47.9% | +22.9 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Moira Butt | Conservative Party | 1,767 | 15.6% | 46.7% | +21.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Tim Crowley | Conservative Party | 1,747 | 15.4% | 46.2% | +21.2 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Melissa Pearce | Conservative Party | 1,596 | 14.1% | 42.2% | — | |
| 5 | Gordon Roxburgh | Liberal Democrats | 1,544 | 13.6% | 40.8% | — | |
| 6 | Jason Reynolds | Liberal Democrats | 1,524 | 13.4% | 40.3% | — | |
| 7 | John Clay | Labour Party | 376 | 3.3% | 9.9% | — | |
| 8 | Anas Khan | Labour Party | 343 | 3.0% | 9.1% | — | |
| 9 | Christine Savignani | Labour Party | 340 | 3.0% | 9.0% | — | |
| 10 | Ross Hemingway | Green Party | 295 | 2.6% | 7.8% | — |
Wallington South · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 47.3% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +22.3 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,360
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steve Cook | Liberal Democrats | 1,793 | 17.8% | 53.4% | +28.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Jayne McCoy | Liberal Democrats | 1,704 | 16.9% | 50.7% | +25.7 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Muhammad Sadiq | Liberal Democrats | 1,588 | 15.8% | 47.3% | +22.3 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Daryl Brisley | Conservative Party | 1,233 | 12.2% | 36.7% | — | |
| 5 | Hilary Wortley | Conservative Party | 1,089 | 10.8% | 32.4% | — | |
| 6 | Omoniyi Giwa | Conservative Party | 978 | 9.7% | 29.1% | — | |
| 7 | David Murray | Labour Party | 506 | 5.0% | 15.1% | — | |
| 8 | Bobbie Lambert | Labour Party | 413 | 4.1% | 12.3% | — | |
| 9 | Maeve Tomlinson | Green Party | 404 | 4.0% | 12.0% | — | |
| 10 | Callum Roper | Labour Party | 373 | 3.7% | 11.1% | — |
Cheam · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 50.4% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +25.4 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,771
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holly Ramsey | Conservative Party | 2,202 | 19.5% | 58.4% | +33.4 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Eric Allen | Conservative Party | 2,066 | 18.3% | 54.8% | +29.8 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Elliot Colburn | Conservative Party | 1,900 | 16.8% | 50.4% | +25.4 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Mary Burstow | Liberal Democrats | 1,711 | 15.1% | 45.4% | — | |
| 5 | Anisha Callaghan | Liberal Democrats | 1,292 | 11.4% | 34.3% | — | |
| 6 | Monica Tyler | Liberal Democrats | 1,253 | 11.1% | 33.2% | — | |
| 7 | Victoria Barlow | Labour Party | 315 | 2.8% | 8.4% | — | |
| 8 | Jane Rodger | Labour Party | 288 | 2.5% | 7.6% | — | |
| 9 | Helen Martin | Labour Party | 287 | 2.5% | 7.6% | — |
Belmont · 3-seat (bloc vote)
Marginal winner Voter-share estimate of the lowest-vote elected candidate. Comparable to the proportional quota. The raw vote share would be ~3× smaller. 55.9% Proportional quota 25.0% Below quota Marginal winner's share minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = below; positive = above. +30.9 pts Valid ballots (est.) Estimated voters: total votes ÷ 3 seats. Source data does not publish a ballot count for this cycle. 3,283
This is a 3-seat ward under bloc vote — each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so summing candidate votes overcounts voters by ~3×. We show share of votes (matches the council's published figure) and share of voters (est.) (raw share × 3, the figure comparable to the proportional quota). Why two columns →
| Rank | Candidate | Party | Votes | Share of votes Candidate votes ÷ total votes cast in this ward. Matches the share the council publishes. | Share of voters (est.) Estimated share of voters who supported this candidate, comparable across single- and multi-seat wards. Each voter could cast up to 3 votes, so we approximate ballots as total votes ÷ 3. This is the figure compared against the proportional quota. | Below quota Each elected candidate's share of valid ballots minus the proportional quota for this race. Negative = won the seat below the quota; positive = cleared it. | Elected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Hicks | Conservative Party | 2,001 | 20.3% | 61.0% | +36.0 pts | Elected |
| 2 | Patrick McManus | Conservative Party | 1,900 | 19.3% | 57.9% | +32.9 pts | Elected |
| 3 | Jane Pascoe | Conservative Party | 1,836 | 18.6% | 55.9% | +30.9 pts | Elected |
| 4 | Dean Juster | Liberal Democrats | 956 | 9.7% | 29.1% | — | |
| 5 | Alex Vicente-Machado | Liberal Democrats | 786 | 8.0% | 23.9% | — | |
| 6 | Abdullah Okuyucu | Liberal Democrats | 748 | 7.6% | 22.8% | — | |
| 7 | Gale Blears | Labour Party | 595 | 6.0% | 18.1% | — | |
| 8 | Margaret Sinclair | Labour Party | 524 | 5.3% | 16.0% | — | |
| 9 | Marian Wingrove | Labour Party | 503 | 5.1% | 15.3% | — |